HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

ced

2,394 karma · joined February 21, 2007

Data science freelancer in Montreal.

https://github.com/cstjean/

http://www.hackernewsers.com/users/ced.html

submissionscomments
ced··on Britain’s CO2 Emissions Have Fallen to Levels Last Seen in 1890 (2018)
The low population density in much of the US drives increased energy usage.

80% of the US lives in "urban" areas (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urbanization_in_the_United_Sta...), and that's where most of the emissions are from. It's not geography that causes the low density, it's urban sprawl and culture. Eating might not be optional, but living in a car-centric low-density neighborhood definitely is. It's one of the things our ancestors would consider a luxury, and which our ever-comparing north american minds now treat as a basic necessity.

ced··on How Big Oil Misled the Public into Believing Plastic Would Be Recycled
https://vividmaps.com/carbon-dioxide-emissions-european-coun...

Maybe it's just quibbling, but anyway, per-capita Germany is among the worst but not the worst.

ced··on How Big Oil Misled the Public into Believing Plastic Would Be Recycled
Compared to other developed countries they are not the worst.

    Australia: 16.8 tons/capita/year
    Canada/US: 16.1
    Germany:    9.1
    China:      8.0
    France:     5.0
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_di...
ced··on The Fed now owns nearly 1/3 of all U.S. mortgages
It is an interesting thought experiment. From what I've gathered, any intervention by the government to make housing more accessible, just gets priced in pretty quickly, removing the benefit.

It benefits home owners, which (at least in Canada) makes up the majority of the voting base. Like GP said, it's at the expense of the next generation of buyers.

ced··on Dan Ariely and Irrational Comparison
I don't get your argument. Those who are in "choice deferral" and chose online+print in the first experiment ought to have picked the same in the second experiment, but they didn't.
ced··on After many false starts, hydrogen power might now bear fruit
From Wikipedia:

The lower the energy used by a generator, the higher its efficiency would be; a 100%-efficient electrolyser would consume 39.4 kilowatt-hours per kilogram (142 MJ/kg) of hydrogen,[24] 12,749 joules per litre (12.75 MJ/m3). Practical electrolysis (using a rotating electrolyser at 15 bar pressure) may consume 50 kW⋅h/kg (180 MJ/kg), and a further 15 kW⋅h (54 MJ) if the hydrogen is compressed for use in hydrogen cars.

It's not great, but it doesn't seem unworkable. I can't read the article, but isn't the idea to use hydrogen tanks as a battery to smooth out the variability of renewables like solar?

ced··on Some overwhelmed parents are abandoning at-home schooling
How do you mix work and homeschooling? How many hours do you work / week, and what do your kids do during that time?
ced··on New Zealand relied on science and empathy
It was on February 25th. Most of North America didn't do anything until mid-March, no?
ced··on For Donald Knuth, good coding is synonymous with beautiful expression
That's true about physics! I wonder if there are other fields that are written in such casual style. Undergrad textbooks in math are also very dry affairs. David Mackay was an exception, but he is a physicist.
ced··on We’re working on 1M Covid-19 testing capacity per day
Oh, sure!
ced··on Nearly half of global coal plants will be unprofitable this year
I'm just googling, but FWIW, from 2017: The China Carbon Market Just Launched, And It's The World's Largest. Here's How It Can Succeed. https://www.forbes.com/sites/energyinnovation/2017/12/19/the...

At a cursory glance, it seems like it's still ongoing, at a price of 8$/ton: https://www.icf.com/insights/public-policy/china-carbon-pric...

ced··on We’re working on 1M Covid-19 testing capacity per day
Yeah, but this version is not necessarily optimal. If you have 4 positive samples, then you will test 2+2+1+1+1+1 = 8, instead of 4 in the naive case.

It feels like a problem for information theory.

ced··on We’re working on 1M Covid-19 testing capacity per day
But what if there are two (or more?) positive samples? It's an interesting problem.
ced··on Don’t bail out the cruise industry
it's hard to argue that airlines don't play a critical role.

What critical industry will suffer if air travel suddenly becomes much more rare?

ced··on Julia 1.4
For data, we're monitoring ~1000 time series per plant, at about 2 points/minute. Julia's speed is not necessary there, but it is critical for historical simulations of algorithms.
ced··on Julia 1.4
Around 10K, split among 6 packages
ced··on Julia 1.4
See this issue: https://github.com/JuliaLang/julia/issues/30653#issuecomment...

Memory leak. As explained, it's not really Julia's fault.

This I also found amazing: https://github.com/JuliaLang/julia/issues/28726 . It took 4 hours to go from bug report about bad compiler code generation to a patch.

ced··on Julia 1.4
We're using it in a soft-realtime setting to monitor industrial chlorine production, and for us it has been a very pleasant experience overall. Yes, we've had some issues, but similar to other ecosystem IMO, and our support contract with Julia computing helped us in the one case we really couldn't solve ourselves.

Julia works really well for power users. There are no huge libraries full of C code like pandas or scipy. Instead there are dozens of small, well-tested packages that fill the same role, all hosted on github. That makes fixing issues so much easier.

Granted: outside of numerical/technical computing, the libraries can be lacking (eg. web development) compared to other languages. We're doing it anyway, but it's a more difficult decision.

ced··on Relationship between the ABO Blood Group and the Covid-19 Susceptibility
If you're referring to the odds ratio between group A control and group B covid, then that's not a Bayes factor AFAIK. A Bayes factor is to compare two hypothesis. You can have an odds ratio of 1.00001 which is very significant (eg. female/male birth ratio)
ced··on The war on food waste is a waste of time
"It's going to be okay" for us.
ced··on More emphasis on trains in Europe to replace flights
Aviation only makes up about 2% of total global C02 emissions.

Because the majority of humanity has never flown at all. What fraction of your CO2 emissions came from flying last year?

ced··on How housing became the world’s biggest asset class
From your source: It usually incorporates the population in a city or town plus that in the suburban areas lying outside of, but being adjacent to, the city boundaries.

GGP suggested that suburban living is greener. How does the 50%/70% support his point if cities include the suburbs?

ced··on Decreasing human body temperature in the U.S. since the industrial revolution
Thank you so much for your answer! It's sad how hard it is to get this kind of expert opinion, in the age of information. Do you have any site to recommend over Wikipedia?
ced··on Decreasing human body temperature in the U.S. since the industrial revolution
There's some serious doubt on Wikipedia FWIW... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phytoestrogen#Males

It is unclear if phytoestrogens have any effect on male sexuality, with conflicting results about the potential effects of isoflavones originating from soy. A 2010 meta-analysis of fifteen placebo-controlled studies said that "neither soy foods nor isoflavone supplements alter measures of bioavailable testosterone concentrations in men."[31] Some studies showed that isoflavone supplementation had no effect on sperm concentration, count, or motility, and had no effects on testicular or ejaculate volume.[32][33] Sperm count decline and increasing rate of testicular cancers in the West may be linked to a higher presence of isoflavone phytoestrogens in the diet, but such a link has not been definitively proven.[34] Furthermore, there is some evidence that phytoestrogens may affect male fertility, but "further investigation is needed before a firm conclusion can be drawn"

ced··on An introduction to machine learning through polynomial regression
It's an introductory article. "Complex subject" through "simple example" is a compelling formula, no?
ced··on The Bus Ticket Theory of Genius
> I am more financially comfortable than ever

Work part-time? I get 1-2 days off per week for projects (and house stuff) then in the evenings/weekends I actually have time and energy for playing with my child.

Plus, it's better for the environment than more work, more consumption.

ced··on Predicting Next Recession
Link?
ced··on Copenhagen Cycles with the Young, the Old, the Busy and the Dead
In developing countries, cars are status symbols. Once everybody can afford one, that stops being the case.
ced··on European Investment Bank to phase out fossil fuel financing
> It's ridiculous to think that clicking a sell button on some assets will fix global warming, that's not how the world works.

It's ridiculous to think that reduced demand for some stock will not reduce its price.

More concretely, the more banks and people make gestures like this, the easier it is for politicians to reduce subsidies / increase taxes for fossil fuels, which will definitely reduce the amount of oil burned.

ced··on Insect 'apocalypse' in U.S. driven by 50x increase in toxic pesticides: study
Can you explain how it works? Why does it degrade when a human ingests it, but kills the insects it targets?
← PreviousPage 2 of 32Next →