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cc81

952 karma · joined March 24, 2015

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cc81··on Malaria 'Completely Stopped' by Microbe
I think 80% for heard immunity is a pretty high count.

IFR is a guess and yours could be right. It is lower than NYC but the developing world is much younger than the west so they might have a much lower IFR unless their lack of available health care hurts them too much.

Hopefully IFR will drop as well as we learn to protect the elderly better.

cc81··on Malaria 'Completely Stopped' by Microbe
19.9% for the city.

You are still in the end of the flu season though so some of those excess death numbers might be that.

cc81··on Malaria 'Completely Stopped' by Microbe
I get incredibly weird and vivid dreams from Prednisone and I know a friend who was prescribed Benzo (not sure what kind) and also got very vivid dreams. I don't know if is the same type he describes but it is like a normal dream; just stronger and odder for me (with a completely different medication).

It is nothing like a psychedelic trip for me.

If you want to try and see if you get weird/strong dreams there are a lot of anecdotes around the supplement ZMA. It is just anecdotes but I've seen threads started on many different training forums from newbies asking about it.

https://examine.com/nutrition/does-zma-cause-weird-dreams/

cc81··on China clamping down on coronavirus research, deleted pages suggest
On the other hand we did not call the "Swine Flu" the "North American flu"
cc81··on A (possible) solution to Covid-19
That is also the symptoms of the ordinary flu which is the more likely candidate.
cc81··on IKEA Frekvens LED box hack
I assume it is because they are like all other huge international companies in that aspect so people ignore that part and focus on other parts.

i.e. Facebook does the same and is, like IKEA, hammer by it in Europe and elsewhere but Facebook also have privacy scandals while IKEA has fewer of those types of scandals.

cc81··on Lyme disease bacteria eradicated by new drug in early tests
IBS is "clearly not" as it is a diagnosis based more on symptoms (many different) and there is no clear understanding of the cause behind it.

And if you look at IBD such as Crohn's or Ulcerative Colitis then sure.

cc81··on No lockdown, please, we’re Swedish
Confirmed cases is difficult to measure as countries test so differently.

Sweden has a lot of deaths (though not exceptional if you look at per million inhabitants) and I believe it will rise; the question is how much lag there is and how much lock-downs work, what type you are talking about and how long you can keep it up.

There is also random chance I feel. For example in Sweden we have something called "sportlov", which is a week off from school (it is a different week for different parts of the country) and for Stockholm it was end of February and a many went to the Italian alps skiing for example.

How much did that affect the spread? So while one learning is that I think somewhere like South Korea is a role model, be more prepared and actually have protective gear in storage units instead of relying on global supply chains always working another thing is just how many with "just the flu" walked around in the biggest cities in your country before it was taken seriously.

cc81··on No lockdown, please, we’re Swedish
And I don't think it reflects the sentiment here in Sweden either, there is a lot of internal critique and a lot of people want harsher methods (regardless if it actually does anything).

Sweden have rising deaths and will be hit hard like many countries and we have some of the lowest amount of ICU beds per million inhabitants in Europe, they are of course trying to build out but have problem staffing them as well.

I don't think Sweden will land on a low death toll but the question will be if a more complete shutdown would have helped.

cc81··on No lockdown, please, we’re Swedish
Sweden is not very homogeneous anymore and the first deaths were disproportionately foreign born from one of the worse place to live in Stockholm.
cc81··on No lockdown, please, we’re Swedish
Sweden has imposed several restrictions and Sweden will have problems regardless of lock-down or not due to a very limited amount of ICU beds.
cc81··on Azure cracks, AWS strong: Covid-19 stress-tests the cloud
>The software giant counted 32 million daily active users of Teams last week on March 11th, but this jumped by 12 million to 44 million daily active users yesterday.

https://www.theverge.com/2020/3/19/21186452/microsoft-teams-...

Zoom does not release numbers but they have seen an increase say in usage but if we look at estimated numbers:

>Zoom had 12.92 million monthly active users, up 21% since the end of 2019, Chrane and Isaacs wrote, citing data from privately held Apptopia.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/26/zoom-has-added-more-users-so...

Microsoft seems to have had an increase that similar to Zoom's whole user base in a week (and I don't know how much was added before that).

I think people in tech circles underestimate how many large non-tech companies just followed Microsoft into the cloud and started to use Office 365. And I assume a lot don't use it that much, maybe for a meeting here and there and a few (or way too many) channels but suddenly everyone in the company is on it.

cc81··on Azure cracks, AWS strong: Covid-19 stress-tests the cloud
If devs are the ones generating revenue for the company. Not all companies are software companies.
cc81··on Azure cracks, AWS strong: Covid-19 stress-tests the cloud
Are G-suite even in the same league as O365? I have no numbers and might be incredibly biased by location but I feel that all the "boring" office companies in Europe has moved towards Office 365 as a natural step.

That is of course not true and I'm sure there are plenty of G-suite companies but for the large ones it seems very common that they have just followed Microsoft into the cloud.

cc81··on Azure cracks, AWS strong: Covid-19 stress-tests the cloud
AWS is bigger but I doubt they have seen the same type of change in traffic as I don't think they have the same traffic patterns that would be affected by something like this.

Teams was used before but suddenly in my company you had 100k office workers working from home and all meetings converted to Teams meetings, a lot with video streaming. People also seem to react by booking even more meetings now when the casual talk was gone (instead of chatting casually).

cc81··on New Grad vs. Senior Dev
I've been in discussions about internal applications with few hundreds users and very moderate amounts of data being shuffled and stored and some people, of various backgrounds, are just so convinced that we need to go all in on Kubernetes, Microservices, Istio etc.

And all I can think about is "Hey, you could build this with a small team as a simple monolith and with proper caching you could probably run this on one or two raspberry pi, that is the amount of power you actually need here".

Don't get me wrong I do think they absolutely have their place and in other parts of the company we have much larger software development projects and they are absolutely making great use of Microservice architectures and Kubernetes and is getting a lot out of it. But that is 100+ teams building a product portfolio together.

cc81··on Effect of economic crisis on America’s small businesses [slides]
I mean sure, but I was just saying that countries outside US takes unauthorized access to personal medical data incredibly serious.
cc81··on Substantial undocumented infection facilitates rapid dissemination of SARS-CoV2
They have shared a lot of data and I've heard scientists in the west to be very thankful over that.

Does the tests for antibodies even exists yet? I heard it was some weeks away?

cc81··on Effect of economic crisis on America’s small businesses [slides]
It is as tough in Sweden, doctors and nurses have of course access to patient files but every access is logged and if someone is caught accessing files about a patient they are not working with they will be reprimanded or fired.
cc81··on Effect of economic crisis on America’s small businesses [slides]
I can understand that it is prudent to take a worst case scenario here but it depends on how widespread this thing already is without us knowing it.

So Sweden has right now 1,639 confirmed cases with 16 deaths so far. There are some young people treated in critical care but so far it has been older people who has passed away, often with other diseases as well. Sweden currently only tests older people, people with severe symptoms, healthcare workers and similar personal and those who can work from home these days and travel is discouraged.

One expert estimated that we have around 100k infected in total right now and discussed that some things like shutting down schools for younger kids will have a large effect on society but not do that much on the spread of the virus. Instead you should focus on protecting vulnerable groups, stay home if you feel any symptoms of cold etc.

100k out of 10 million population would fit roughly with Iceland who did random sampling and found 1% of their population affected.

Of course he acknowledged that there is no way to know and taking extreme measures are better than taking too small but emotional/political reactions vs practical is really a discussion to be had.

cc81··on Effect of economic crisis on America’s small businesses [slides]
>Current situation in Geneva, Switzerland - 2 critical male patients, one 27, one 29, no prior comorbidities at all. Not sure they will make it. Wife is a doctor and just checked this in their information system.

I don't know about the law in Switzerland but unless you are lying that is something she could be fired for in many countries.

cc81··on Effect of economic crisis on America’s small businesses [slides]
I think the interesting question (that we don't know yet) is how much of these actions are political because they want to show themselves strong and the public demand some kind of action. And how many of these actions are needed to flatten the curve, prepare the healthcare system and to work on cures/vaccines? For example shutting down schools have a huge effect on society but does it have a similar huge effect on the spread of disease?

How long can you just shut down industries, keep kids out of school and will it make a significant dent in the total mortality? It could be that a couple of weeks of social distancing will be enough but can it be months and what are the comparable effects.

I know it is more dangerous than the normal flu and I will not downplay that but take Italy (that yes, would be worse of without shutdowns) you have 4k deaths so far; mostly old people while a couple of seasons ago they had 24k deaths attributed to a bad flu season.

The social distancing and shutting down society needs to work reasonably fast otherwise I wonder if it is worth it, at least in countries where you already have widespread disease.

cc81··on South Korea's drive-through testing for coronavirus
This is a special case of course and I work for a company where we are told to work from home right now regardless of symptoms or not.

However when it comes to the common cold that is something that will be going of for weeks and return several times for some people, just the light symptoms. No fever but some coughing and sneezing.

For some job roles and in some companies with good culture it works great to work home but for a lot you cannot really be home for like 6 weeks every winter because you are missing out too much or are not effective enough.

cc81··on The History of the URL
Breaking the back button and not using propers URLs are two cardinal sins in SPA development.
cc81··on Creating a Slack Writing Etiquette Guide for Your Workplace
I would like the Teams UI to be compressed more and some other things but otherwise it is alright. There is a problem with people creating teams channels, upload documents there and then people come and go and some of those documents that should have been in some public repository is instead in that channel (SharePoint) only.

It does not have to be that way but it is very easy to end up that way.

cc81··on Is it time to nationalise the pharmaceutical industry?
There are of course insane cases of abuse but there is also tricky part where the cost of the medicine in total will be very high because the population suffering from it is small and the medicine is very complex to develop.

Even IF the healthcare company did not spend tons on money on commercials there will be those drugs that if you want to develop them they will cost a lot of money for the one paying (government, insurance company or individual) if the company wants to get back it's money and ideally make some kind of profit (even if it is very average/low).

cc81··on Will VBA Die? (2019)
>Inevitably, new hires would be unhappy that they did, in fact, have to write vba code all day and would argue for switching to a better language

JavaScript alone should prove that the "better" language does not win on language design alone (These days it is at least pretty ok)

cc81··on Katherine Johnson, NASA mathematician, has died at 101
I think he has a point though and I don't disparage elevating people like her because she broke gender and racial barriers in addition to making great contributions.

But it was a pretty huge team effort and you will never know of that boring white middle age man who did equally as important engineering or mathematical work.

There is not necessarily wrong with it but it is pretty funny when I think about famous programmers my mind goes to Ada Lovelace, Margret Hamilton, Grace Hopper, Denis Ritchie and Linus Torvalds.

All great programmers and I know others exists but those are the ones I think I hear the most about I think.

cc81··on FDA agrees to expanded access program for MDMA-assisted psychotherapy for PTSD
MDMA has a very measurable effect but what is interesting if it can be combined with therapy. I saw a short youtube-video about one of those trials and the that patient they interviewed seemed positive (yes, I know n=1) because MDMA at that dosage was like she was just her best self and had the best day which made talking about her difficult experience with the therapist so much easier.

Time will tell if it works long term and that those types of therapy sessions are positive but considering the type of drug (you only take it during therapy) and the dosages it seems pretty harmless.

cc81··on The Disneyfication of a University
Yes, don't give them your soul but often effort is rewarded and a company consists of people who can stick their neck out for you. Unfortunately they also might consists of people who will stab you in the back...

When I was working as a software developer I usually got the most fun assignments, not because I worked myself to death, but because I was at least pretty good for the type of job I had and took initiative.

Now I'm in a job role where I'm expected to take initiative and drive things myself and that can of course mean burnout for a lot of people but I still feel that the company culture is pretty supportive of preventing that. I have monthly 1:1 with my boss and the standing agenda is:

1. How do you feel your work/life balance is right now?

2. How I can support you in removing any obstacles preventing progress in your goals/projects?

3. What can you do to take action to make progress about the things we have talked about.

This is absolutely not a startup though and not in the US either.

I also do realize that if I find a more interesting job I will quite and if my company realize that they don't need my services they will try and fire or move me to another position.

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