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cardmagic

1,717 karma · joined February 7, 2008

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cardmagic··on Why (blank) gets you root
Anyone else getting tired of sites that are illegible on mobile?
cardmagic··on Better living through subliminal messages
You ask that as if the burden of proof is on me. I’m not charging anyone for this hogwash, the burden of proof is on you. Other people selling snake oil too doesn’t make it any more effective. I can walk into any grocery store in the USA and find pure distilled water being marketed as homeopathic. That’s not proof that homeopathy has any effect more than placebo. I’m 100% sure that every snake oil salesman in history had an endless supply of testimonials and thankful words. They also didn’t stop charging for their snake oil, and it seems like you aren’t going to stop either. Seems like you’re talking out of both sides of your mouth too... this is from your website: “Constantly on Top 100 Grossing Lifestyle apps list in US Mac App Store since 2011”

So which is it? You make almost nothing or you are one of the highest grossing apps in the App Store? Please. I don’t believe a single word you say either way. If your moral framework allows you to profit off of gullibility, then anything you say is suspect.

cardmagic··on Better living through subliminal messages
Sure... and it's also so advanced that even double-blind researchers can't reproduce it.

I'm sorry that asking for rigorous science sounds like being righteous to you. I am not taking anybody's hard earned money with empty promises. You are.

If money’s not the issue, then stop charging people and give back the money you have received. That will prove to me that money’s not the issue.

cardmagic··on Better living through subliminal messages
Technically placebos still work even when you know they are placebos.[1]

[1] http://www.telegraph.co.uk/science/2017/09/26/placebo-effect...

cardmagic··on Better living through subliminal messages
No. Ignorant, rude, and swindling people out of their hard earned money with false promises makes a dangerous proposition. Frankly I don’t know how you sleep at night. Just because there’s a placebo effect doesn’t make it effective. Many properly executed double blind studies have debunked what you are selling for decades now.
cardmagic··on Better living through subliminal messages
Hypnosis has been well researched to be effective. Subliminal messages have been well studied to be bogus.
cardmagic··on Better living through subliminal messages
“It works, I swear” says the snake oil salesman.
cardmagic··on Better living through subliminal messages
Subliminal messages have as shoddy a track record as homeopathy. At best this is a placebo effect.
cardmagic··on Quantopian hedge fund has lost about 3% since beginning of trading in June
4 sigma event assumes normal distribution and its abundantly clear that stock market distributions are far from normal.
cardmagic··on Quantopian hedge fund has lost about 3% since beginning of trading in June
This is a ridiculously tiny amount of time to judge performance.
cardmagic··on Experiments to identify potential neural mechanism in “feeling of presence”
For all x -> y != For all y -> x

For all certain brain stimulations then ghostly feeling != for all ghostly feeling then certain brain stimulation

cardmagic··on Home Assistant is an open-source home automation platform running on Python 3
That's cool, I like that one, except the sun does that for me in my case. But if I needed to wake up earlier than the sun, I could see that being useful.
cardmagic··on Home Assistant is an open-source home automation platform running on Python 3
My Kuna security cameras turn lights on at night and off at sun-up. My Nest already has presence detection and adjusts temps based on that.

More importantly, I didn't buy a Kuna for lights on and off with the sun, nor a Nest for presence detection, so I still don't see these functions as killer apps for HA.

cardmagic··on Home Assistant is an open-source home automation platform running on Python 3
I have a Roomba and if I don't close my bathroom door at night, it always gets stuck in the bathroom when it goes off in the morning. So every night, I make sure the bathroom door is closed before I go to bed. I would not pay anything for an app that closed my bathroom door. I just make sure I check at night. It still doesn't make sense to me.

Roomba makes sense to me. Sweeping is hard and takes a significant amount of time. Flipping a switch is not hard and takes no time at all.

cardmagic··on Home Assistant is an open-source home automation platform running on Python 3
Is anyone else here completely confused at how much hype there is around automated light management systems? I don’t get it. Is it really that hard to turn on and off lights manually that people really need all this stuff? What am I not getting?
cardmagic··on Ask HN: What essay/blogpost do you keep going back to reread?
14 years ago: the day Teller gave me the secret to my career in magic

http://shwood.squarespace.com/news/2009/9/21/14-years-ago-th...

cardmagic··on Machine learning predictions for QM eMini Crude Oil
Trading costs are more than just commission. Slippage for QM is higher than CL because of thinner volume and can easily be $10-25+ per order ($20-50 round trip). You might say that you don’t worry about slippage because you use limit orders, but limit orders have their own problems, like not getting filled which can easily screw up your returns vs predicted returns. Be careful, there are far more ways to lose money trading than you seem to realize still.
cardmagic··on Study finds association between eating hot peppers and decreased mortality
Why do people look for correlations any more? Aren't scientists painfully aware of confirmation bias[1] and spurious correlation[2] yet?

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

[2] http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

cardmagic··on The importance of science fiction to entrepreneurship
I'd also point you to Eliot Peper, William Hertling, and Nick Thacker
cardmagic··on Big Data: A Novel About Machine Learning
I just published a novel where the premise is code understanding code through a neural network trained on GitHub. Would love to know what you all think of it!
cardmagic··on This Bubble's Got Legs
The forrest is dry, just waiting for a black swan. The problem with black swans is they are definitionally unknown unknowns... until they are not any more.
cardmagic··on Alan Kay has agreed to do an AMA today
Why haven't machine learning and neural networks been applied to programming languages with as much interest as human languages? Wouldn't AI augmentation of writing computer code lead to faster breakthroughs in all other fields within computer science?
cardmagic··on Alan Kay has agreed to do an AMA today
What do you believe that many programmers your know don't agree with?
cardmagic··on Google achieves AI 'breakthrough' by beating Go champion
2 dan pro is a much stronger strength than 2 dan amateur. The difference between a 2 dan pro and a 9 dan pro is usually just one stone handicap whereas the difference between a 2 dan amateur and a 9 dan amateur would be around 7 stones.
cardmagic··on Show HN: The Term Sheet – A Startup Thriller Novel
Yes, I did write it. The audiobook is being produced right now and will be out before the end of the year.
cardmagic··on Ask HN: What's wrong with my launch page?
I assume you are trying to convince people to use what you built?

tl;dr _The easiest way to do that is by explaining what's in it for your user, up front, and in the clearest terms possible._

For years I used to make the mistake of thinking that I should describe the features of my projects and let the the user decide if it solved their problem.

Let me show you an example. A friend of mine runs gitwatcher.com

Three major areas of prime real estate used to describe features, a little similar to your landing page.

The reason that features don’t make for good geek marketing is 2-fold:

1) People are lazy. Especially geeks. Almost nobody reads anything but the headers from your website.

2) If someone needs to decide whether or not they are interested in a feature, they need to think about all problems they are facing right now and see if the feature would apply to any one of them (e.g. do I really need to categorize by tagging and watch and compare right now?).

It’s a mental for-each loop. O(N). Most people are lazy. So they won’t.

Instead, talk about the problems that your side projects solve. Make it exceedingly easy for people to know what’s in it for them.

For example, if you look at shareasimage.com you will see their headline isn’t utilitarian like “we create images with text in them for you.”

It’s a solution-oriented pitch about the direct value you get for using your their product: "The fastest way to double your social engagement."

Notice also the clear call-to-action. There is only ONE place that it is clear you should click.

To use the gitwatcher.com example, instead of selling features like “Categorizing by tagging,” you might try more solution-oriented sentences like:

“The easiest way to keep up with the coolest new open-source projects?”

“Want to get a free weekly email digest with the GitHub projects you should be keeping an eye on?”

Skip the for-each loops and let your readers do a O(1) mental operation. If you tell them the problems you solve, they can instantly know YES or NO. No mental processing necessary

cardmagic··on CenturyLink Said to Seek to Acquire Rackspace Hosting
They did. I am the founder of AppFog. CenturyLink has treated me great.
cardmagic··on Panamax: Docker Management for Humans
No worries, you had a good point. We just added text link for the word "Source Code"
cardmagic··on Panamax: Docker Management for Humans
I am so sorry, if this contest goes well I will try to do an international contest next! Please do contribute anyhow, I can't wait to see your discourse template!
cardmagic··on Panamax: Docker Management for Humans
Great feedback, we have GitHub icons in the header and footer, but you are totally right, needs to be text... working on it now! BTW, here is the GitHub repo: https://github.com/CenturyLinkLabs/panamax-ui/wiki
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