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caeril

1,823 karma · joined May 22, 2020

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caeril··on SpaceX Pulls Employees from Brazil, Discourages Travel There
> It's there to protect me and a lawful, ordered society

Brazil is not Japan, Germany, or the United States. There is nothing even remotely "lawful" or "ordered" about their legal (or political) system.

caeril··on Coding on iPad using self-hosted VSCode, Caddy, and code-server
Wow, that's a lot of work when you could just ssh in from Blink or Termius and launch neovim, like someone sane would do.

What is the actual use-case of this?

caeril··on Ask HN: How to store and share passwords in a company?
I'm not making a claim that FAAANG is any better. I'm just saying that when FVEY wants your data and you've opted for convenience over security, you WILL be owned. It's not so much that Proton is untrustworthy, it's that they operate a business, and if the pigs tell them to make exceptions to their policy for your account, it's game over for you. Proton doesn't have the balls that Ladar Levison did with Lavabit. They won't shut down for you, they will hand you over on a silver platter for the pigs to pick away at your flesh.

Don't use any external service hosted in a country that complies with LEO or MLAT requests from the country of your residence. Actively seek out services hosted in countries that are hostile to the country of your residence.

Host your own infra, with your own authenticated FDE, reed switches and shock sensors for instant power-down on the cabinet, tamper-resistant and tamper-evident everything. Tor Hidden Services and i2p eepsites for any and all private correspondence if you really take this seriously.

caeril··on Solar will get too cheap to connect to the power grid
Most places with high solar insolation values also tend to come with high cooling costs. Arizona and Southern Nevada are perfect for this application, but my first approximate guess is that HVAC would eat all of, if not more than, the benefits.
caeril··on Solar will get too cheap to connect to the power grid
One of the problems is that storage inefficiency is already built-in to most new PV installations. Well over half of new installations are based on grid-phase-sync microinverters. Adding storage to the system involves adding rectification and re-inversion losses.

If solar installers would default to building out DC -> primary inverter systems, then adding storage would be much less lossy. But as it is, economics drives the industry to strongly prefer microinverters.

caeril··on Ask HN: How to store and share passwords in a company?
> I have not seen anything yet that makes me reconsider

Proton will pwn you if Interpol smiles at them the right way. This is common knowledge.

caeril··on Telegram boss banned from leaving France in criminal probe
Exactly. If he's allowed to be free, but banned from leaving the country, FVEY SIGINT can throw their entire bag of tricks against his comms while working remotely. Maybe they can recover keys, infrastructure details, etc.

Dude is going to need to build his own SCIF, surrounded by proximity detectors and armed guards, offgrid power generation, fed by quantum-resistant encrypted fiber lines with splice detection alarms in a hurry.

Nothing but disdain for FVEY, but this is a solid approach on their part.

caeril··on "Tinyboxes finally have a buy it now button"
If you're spending $15k on a box, you can also spend $1200 for a small insulated shed kit and $800 for a small mini-split heat pump. I live in a much warmer summer climate than Texas and this solution works fine for me for my small network cabinet.
caeril··on Contempt for the glue people
The world has gone mad with status-seeking behavior. It's not even about the money, it's about "what will they think?"

A Harvard/Stanford/MIT education used to be about the rigor, the education, the knowledge, the tutelage. Now it's about having that name attached to yours. Same goes for FAANG.

caeril··on Bioaccumulation of Microplastics in Decedent Human Brains
How so?

Personal choices go a long way, here. Exclusively use glass and metal cookware, utensils, food containers, and straws. Don't paint your fingernails, or if you do, don't chew your nails. Don't eat fast food, takeout, or DoorDash, be selective about your restaurants (tour the kitchen if you can). Wash your vegetables. Buy from butchers that wrap in non-plasticized paper. Don't live in cities with poor air quality. Replace StainMaster carpets with ceramic tile. Don't eat large predatory fish like tuna, (avoid large predatory animals in general, as they are metals and plastics concentration machines). Buy bottled water in glass only, or filter your own.

Can you reduce your intake to zero? No, but you can get pretty close.

caeril··on Exposure to the Sun's UV radiation may be good for you
It's also useful to note that skin cancer is very easy to catch early. Melanoma is definitely not something you want to have if you catch it late, but early detection is cheap (equipment required: eyes and a mirror) and easy.

Treatment prior to melanoma reaching the capillaries is also relatively cheap and easy (excision with margins), and extremely successful (>99% remission).

Median time between "that mole is looking a little weird" and the melanoma infringing on the capillaries is roughly 4 months.

So enjoy the sun and check your skin every month.

caeril··on Exposure to the Sun's UV radiation may be good for you
Skin tone is modifiable, within some limits.

If you maintain a base tan (equivalent to 2 hours in the sun or 10 minutes in a "standard" tanning bed, per week), the melanin is highly photoprotective for any additional UV exposure.

caeril··on Go is my hammer, and everything is a nail
> it's a nice language but using it for things it's not suited for like data exploration

Pedantic point, but this is an issue of library support, not the language.

For whatever reason, data scientists and ML researchers decided to write their libraries and tools in a Kindergartner's language with meaningful whitespace, dynamic typing, and various other juvenile PL features specifically aimed at five year olds and the mentally infirm.

caeril··on Cancer rates are rising in young people
> This is a bit of a surprise given how the prevalence of smoking and drinking in the younger generations is steadily declining.

Yes, I'm shocked that cancer (17 types) in young people is increasing as niche causes like smoking (lung) and drinking (liver, esophageal) is declining. I wonder what's happening to the #1 cause of cancer (all)?

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/hestat/obesity-child-17-18/obe...

Oh. Well, there it is.

> apparently obesity is a huge contributing factor

"Apparently". Ding ding ding.

If you're fat post-adolescence, put down the fork.

If you're fat because your parents/caregivers let you get that way and it's difficult to change, you're unarguably the victim of child abuse and you should cut those monsters out of your life and seek help to change the habits they instilled in you. It will be difficult, but it's possible. Look into GLP-1 agonists for a kickstart.

caeril··on Cancer rates are rising in young people
Is it doctors, or is it medical administrations reluctant to deal with "selling" your insurance provider on covering you for a service?

At least in the US, I've found that if you're paying cash up-front, you can shop around for what you want, without referrals, and without this kind of hesitation.

caeril··on Cancer rates are rising in young people
Be careful with this, or at least scaring/stressing yourself with this. Fresh (bright red) blood in stool is 95% of the time hemorrhoids. Most colon cancers will present with old (very dark red, or black) blood in stool.
caeril··on Declaring 'Crisis,' South Korean Firms Tell Managers to Work 6 Days a Week
There's this social technology called "marriage" in which these risks are absorbed by the husband, and in which the husband is legally compelled to do so even if he doesn't want to, and compensate you for lost earnings potential if the marriage dissolves.

So yes, there might be zero stability if your intention is to be a single mother. But I've heard that application of this novel idea could be helpful with these concerns. Maybe Koreans could look into this incredible new technology?

caeril··on A primer on the current state of longevity research
The craziest conclusion I've seen longevity experts narrow in on is the mTOR == cancer hypothesis. And the logic leaps are astounding:

1. Rapamycin inhibits expression of mTOR. (verified)

2. Rapamycin extends lifespan of cancer-encoded laboratory rats. (verified)

3. Therefore, activation of mTOR causes cancer. (???)

4. Therefore, stop eating protein.

The leap from 2 to 3 is incredible. These guys aren't considering the possibility that Rapamycin might have other cancer-inhibiting properties via other pathways. They're just assuming that because the R in mTOR stands for Rapamycin, that's the only thing the drug does.

caeril··on $1T wipeout: Market rout punishes mega-cap tech
The Schiller PE Ratio hit 36.1 3 weeks ago, with an EFFR of 5.33% (!)

It's still 33.6, and the historical average is 17.1, with an average EFFR of 4.61%

And the historical average didn't even have the (slight) headwind of boomer retirement plan liquidations that we have now.

So yeah, there's a long way to go.

caeril··on Differences in cancer rates among adults born between 1920 and 1990
I read a medical article some time back stating that cancer (and tumors in general) occur all the time in basically everybody, but in the vast majority of cases, the immune system kills them.

I've experienced this personally, and visibly. I've had a few moles appear on my skin, then subsequently a white ring would appear around it (presumably my body was killing ALL melanocytes in that region?) while the mole slowly shrank over the span of a few months. I have a few dozen other moles that my body never bothered doing anything about.

And this is just the skin. I'm not sure I want to know what's gone on in the other 90% of my biomass.

caeril··on No one expects young men to do anything and they respond by doing nothing (2022)
> often the mother actually stepping up

I don't think the evidence bears this out. It's often the mother's lawyer optimizing her post-divorce income (via child support) by agitating for as much of the custody split as possible, in a family court system that is systemically biased against fathers being awarded custody. I will edit this with citations if I find time later.

caeril··on No one expects young men to do anything and they respond by doing nothing (2022)
> the mother left or kicked out the father

> the world has changed, mostly for the better

Yeah, maybe. There have been a few analyses on this topic, and depending on the source, the live-in boyfriend or stepdad is somewhere between 2 and 8 times more likely than the biodad to physically or sexually abuse the kids.

If you're going to divorce the father in order to "find yourself" or whatever contrived excuse you need, you should at least take a vow of celibacy or something.

caeril··on Socials explode after judge shuts down accounts of Aubreigh Wyatt's grieving mom
Well, it's a decent court, but the better court is the streets.

Anybody who has successfully overcome bullying (as I have) knows that bullies only understand one language. And you need to speak this language eloquently, for them to understand that terrorizing other kids is unacceptable.

It's too late for this girl, but I hope for the sake of future victims that the family can come to learn the value of a solid alibi, no witnesses or cameras, evidence cleanup, and location obfuscation.

caeril··on The brain makes a lot of waste. Now scientists think they know where it goes
"Go to bed" is useless advice. Some of us are unable to sleep longer than about 5 hours. Room darkening, white noise, complete silence, 8Sleep mattress pad, extended release melatonin, caffeine abstinence, going to bed later, going to bed earlier, nothing works. We just naturally wake up after 5 hours, no matter what, ready to go.
caeril··on Video: Linux sucks 2024 (Bryan Lunduke) [video]
Again, I'm agreeing with you. One can of pepper spray would have rendered the entire armory of the Capitol Police ineffective, and Democracy would have been stolen from us.

One thing these Trumptards with their gun fetishism have over us is their extensive firearms knowledge, and they know that only one molecule of capsaicin entering the firing chamber of a .40 S&W pistol or .223 rifle completely disables it, so this Terrorist would have laid waste to the entirety of the defensive apparatus of DC. We really got lucky, here.

Every time I think about this Attack On Our Solemn Democracy I tear up. It could have gone the wrong way, very very fast. This incredibly well-organized, armed-to-the-teeth Boomerwaffen SS would have been no match for the Capitol Police, the DC Police, the DC National Guard, or the entirety of the Department of Defense under Posse Comitatus. The mechanized divisions of mobility scooters armed with Big Gulps alone would have overwhelmed this nation's defenses, and we would be living under a Dictatorship, forced to watch Fox News and re-runs of Murder She Wrote.

caeril··on Video: Linux sucks 2024 (Bryan Lunduke) [video]
> sympathetic to January 6th protesters

Ooof, this is a really bad look. I had no idea he sympathized with a group of unarmed boomer LARPers. His technical positions should be immediately disregarded because he has the wrong opinions about due process applying to people who put their feet on someone's desk. What a Nazi.

caeril··on U.S. home prices have far outpaced paychecks. See what it looks like
Cart before the horse. The problem is status.

It's significantly easier and cheaper to build in the "empty areas", and developers would love to build there, were the demand present.

It's not the developers or politicians you need to convince. It's the status-oriented urbanite bugman.

It's the urbanite bugmen who think people in flyover country are all filthy rednecks, who are literally afraid of living in an area without human feces and used heroin needles on the sidewalk, that you need to convince.

These people prefer living in high-cost, high-crime environments because shopping at a bodega makes you the right class of people, not like those trashy Wal-Mart customers. So instead of even considering moving to the empty areas, they bitch about "developers" and "politicians" standing the way of building more $3000/mo 300 ft^2 bugman pods, just so they can tell all their friends that they live in the "right" place. It's all about status, and nothing is sweeter than the tears of these people. Their unhappiness at their self-inflicted "problem" is a beautiful thing.

Status-oriented people are the lowest form of life. Let them wallow in it.

caeril··on Ask HN: How do you structure your shared finances with your spouse/partner
> She probably spends 3x on herself compared to me, and I’m fine with it.

Plenty of people are "fine with it" until the court awards spousal support on the basis of lifestyle acclimation rather than needs.

50% divorce rate, 75% of which is initiated by the wife, and don't require you to have done anything wrong. Effectively, you're playing roulette and you've staked your entire financial future on Red. I really hope it works out for you.

caeril··on Ask HN: How do you structure your shared finances with your spouse/partner
Not really sure why this take is controversial. Protecting your assets is the prudent thing to do. Sure, you don't earn yield from buried gold or non-custodial cryptocurrency wallets, so it's a suboptimal investment vehicle, but every person should have a backup plan for when the IRS or Family Courts come knocking.
caeril··on Berkshire Hathaway Doesn't Hold Nvidia Stock
One issue is that NVDA has a very large moat, and that moat is Lisa Su.

CUDA has NVDA locked into this category of applications for a long time. There is no specific hardware reason that AMD couldn't compete, but when geohot tried to directly engage Su on the major software failures of AMD, she told him to go fuck himself, and that they're not going to do anything because their software support is perfect.

Bubbles rarely "burst" - they usually end up getting more evenly distributed over time, with the large, popular bubble players deflating spectacularly, and smaller players taking up the slack. So it might seem a solid play to short NVDA against an AMD long.

But Lisa Su graduated from MIT, and therefore she is a better class of person than anyone else. Her company's software is perfect. And it's this kind of hubris that will ensure NVDA's moat remains longer than you likely think.

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