228 karma · joined January 21, 2024
Will SDE interviews change ? Are these companies gearing up to let AI engineers in ? I highly doubt this is ever going to happen.
There is a quote by buffet that I think applies to a lot of scenarios not just investing : 'to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful.'
ML IoT 5G blockchain etc. so many technologies are great that had their gaussian curve moment during greed. But these things take a back seat after that.
That being said, home routers are the least supported devices when it comes to security and privacy. People are running age old firmwares that are known to have exploits. These things are literally so cheap and poorly maintained anything with openwrt is going to be better.
For offices I would not shy away from recommending protectli with openwrt or opnsense as long as there are people with enough expertise to maintain these things long term.
The reason for this is that both paper and printing here is cheap along with labor. The original author also licenses for cheap. The publishing houses however take a large cut increasing the cost of the book.
People get a hold of the epub and print them and sell them for 1/4th of the price sometimes 1/10th for new and even less for used.
The only way I see around this is digital libraries. Let people rent unlimited books (but like Netflix limited at a time) and take a monthly cut.
But have you ever attended live music shows ? Have you ever ‘felt’ the music ? Even someone at a local bar singing feels and hits different.
AI can never bring feelings. That will never change. Even science fiction agrees with that.
So bring all the AI you want everywhere, some things are irreplaceable by electronic world.
So costs went from $80k an engineer a year maybe a decade ago with a few thousand to servers to $200k an engineer which you would struggle to find or $100k for a 'cloud engineer / architect' plus $100k to a cloud provider.
This sounds great in theory. Except that cloud providers are messy and once vendor locked in, you are in a big spiral. Secondly the costs can be hidden and climb exponentially if you don't know exactly what you are doing. You might also get into weird bugs that could be solved by a patch over a Monday to some package you could just update which might take months or never happen on a cloud provider. The reality of moving to cloud is not as rosy as it sounds.
Universities used to be the birth place of big projects that were created to solve problems they ran into hosting / running their own infrastructure. I hope that is still true.
What I am curious about is what happens when the original product that makes the company popular starts to experience poor quality. Take Google for example, its search has been on a decline in the last decade or so and needless to say the company is experiencing problems as well in the last few years. While GCP and GSuite are significant, people have lost faith in Google which probably started with search.
Windows 11 and the iPhone seem to be heading towards same fate as Google search imo.
Big companies like Swiggy and Zepto will mine the F out of your data. Some of it is for their benefit but some of it they could sell in the future. These so called founders are really just another wolf of app street looking to pump and dump. So when they do dump, or when some VC comes with money, they don’t just sell their app they sell it as a whole package of data and analytics that some company can use to sell their product or something VC can leverage to sell their stock to someone else. It’s not that difficult.
As far as smaller apps go these apps outsource their development to people who come with ‘packages’ to develop and maintain their app. These packages are the same logic as above but it’s just that they come from some template so you might be asked for location permission or camera or microphone by some really random app that has nothing to do with it.
While the quality of iOS is degrading, some of these things are really important and simply work better on iOS.
This is what is called lack of moat. If today, every router beyond 1Gig was made by Cisco then the moat would be so wide that the internet would literally not exist without it.
The three things that any value investor values in stocks - Great management, good reinvestment of capital and a really wide moat. Cisco didnt have a wide moat. Nvidia currently does, but it may go away sooner than later as they don't really have any special sauce to their graphics cards as such. Same goes with OpenAI, or Qualcomm (Apple made a modem now) or any other tech company with an illusion of a wide moat. Tech businesses only have a wide moat until someone decides to compete seriously and that can usually be done with a lot of money in a relatively short time.
Some of the businesses like Walmart and Cosco for example have a really wide moat in the sense that their business is not something that someone with just money can beat in a few years. Look how amazon setup physical stores with money and failed. It's extremely difficult to setup that kind of business. Trust from suppliers and consumers takes decades in those kinds of businesses.
If your business is relying on a moat that someone can beat with R&D and money in a few years, then you don't really have a moat.
Social media is like fentanyl or cocaine for the masses. It’s preying on people’s stresses and poor mental health by providing temporary relief or disconnecting from the real world. Social media being a place to connect and maybe even run a small business is like 1% of it. It’s a place for attention seeking people filling their loneliness with fake connections and content while content consumers are trying to achieve the same buy consuming instead.
Ive seen people unable to get out of instagram. Their fingers are constantly twitching and scrolling. This is just like drugs and controlled substances. The government punishes the dealers and is trying to control but failing cause there are plenty of corrupt people willing to bypass this. Same goes with social media. Zuckerberg is probably worse than Escobar.
Social medias promise of social connections was really just the same as what drug dealers offer, the good stuff for new consumers and then once they are hooked give them the cheap stuff. They really don’t care about ‘social’ part of it because the addiction potential is so high.
Start doing mass studies on cognitive problems created by instagram and TikTok. Publish them in big journals and show how social media can go from social to addictions so quickly. People already consider phones as part of their body, I won’t be surprised if people also consider their instagram account more valuable than their health.
The hardware has evolved faster than software at Apple. It’s usually the opposite with most tech companies where hardware is unable to keep up with software.
This is from manifest v3 google page. Is this declarativeNetRequest API not able to provide any filtration ? Proxying traffic does affect privacy, I agree, but that also means that Google is trusting all traffic by default which is another privacy concern. So the privacy concern seems to not make sense except that in one of the two, google loses money because of ads being blocked.
Money management and financial literacy involves psychology along with math. So does sex education like the article compares it to. Having sex or spending money is not the problem. Nor is putting fear of the two in your head from a young age or the desire for it.
As Charlie munger said - psychology should be taught from a young age. Maybe the most important topic missing from education.
Spending money isn’t bad and having sex isn’t either. But saving for a future you’ve dreamt of and sex with a loved one is better. This involves less math and sex education and more psychology and mental well being.
If you are a 30 something politician looking for a change and understand psychology, you might want to visit schools and give children hope and mental well being tips. They might vote for you in 15 years.