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bradleyjg

18,549 karma · joined December 28, 2011

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bradleyjg··on Professor denounces mass AI fraud on an exam at Brown
> Imo, the fix should be to work on culture.

We can’t even agree on what’s wrong with it. We aren’t going to be able to fix it.

bradleyjg··on Project Valhalla, Explained: How a Decade of Work Arrives in JDK 28
I definitely see people asking for features from c++. In part because virtually every feature is in c++.
bradleyjg··on The AirPods Effect
I’d say it’s the opposite. We get non enforcement and anti enforcement because lots of people aren’t directly affected.

Different neighborhoods, work from home, private transportation to work, or—admittedly to a lesser degree—AirPod insulation.

If we were really all this together quality of life in our cities would be taken far more seriously.

bradleyjg··on Israeli firm BlackCore suspected of meddling in New York and Scotland votes
That wasn’t anti Protestantism and this isn’t antisemitism.

You should defend Israel and its actions directly on the merits. Why is that so difficult?

bradleyjg··on Israeli firm BlackCore suspected of meddling in New York and Scotland votes
During the Troubles in the 80s was Northern Ireland rilled with anti Protestantism? Just a bunch of people that hated all Protestants for no reason?
bradleyjg··on Israeli firm BlackCore suspected of meddling in New York and Scotland votes
There’s definitely antisemitism out there. Criticizing Israel is not part of it. The people that run to that ever. single. time. ought to be ashamed of themselves for crying wolf. They have no right to abuse the term and rob it of legitimate meaning because they don’t have a good response on the merits.
bradleyjg··on H.R. 6028 would fundamentally change the U.S. Copyright Office
That’s too high a level of generality. Sure police situations where the branches are at direct loggerheads.

But in this case we have a law passed by congress and signed by the president. There’s no need to step in, the ordinary political processes are more than sufficient. If the new President and congress doesn’t like what the last ones did they have the exact same tools at their disposal to undo it.

Let them play!

bradleyjg··on Israeli firm BlackCore suspected of meddling in New York and Scotland votes
No one has ever called me a kike or Christ killer. No one has ever accused me of controlling the media or banks. No one has spray painted a swastika on my house, or my synagogue for that matter.

My nation, the most powerful in the world, puts a menorah in its halls of government every year for Hanukkah. The legislative and judicial branches have Jewish members at the very top level. The head of government has a Jewish son-in-law.

Even online, I see much more pervasive criticism of my nation than yours.

Yet, listen to Zionists and I’m practically living in Weimar Germany. That dog won’t hunt.

People have criticisms of Israel. They may be fair or unfair. Address them on the merits and leave the rest of us out it. It has nothing to do with Jews qua Jews.

bradleyjg··on H.R. 6028 would fundamentally change the U.S. Copyright Office
I don’t think it does. Discretion is fundamentally case by case. Drawing categorical lines is legislative.

It’s akin to the distinction between law and equity courts at common law.

Stepping back, both doctrines (non delegation, unitary executive) are fundamentally about the courts overstepping. If both houses of Congress pass a law creating an agency with a director that can only be fired for cause and the president signs it, the Supreme Court should stay out of it.

Enacting legislation is very difficult, the presumption of constitutionality should be taken more seriously.

bradleyjg··on H.R. 6028 would fundamentally change the U.S. Copyright Office
I suppose in that case you are wholly opposed to the regulatory system as legislative power should be part of the legislative branch?
bradleyjg··on Google to pay SpaceX $920M a month for compute capacity at xAI data centers
I bonds have to be bought from that website but tips can be bought from dealers.
bradleyjg··on Google to pay SpaceX $920M a month for compute capacity at xAI data centers
TIPS are yielding 2.1-2.75% _real_ across the curve from 10 to 30 years out.
bradleyjg··on I'm skeptical about efforts to revolutionize schooling
Strong correlations to actual outcomes. That can be career outcomes or otherwise but actual outcomes people care about. Not test scores.

We have a zillion natural experiments because there are so many schools in the world and within many of them teachers given a lot of leeway.

Does any of it make a damn bit of difference controlling for everything else? We have Waldorf schools teaching woodworking and cram schools shoving AP courses at eighth graders—-that’s a large difference, what do life outcomes show?

bradleyjg··on I'm skeptical about efforts to revolutionize schooling
The study picked an artificial and useless proxy.

What did tutored students go on to do? Were they over represented in Nobel Prizes, hedge fund billionaires, heads of state?

Or did they do well on a meaningless test and then forget all about whatever they “learned” just like everyone else?

The entire field is absolutely littered with this problem. Everyone is targeting cholesterol and not all cause mortality.

bradleyjg··on I'm skeptical about efforts to revolutionize schooling
I had students that I knew were smart that I was forced to fail. They would grasp the subjects quickly when I was speaking, they would ask good questions during class...and then they would simply never study or do the homework I assigned them, and then they would do terrible on tests and I'd be stuck having to give them a bad grade. They were smart students, but they didn't want to be there.

I think you need to go a level up. Forget the people that flunked the class. Did the people that get good grades learn anything? Really? Do you think they still know it?

Was learning the point for anyone or any institution involved?

bradleyjg··on Anthropic confidentially submits draft S-1 to the SEC
The index don’t use the full market cap, they use free float. Except for nasdaq and the Dow which just pick numbers out of the air.

At least at first the spacex free float will be quite modest.

bradleyjg··on I think Anthropic and OpenAI have found product-market fit
> That's a _huge_ shift. Most people I know cite +20%-40% velocity with these tools, against the actual work their company cares about doing.

We all have our own observations and mine don’t significantly diverge. But that’s bottom up. At this point shouldn’t we be seeing it top down?

If we are beyond potential and into significant productivity gains, why isn’t that showing up for the customers?

Why didn’t delta airlines get significantly more operationally efficient in the last 3 months due to the introduction of better software?

This is a genuine question, I am seeing a disconnect.

bradleyjg··on The real cost of owning a home
> Not easy I'm sure,

Can confirm it’s not easy. If you want to describe a method of finding one, I’m all ears.

bradleyjg··on Waymo says can't avoid bike lanes because riders want to be dropped off in them
I’m definitely aware they have bells. Evidence for breaks is much thinner on the ground.
bradleyjg··on Waymo says can't avoid bike lanes because riders want to be dropped off in them
And then bicyclists will hit the people crossing to the side walk.
bradleyjg··on Waymo says can't avoid bike lanes because riders want to be dropped off in them
Great, now how are we going to force bicyclists to open red lights and stop signs?
bradleyjg··on The West forgot how to make things, now it’s forgetting how to code
That's because it requires less skill! Critiquing something is always easier than doing it.

No, it was always the other way around. Mediocre programmers always wanted to rewrite everything because reading and understanding an existing codebase was always harder than writing some greenfield thing with a “modern language” or “modern libraries” or “modern idioms.” So they’d go and do that and end up with 100x the bugs.

bradleyjg··on Nothing Ever Happens: Polymarket bot that always buys No on non-sports markets
IBKR relentlessly advertises on the radio, so I’m aware that on their scheme you earn an interest like incentive coupon for every day you hold open the position.
bradleyjg··on Decisions that eroded trust in Azure – by a former Azure Core engineer
CFOs love it because Microsoft does bundle pricing with office. Plus they love to give large credits to bootstrap lock-in.
bradleyjg··on Private equity turned vulnerable elderly people into human ATMs
No it really isn’t. That’s just the latest in a long line of boogeymen. The prior ones being banned somehow didn’t lead to paradise on earth. California is the world champion and banning boogeymen. How’s that going for them?

And it’s not just one party that’s working to make the government incompetent. Both are. One for the reasons you cite, the other because it is beholden to public employees that want more money and less work. Just visit nyc or Chicago to see how that goes.

bradleyjg··on Private equity turned vulnerable elderly people into human ATMs
> We can just ban private equity companies from doing this you know.

Ideologues love to identify some small group of bad guys that if we only rein in everything will be great.

It’s private equity! It’s health insurance executives! It’s trial lawyers! It’s CNN!

The actual truth is far worse. It’s 100 million homeowners, it’s 20 million healthcare workers, it’s an entire generation too online, etc.

There’s no magic bullets. Propagating the idea that there are is how we end up with garbage legislation and regulations that don’t improve anything.

What people need to start respecting and demanding from their government is competence. The ideologues of every stripe need to go sit in a corner for a decade or three while we build back up working institutions.

bradleyjg··on Private equity turned vulnerable elderly people into human ATMs
Yet daycare costs are also exploding. In both cases it’s not primarily about wages going to the direct care workers—-though steep minimum wage increases are a factor in some jurisdictions.
bradleyjg··on Private equity turned vulnerable elderly people into human ATMs
I’m sure the new owners are scummy, but the fundamental problem isn’t scummy people. There’s lots of markets that are okay-ish notwithstanding scummy people. Even those with natural lock in effects.

The fundamental problem is it is at the intersection of two out of the three areas of the economy that have had insane cost growth over the last 30 years—-housing and healthcare (the third is education.) For the first one we know roughly what we need to do but won’t. For the second we don’t even have that.

bradleyjg··on Britain is ejecting hereditary nobles from Parliament after 700 years
It’s naive to hang on to this fantasy of a small cabal of rich people ruining everything. It’s not at all the case. No one is being tricked. The voters are the problem. Go and talk to them instead of putting them on a pedestal as tricked victims. They are rotten and that’s why they vote the way they do.

We have a moral disease that infects tens or hundreds of millions not some tiny number of ultra powerful parasites.

bradleyjg··on Polymarket gamblers threaten to kill me over Iran missile story
Maybe they are all in North Korea and beyond any extradition. But police broadly defined don’t even try very hard when it comes to certain crimes.
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