4,749 karma · joined July 19, 2023
1. Increased revenue normally means increased usage. [We don't dispute that, right?]
2. Increased usage normally means increased cost.
3. There is an exception to 2: if Anthropic made a gigantic discovery and was able to reduce the cost while increasing the usage - but since it would be in their best interests, they would announce this information and brag about it for months, but they haven't (what they do is just playing the quantization game all labs do, but this is beside the point).
4. Hence, we have very solid reasons to assume their costs increased.
This makes zero sense.
1. Open source models are already out there and they are good. Good luck with banning their use.
2. Any ban is a local ban, the best Trump can do is to coerce its allies (whose number seems to be dwindling week by week). Meanwhile China and co. will progress anyway.
3. What about the common sense and instead of saying "agent did it" we return to the times where the person using a tool was responsible for using it in the first place? And if the vendor of the tool is unable to make it safe to use (well, they well do, but they don't want to do it as the functionality is limited), it should be accompanied by a warning with a clear explanation of who exactly is responsible.
4. There is no guarantee the next generation of models will "mature" to the point of not having these flaws; on the contrary, the evidence so far shows the opposite.
Well, as as SWE who writes code by hand and has no intention to outsource their intelligence to any entity, I felt slightly offended by "back".
Provided you bent the knee and created a Microsoft account.
Also, I love their choice of words. Like "distillation against", "stealing proprietary technology" - it's all aimed at certain people.
It's definitely true to some extent, but you can't generalize "people" to some uniform group, we have various needs.
While I understand your point, please think a bit how you formulated the sentence above.
Incidentaly, smaller competitors solved this issue decades ago, while the big cloud decided it is more convenient never to implement it.
I'm sorry to break it to you but the sentence you just wrote doesn't contain any —s.
Why do you think so? This game can be played forever, you just need strong marketing and orgs gullible enough to pay a higher price for a minor upgrade.
If it was my wife, I'd probably do my best to save her.
Do you have any sources for that? I'd like to read about it.
Not sure if we can confidently say that unless the first of these companies goes public.
Given enormous competition and good progress on the part of the Chinese and open models, I'd say let's enjoy the situation while it lasts. It's like chap Uber drives a decade ago subsidized by Saudi money. I have no sympathy neither for sama/amodei nor people who invest in their companies, and happy to use their resources in this crazy show where everybody pretends something and pushes their own agenda.
Which allies?
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/11/musk-v-opena...
I think the core of this distrust is the fact that these companies positioned themselves against humanity from the start by saying people will lose most jobs etc. Not only it didn't happen, but many people feel several aspects of their lives got worse because of LLMs, in spite of obvious advantages. So the distrust and reluctance are real.
Apart from many other issues with this, heavily subsidized subscription plans won't last forever, and if you start burning your own money on tokens in this way, you'll soon realize it's terribly inefficient.