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benmarten

102 karma · joined June 9, 2015

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benmarten··on Germany Law to Force Algorithm Boost for State-Approved News
It will be abused. Usually free (counter) speech is the only reliable solution in the long run.
benmarten··on Germany Law to Force Algorithm Boost for State-Approved News
This is not only undemocratic, but it’s essentially a mild form of censorship.
benmarten··on Show HN: I built a social media management tool in 3 weeks with Claude and Codex
No x?
benmarten··on Show HN: Dokku-multideploy – Deploy and migrate multiple apps between servers
Author here!

I built a bash script to manage deployments of multiple applications to a single Dokku server. I made this after I was paying like 30$+ a month on DigitalOcean, and wanted to move fast to a different VPS

What it does:

  - Import existing servers - Run ./deploy.sh --import ./apps --ssh your-server to clone all your apps, export their config (domains, ports, storage, postgres, letsencrypt), and env vars

  - Migrate between servers - Import from old server, change SSH config, deploy to new server

  - Multi-app orchestration - One config.json manages multiple independent repos

  - Hierarchical configuration - Parent settings cascade to deployments, children can override

  - Smart deploys - Skips unchanged apps by comparing git commits

  - Tag-based filtering - --tag staging or --tag api to deploy subsets

  - Secrets via .env files - Hierarchical: _api (shared) → api.example.com (specific)
Pure bash, requires only jq. No daemon, no external services.
benmarten··on HPV vaccination reduces oncogenic HPV16/18 prevalence from 16% to <1% in Denmark
I would like to add:

Weaknesses / Counters:

1) Surrogate endpoint only — HPV PCR positivity is not a clinical outcome; no CIN2/3, no cancer, no mortality measured

2) Correlation ≠ causation — HPV-cancer link is epidemiological association; Koch's postulates not fulfilled in traditional sense; detecting DNA doesn't prove pathogenic activity

3) PCR detection ≠ disease — Transient HPV infections are common and clear spontaneously; most HPV-positive women never develop lesions or cancer

4) Type replacement signal ignored — 66% higher incidence of non-vaccine HR types in vaccinated group is dismissed rather than investigated as potential clinical concern

5) No long-term clinical follow-up — Cervical cancer takes 15-30 years to develop; this 7-year study cannot assess actual cancer prevention

6) Confounding in vaxxed vs unvaxxed comparison — Unvaccinated group is small (n=859), likely differs in health behaviors, screening adherence, socioeconomic factors

7) Circular reasoning — Vaccine "works" because it reduces detection of the types it targets; says nothing about whether those types were actually causing disease in this population

8) Assumes HPV16/18 reduction = cancer reduction — Untested assumption; clinical benefit must be demonstrated, not inferred from PCR

9) High baseline HR-HPV in vaccinated group unexplained — 32% prevalence of other HR types suggests substantial ongoing oncogenic exposure despite vaccination

10) Genome validity unestablished — HPV reference genomes are in-silico constructs assembled computationally; never validated by sequencing purified, isolated viral particles; PCR/sequencing performed on mixed clinical samples where true origin of amplified fragments is indeterminate

benmarten··on Trial results for new lung cancer drug are 'off the charts'
RCT? Doesn’t look like it…
benmarten··on Chat control: EU Commission presents mass surveillance plan on May 11
Well said. If there's no true freedom of speech, we've lost everything. The last two years offered already a glimpse... Now look at China. It's mind blowing. Poor people.
benmarten··on Estimation of total mortality due to COVID-19
https://www.USMortality.com
benmarten··on California is not in drought
I’m so tired of these pseudo science modelers. We have seen where it leads us with covid. Humans tend to overestimate their importance.
benmarten··on Incident: American B38M near Nassau on Mar 29th 2021, pitch trim issue/failure
I'm refusing to fly the MAX, period! The plane is flawed by design...
benmarten··on US Mortality Monitoring – Deaths, Excess, Z-Scores, State Map
I’ve added it https://www.USMortality.com/historical
benmarten··on US Mortality Monitoring – Deaths, Excess, Z-Scores, State Map
Tend to agree, check out my sheet here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dvfMYnPrb_Ln9qvEZVuL...

The mortality is as bad as in 2005 roughly!

benmarten··on US Mortality Monitoring – Deaths, Excess, Z-Scores, State Map
Check out my google sheeet for Mortality data since 1999: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dvfMYnPrb_Ln9qvEZVuL...
benmarten··on Upgraded reminders aren't compatible with earlier versions of iOS and macOS
it happens for all people. imo thats a major fail from apple. why don't they roll out the necessary backend changes in 12.4 or sth?
benmarten··on Yield Curves Invert in U.S., U.K
10y/2y inverted also in 1998, but recession only came in 2001. so 3years later.... it can be long time until recession ;) note that the 10y/3m already inverted though. its more reliable....
benmarten··on China says it wants to eliminate Bitcoin mining
from planet's perspective. everyone can be thankful
benmarten··on Battery Reality: There’s Nothing Better Than Lithium-Ion Coming Soon
Is this going to be the next plastic that's going to destroy & pollute nature? Maybe authorities should invest into developing a good refund solution sooner than later. I already see some destroyed batteries on streets sometimes, and I wonder what they will do to our environment.
benmarten··on U.S. Changes Visa Process for High-Skilled Workers
isn't that page going against wsj's terms?
benmarten··on Show HN: Whapp-irc – A simple WhatsApp IRC gateway
because iMessage is closed api by apple. and they likely will prohibit any interference with their api...
benmarten··on Startups Rejecting Venture Capital
Well, that's kinda expected isn't it? Also keeping in mind that essentially 9/10 startups fail, VC's are well aware of that and basically treat you that way. Welcome to the lions den!
benmarten··on Record Numbers of Americans Want to Leave the U.S
I disagree for the opportunities we have here and the amount of taxes we pay it's pretty great!
benmarten··on Monorepo: please do
I couldn't agree more!
benmarten··on Monorepo: please do
I really don't understand what you describe as effort or huge burden. Writing a simple script that can solve your releasing tasks is simple. Imo a lot of engineers just want to write code but a lot of the time building software consists of other things too, such as testing, releasing, documentation etc. Simply avoiding them doesn't make it better.
benmarten··on Monorepo: please do
It's not, why do I have to checkout terabyte of code that I don't need, even if the code is modularized?
benmarten··on Monorepo: please do
Please don't. It's just too slow and not efficient. Instead use common open source best practices of shared library architecture. Problem solved! Putting everything into one repo is just lack of organization and creates a huge mess.
benmarten··on Spain will soon overtake Japan in life expectancy rankings
it might be the food though. my wife is asian and I haven't seen any dairy or undercooked meat products in their dishes.
benmarten··on Ibuprofen alters human testicular physiology to produce compensated hypogonadism
What was the effect in the first place?
benmarten··on SIPC Says It Has Serious Concerns About Robinhood's New Product
In Germany 5% was common at that time for savings.
benmarten··on VW says combustion cars will fade away after 2026
You forgot Apple, since they are secretly working on their own car too - I heard ;)
benmarten··on What to say when recruiters ask you to name the first number
Netflix
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