42 karma · joined April 20, 2018
The ISS will almost certainly be decommissioned by 2030 anyway, and we're not going to have a space elevator by then. There'll still be other stuff in LEO that we want to get to though.
Say each one weighs a gram, and is 1m across - that's just impossibly small. The Hubble ST's resolving power means that it can resolve a 1m object (ie, make one pixel = 1m²) at something like 4000km away. In space terms, that is practically touching. In interstellar terms, that might as well be inside the planet!
Any transmitting that it might be doing would necessarily be very low power, which means it would need to be highly directional and pointed back the way it had come, behind what must be a reflector more reflective by far than anything we know how to build. Unless you managed to get its transmission pointed directly at you by being behind it, there'd be no way to see it.
After decades or more in the interstellar void, it would be about as equal to the ambient temperature as it's possible to be, and in any case, it's not made of very much 'stuff', so it would have no heat signature to detect.
Lastly, at 20% light speed, they would cover the average distance from Pluto to Earth in something like 36 hours. That's not a lot of time to search!
The only possible method I can think of would be to detect the results of these things crashing into dust within the solar system. How much of a 'puff' a gram of diffuse something travelling at 0.2c hitting a speck of rock makes I don't know. Still way too small to spot, I'm sure.
As far as collecting, I remember reading a back-of-the-envelope analysis that suggested that we might be able to catch it if we made a really concerted effort. We might then be able to hit it with an impactor (or just smack the probe into it) and do some spectroscopy on the resulting dust cloud, but it's going way too fast in an inconvenient direction for us to be able to collect anything, slow down and return it.
The "will" in the title is just flat wrong. "Might possibly" is a stretch, even. People are sketching out the idea, enough that there are known but currently insurmountable problems in doing it. It's an interesting and promising approach in general though.
Some additional highlights:
> accelerate the nanocraft with a 60,000-G force
We're going to make a package of sensors, transmitters, power source and sail that weighs one gram and can also survive 60,000g's of acceleration for multiple minutes? For comparison, the US Navy's ship mounted railguns accelerate projectiles at something like 15,000-20,000g, and those are 10kg of high-precision tungsten, and need to do nothing except not disintegrate.
> The combined laser power needs to be something close to 100 gigawatts
If my maths are right, that's nearly the generation capacity of Japan (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_electrici...). Granted, it wouldn't be required for long, but recruiting (or alternatively, storing) a whole-extra-Japan's worth of energy for even a few seconds is just completely ridiculous. We would need large-scale orbiting solar or commodity fusion power before we could even dream of anything like that.
Farmed seaweed and algae > biochar is a very promising sequestration approach, I think.
The document shown also doesn't specify that the actual exhibition is a problem. So, if I create a film intended for private exhibition and then later exhibit it publicly, is that okay?
The sucky bit is being the employee of the scummy sub-contractor who promises more than they can deliver, and expects their staff to do bullshit like this to make it up.
> the web’s promise of instant and free access to the world’s information appears to be dying.
That wasn't ever a promise, or rather, it wasn't "the web's" promise to make. It might have been the ad-hoc default for a while, but it turns out that it's not sustainable or scalable, no matter how much we'd like it to be.
Actually, looking at that calculation, I wonder how much the fact that this turbine doesn't introduce cavitation (bubbles) affects the efficiency. The water would be more dense, which would theoretically improve output... no idea if enough to worry about, though.
As other people have said, the advantage here seems to be that you get a high rotation speed out of a low hydraulic head. A waterwheel in this case would have lower RPMs, and so require more gearing etc. to be efficient for power production.
In general, turbines are preferred because the moving parts are smaller - rather than having a massive spinning wheel, you just let gravity provide the water pressure, and have a much smaller turbine blade do the spinning.
I mean, I get the whole 'not everyone designs', but anyone wanting to work at that level should at least know 'text-as-images = bad'.