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baybal2

13,766 karma · joined June 12, 2016

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baybal2··on Wafer shortage improvement in sight for 300mm, but not 200mm
Hmmm, is there such a thing as 200mm 65nm equipment?
baybal2··on 460M Indian Internet Users Are Now on IPv6
China is an odd case, all ISPs (really there is no choice it's either China Telecom, or Unicom) use IPV6 internally, but often don't give you V6 address depending on the region.
baybal2··on The new and upgraded Framework Laptop
Will Framework sell knockdown kits to assemblers?
baybal2··on McDonald’s to Exit from Russia
One of my traumas from life in Russia during my childhood is the understanding that you live in a North Korea redux, and you have McDonalds, and other Western companies from democratic countries coming here, and feeding that regime.

US politicians kept droning how terrible Russia was through whole 200X, yet allow their companies to "wage business on the free world"

Can you imagine McDonalds in Pyongyang, and Don Thompson happily fellating political commissars in their boardroom? This is how I felt Western companies were behaving.

baybal2··on Many software companies are a joke
> The sad thing is that it’s a joke that many people don’t seem to be in on.

On each of my job in my early career, I spent considerable effort weeding out people who got too used to such mode of work.

There are software developers with vastly different prior work experience, and expectations. People who do 30 minutes of actual coding a day, and ones who do 11 hours in coding sweatshops.

People who spent their entire career on 30 minutes of coding a day jobs, and think of themselves too much once they rise in seniority are the worst, and are the biggest source of dumpster fire/death march projects.

My third serious job in Canada: work in a consumer electronics trading company, upgrading their shipping system to get shipment status from DHL API, and submitting new ones. My predecessor, and ex-unit head wasted close to $1m, and more than a year, got SAP involved, invited many consultants, change managers, a project management contractor, and just been in the process of "fixing deficiencies" of his work by buying "enterprise SOA solution."

23 year old me called this bullshit on the second week, fought to have a serious talk with the company owner, rewrote a 10 years old steaming pile of PERL, and BASH scripts to Python, Postgres, and JS frontend in under one week, showed it working, and countered "You don't understand SOA!" protests of the unit head in front of the boss. He gets fired, I get a bonus the size of my annual salary.

Since then, my bosses always threw me as a "firefighter" on projects in crisis.

------------

We now have 2 major trends in the industry:

1. More, and more non-IT companies are trying to do software

2. A giant amount of newcomers to the industry who would've normally went working for banks, and management consulting companies eroding big IT companies as later grew with little regard to quality of hires.

baybal2··on A guide to getting started with embedded systems
> Something I never understood about embedded systems work: why is the pay so bad?

Because there is no demand. Because today, you get all the software along with hardware. And that software is already written somewhere in China, by same people who make the hardware.

Google, Facebook, Snapachat, MicroSoft, Amazon all run their hardware R&D in China for obvious reason that the hardware is already being manufactured there. They all copy Apple, and surely think that they can become Apple if they do like them.

baybal2··on Bzip3 – A better and stronger spiritual successor to bzip2
1. zStandard is not a standard

2. Bzip2 is somewhat is a standard

3. zStandard is not a substitute for Bzip2

baybal2··on Everything with a battery should have an off switch
You can have pushbutton on/off controlled by an MCU, and having near zero leakage.

Just lookup circuits.

baybal2··on Everything with a battery should have an off switch
Can you tell whether you work in a product design company, or an engineering company?

Does that come from clients?

I used the same 3-in-1 latch circuit for power on/off, pairing, and software power off for 12 years.

A good enhancement mode NMOS FET can be as good as a physical switch at low voltages.

If you really need nano-amp level leakage current AND very low drop, you can consider turning to beefy depletion mode devices, which gate the user will discharge with the button press. A nice benefit is that you can directly sense the button press with an MCU.

I once even did a bluetooth mouse with this "hardware" switch, and a graceful shutdown: we sense voltage on the buck capacitor, and detect when the battery disconnect triggers.

The few microfarads in the capacitor are enough to send the last update with the 0% battery level, and a disconnect command.

baybal2··on How Apple overcame its culture of secrecy to create AirPods Pro
I regularly work for companies working for Apple, have a number of ex-coworkers who worked, or went to work to Apple.

Lose tongues are everywhere, and Apple can't seem to keep anything secret in its China RnD unit.

Shenzhen is a city of 17M on the paper, but very few people are working in Hardware now. It's a very small industry. I feel I know more than half of all companies on somebody's resume. Most of 30-40 years olds in the industry were already working for 10+ years.

Btw Most of AirPods RnD was done in China, not California.

I would also add that hardware unit side in Apple is said to be very conservative, and a mirror image of their software team. At least in China, they hold a lifelong negative score system, where -30 is you are out under any conditions, and 15 minutes late counts as -3. They also use USB sticks to move files around, and work on offline computers to prevent leaks. Also, WinXP everywhere.

baybal2··on One step closer to a passwordless future
Google so far been trying to do this for 6-7 years since they attempted to force push FIDO through Android.

W3C adoption stalled, and they shot them in the foot with de-facto 3 incompatible standards rolled out under the same name.

Smartcards are an alternative solution, been working for 20+ years, and they keep being sabotaged to make way for FIDO (signing/encryption/enrolment APIs being axed from browsers.)

baybal2··on Intel CEO Sees Chip Shortage Lasting into 2024
You mean BGA laptop chips? Or desktop ones?
baybal2··on Intel CEO Sees Chip Shortage Lasting into 2024
Of few generations older varieties mostly. Alder lake is impossible to get from distributors.

ULP Alders are only sold to tier 1, a teaspoon at a time.

On other hand, 2-3, even 4 years old dies from Intel stocks are flooding distributors who use every thing imaginable to get rid of them.

baybal2··on World military expenditure passes $2T for first time
> With the benefit of hindsight, non-proliferation stemmed from the same misplaced optimism that led the U.S. to welcome China into the WTO.

Totally correct. It's impossible to talk of global peace when you know that 2 most malevolent political entities on the planet were not only let to live, but empowered by yesterday's victor, all knowing that internal elites of USSR, and PRC were burning with "Never forget USA!" It was totally the West repeating the folly of king Helu.

Yet, I believe the humanity was close to achieving real global peace after the USSR's collapse if more effort was made.

We already seen that UN based security can work in nineties, when Russia, and China were made to lay cathartic.

If we can defeat the USSR 2.0, and PRC, we would have a very real shot at working global security system as was imagined by UN's forefathers.

baybal2··on Electronics Explained: Fundamentals for engineers, technicians and makers (2018)
I am doing electronics since my first job in 2007, and I never managed to get a university education in it. I greatly regret.

Even 15 years later, I still can't do things every uni grad should be able to through practice, and drill. You will never be as good as an engineer with university education, if you self-study.

baybal2··on My upgrade to 25 Gbit/s Fiber To The Home
> Being from a third world country, I completely agree with you on how technological investment can change lives.

Being from a soon north korea 2.0 to be (russia,) I can say it was my surprise to see Internet being so bad across the developed countries when I was travelling in the previous decade. Canada - ridiculously expensive traffic, Germany - no comments, UK - sometimes good, sometimes 128kbps DSL, USA - 20mbps DocSis everywhere

India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, China, much of Africa had FTTH as the dominant way of home Internet connection for a while.

baybal2··on Companies are buying washing machines to take the chips out and repurpose them
I sold my surplus STM32 reels at 12x of the original price a year ago.
baybal2··on War of memes: Why Z-war won't end with peace
I lived in Russia since early childhood till 2007.

When I tell foreigners abroad that Russia has an aggressive, militarist culture in a way an unrepentant Germany was, I am often called a nazi, and a rusophobe.

https://i1.kknews.cc/n5Oypu_Nfn50D-QnkvdGWfn3-eO-QmoGHwXkVNY...

baybal2··on War of memes: Why Z-war won't end with peace
I'm a Russian citizen. My late parents sent me off to Singapore when it became clear that Russia is done for as a country in 2007.

What they told me "you can't stay human if you will live in Russia."

baybal2··on The tank is dead: Long live the javelin, the switchblade, the ... ?
No, it's because they need money for new tactical missiles, and standoff weapons.

And because US marines conceded on the idea of fighting China amphibiously. Honestly, the idea to take, and hold those tiny islandlets in the South Sea by force landing is ridiculous.

----

No tank, or just anything will "live" if being sent into a know killbox, and Russians keep doing that repeatedly. This is what's happening in Ukraine now. Literally this: a clueless battalion sized force wades into a killbox, gets annihilated to last few men, next day, another battalion is sent to exactly the same spot...

Russians could've easily lost as much with modern, or other kind of military hardware than tanks.

Most Russian tanks were disabled by artillery, and missiles, not in tank vs. tank battles. No tank in the world would survive a 40kg missile, or an artillery shell hitting its roof. So, the quality of hardware is irrelevant.

Most of Russian military hardware losses are not from battles, but from soldiers routing, and abandoning their vehicles, which are LATER destroyed, or captured.

What is really telling is extremely low quality is the Russian military leadership.

The key here is to understand that losses do not come from 40kg missiles themselves, but from Russian generals knowingly sending their troops into ATGM, and artillery killboxes, and from Russian troops knowing their generals intentions, and acting accordingly (routing upon first battle damage)

----

In the context of above, it's very clear that amphibious landing in the age of satellite reconnaissance, infrared optics, 100km artillery projectiles, and antiship missiles is not a smart way to wage war today

baybal2··on What does “shitty job” mean in the low-skill, low-pay world?
For the interest of HN reader demographics:

The salary of experienced assembly line worker in South China has passed that of USA's central states few years ago, just before the CoVID.

For places like Bangladesh, Vietnam, and Pakistan, working in a factory is quite a dream job, and a ticket to the middle class living. People who poo on "sweatshops" in Asia hardly realise that these sweatshops are better than 90% of all jobs there.

I worked for companies who did manufacturing setup for Yadea in Vietnam, FairElectronics, and Walton in Bangladesh. Their HRs have a meter thick pile of resumes they work with every month.

baybal2··on How destructive are nuclear weapons really?
> So even if you have your own farms, property rights are basically over under a catastrophe of that scale

1. And for the same reason, just any kind of government will be forced to seize land from vapid hipsters, and grow something edible on it, along with enforcing at least minimal rationing.

2. 1/3 of food in the world is wasted

> consumers in rich countries waste almost as much food, 222 million tonnes, as the entire net food production of sub-Saharan Africa

A healthy young adult can live a heck a lot of time on one bag of staple foods.

baybal2··on Sunken Moskva Could Be the Biggest Naval Combat Loss in 40 Years
> On paper the Russian missile defense systems should be able to easily defeat 2 missiles like the neptune.

Mokva air defence radar only looks one way.

They made it look away from the coast using a drone, and then launched missiles when it turned away from the coast — this is how I imagine it happened.

baybal2··on Putin ‘purges’ 150 FSB agents in response to Russia’s botched war with Ukraine
> You know that Russian tanks are throwaway tanks. Low quality, cheap and fast production, built to abandon.

Russians could've easily lost as much even with better military hardware.

Most of Russian military hardware losses are not from battles, but from soldiers routing, and abandoning their vehicles, which are LATER destroyed, or captured.

Most Russian tanks were disabled by artillery, and missiles, not tank vs. tank battles. No tank in the world would survive a 40kg missile, or an artillery shell hitting its roof. So, the quality of hardware is irrelevant.

What is really low quality is the Russian military leadership.

The key here is to understand that losses do not come from 40kg missiles themselves, but from Russian generals knowingly sending their troops into ATGM, and artillery killboxes, and from Russian troops knowing their generals intentions, and acting accordingly (routing upon first battle damage)

baybal2··on What science says: Could humans survive a nuclear war between NATO and Russia?
> Does this include boomers?

No, only silo based. No submarines at sea, or any mobile land based ones, as they will delay the first strike, and out the preparations for it. Warheads on them are tiny as well.

baybal2··on USB receiver for the IBM SK-8807 Infrared-only keyboard
I find it amusing how Google went an extra mile to kill IrDA on Android, to push own Google Beam.

I remember at around the age of first OHA phones, Japanese all had IrDA ports, but google has persistently stonewalled IrDA inclusion into Android mainline.

Sharing things were super easy on my Ericsson r520: press menu, and press 5 — contact shared in just 1 second.

baybal2··on What science says: Could humans survive a nuclear war between NATO and Russia?
The predictions I read cite 300 to 500 warheads if Russia will chose to specifically target Europe, which is unrealistic, as US will (hopefully) retaliate.

It's not me saying that NATO should not attack at all. Having even 300 nuclear warheads shot at you is no good news at all, and you need to preempt that at any cost, including doing a first strike/sabotage on your own.

The number one reason why USSR/Russia never attacked Europe is because it can't attack Europe, and US at the same time. And this is the easiest explanation why Putin been driving a wedge in between EU, and USA for all his 23 years in power.

baybal2··on What science says: Could humans survive a nuclear war between NATO and Russia?
This only possible if command, and control infrastructure is intact.

If C&C is destroyed, Russia cannot do a coordinated launch of its full arsenal. If C&C in Moscow is taken out, it will be up to people in command bunkers in Russia to decide on taking own action, fully knowing that random fire at will launch is futile against a seriously NBC prepared adversary.

Only silo based ICBMs are kept in state of high readiness, and can be fired "with a press of a button." That limits targets by range, number of delivery vehicles, and whether the warheads have their own individual last stages. Russian has 3 major silo based ICBM field, each built with 1 major target in mind: 1 for Europe, 1 for the US, and 1 for China. We don't know how many of missiles will be retargeted, or how many can, but we are certain that a lot of ICBMs employed, say, in the Russian Far East, cannot reach most of the US even with a single warhead.

The highly improbable scenario of Russia being allowed to launch all of its ~1000 at short notice, and launch them only at densely populated cities is predicted to cause 50M deaths in USA without BMD, people taking to nuclear shelters, and no civil defence defence response.

In reality, it's practically impossible to successfully fire their whole arsenal without prior notice, and fire it on designated target only in Europe or North America.

The realistic estimate is that the US will face 300 to 500 warheads.

baybal2··on What science says: Could humans survive a nuclear war between NATO and Russia?
NATO would still have a multiple of conventional firepower to defeat Russia few times over. That's based on a scenarios if Russia somehow manages to fire all of its 1000 warheads into NATO force in Europe, without being fired back at.
baybal2··on Invitation to Europe
I would greatly doubt much hopes for this "relaunch" if they will continue their conformist tune.

People need to get it crystal clear, the last of "independent" Russian media were only allowed to be because they were the most compliant, and collaborationist ones vs. ones which were confrontational, and making actual difference.

Best Russian journalists were killed, or exiled many years before.

The only meaningful further press coverage of Russian politics must be about regime change, and not empty hopes for "reform," and "dialog" with the system which showed itself not amendable to anything of that for 23 years.

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