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barnabyjones

136 karma · joined November 23, 2023

old china hand. ecommerce.

archassius@gmail.com

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barnabyjones··on How turkey hacked the hair-transplant industry
The first gulp from the glass of wealth will make you reach for the stars, but at the bottom of the glass, a hair transplant is waiting for you.
barnabyjones··on Sauna effect on heart rate
Without exercise, you won't burn ATP and thus won't increase mitochondrial count.
barnabyjones··on Dutch government takes control of Chinese-owned chipmaker Nexperia
I'm not seeing any mention of the Entity List ITT, which seems like the real reason. Via SCMP:

>Some analysts said the move by the Dutch ministry resulted from a new rule issued by the US Bureau of Industry and Security, the agency responsible for export control policies. The rule, effective September 29, imposed new restrictions on entities which are at least 50 per cent owned by enterprises on the Entity List or the Military End-User List – two blacklists issued by the US government.

barnabyjones··on ChatControl: EU wants to scan all private messages, even in encrypted apps
>1) Life, especially in the EU, is not like in an American action movie;

Only because of the immense wealth, freedom and culture brought by generations of struggle and tenacity. If it isn't defended, it can go away quickly, but the current generation probably won't bear the costs. I doubt that Europeans in the 22nd c. will enjoy such a comfortable life, though.

barnabyjones··on How did sports betting become legal in the US?
The funny thing is the platforms are barely profitable if at all. The earnings all get funneled to ads as that's the only way to differentiate, aside from maybe a slightly better UX.
barnabyjones··on AI tools are making the world look weird
I have saved instructions for Gemini to translate queries into the local language then retranslate the output back to English, when asking about non-English speaking countries/cultures. It seems to work fairly well, but I think it's just due to the different content trained in that language; obviously there would be more in depth discussion of Indonesian cuisine in Indonesian. Whether the country is rich or democratic shouldn't really affect the output.
barnabyjones··on Meta’s live demo fails; “AI” recording plays before the actor takes the steps
I think such an emotionless android would have diligently prepared numerous backup scripts, sets of lenses, actors, demonstrations etc. to cover any failure contingency, since the cost of that is infinitesimal compared to even a slight change in their brand value.
barnabyjones··on Age Simulation Suit
The Xreal front page is people playing racing games and watching movies; I'm imagining something that can be used nonchalantly in public, and I'm assuming every feature beyond a bare minimum speech-to-text display would increase the size.
barnabyjones··on Age Simulation Suit
I know my folks already watch movies with subtitles for this reason, and I would think sight issues can be calibrated for if the product is a pair of glasses? But idk how AR tech works with e.g. farsighted people who use reading glasses.
barnabyjones··on Age Simulation Suit
Those look bulky, to support exactly the kind of feature creep I think will always be a problem with this category. I think there are a LOT of people who would simply not consider wearing them until the form factor is close to normal glasses, but it would be hard to convince any product manager not to expand into videos/games/music/AI/etc.
barnabyjones··on Age Simulation Suit
My parents have similar issues due to hearing loss, it really makes any kind of social interaction a chore which results in a similar spiral. For years I've wanted to try to make, or hope someone else would make, a set of AR glasses that's purely focused on providing accurate real-time subtitles, no other gimmicks or features that might affect the wearability/usability. I think that's the biggest QOL boost most old folks would get from a single product, and it seems much more realistically feasible than other potential QOL solutions like robotics, but I wouldn't know where to start with building it. As a bonus, it would just need an LLM/Google Translate hookup to become an amazing travel tool.
barnabyjones··on GPT-5
Zuckerberg has spent over fifty billion dollars on the idea that people will want to play a Miiverse game where they can attend meetings in VR and buy virtual real estate. It's like the Spanish emptying Potosi to buy endless mercenaries.
barnabyjones··on Italy's pizza detectives
That's true but most of them are unleavened, the yeast plus the fast cook time is I think what makes pizza unique, more than the cheese which is present in other variations.
barnabyjones··on Requiem for a Solar Plant
Reading this right after watching "Mountainhead" was enjoyable, but I do commend the guy for publishing it; sadly few case studies where things went wrong ever see the light of day. This part stood out:

>"What's the tax treatment on crypto profits if I roll them into a Qualified Opportunity Zone investment?" I'd asked my accountant. His eyes had lit up—the first clue I was onto something interesting.

If you find yourself in the position of giving tax advice to your accountant, he's either a crummy accountant or playing you to get more fees. And it looks like the most rosy estimate was -$1.5m NPV to gain ~$1.1m ($8.7m x 0.32 x 0.4) in tax benefits? I can't see what the plan was.

> Mr. R's application stood out immediately...Our first Zoom call revealed a muscular man with a shaved head and a perpetually amused expression

It seems that everyone involved had dollar signs in their eyes. The cherry on top was moving to a country he knew nothing about for "lower taxes."

barnabyjones··on Animate Anyone 2: High-Fidelity Character Image Animation
Even though the examples have a clear green-screen effect, I would think some of the tricks/filters they used in old video games to make them look "realistic/cinematic" could work here, then advertisers would be able to plug in a picture of a model wearing their latest outfit to a stock video for social media and digital ads.
barnabyjones··on Ray-Ban Meta glasses have sold 2M units, production to be increased
Interesting, I've been thinking for a long time these would be most useful to the hearing impaired if they get a simple text display going. Some people just simply avoid social situations because hearing aids aren't good enough, having subtitles wherever you go would be really revolutionary for them. Same for traveling.
barnabyjones··on Show HN: Ricotta – Language Learning to Replace Anki
It doesn't handle homonyms well, since the AI isn't given contextual reference. The sentences are also too simple on advanced level, so you don't get much more out of it than just reviewing the words. The AI coming up with words for you doesn't add a ton of value, most languages have standardized tests with good word lists that learners should already be using. Adding the issues others mentioned, I think this is feasible but needs agents taking additional steps to mimic what a real tutor would do and formulate a useful short lesson.

Personally I find Duolingo great for Japanese, I have the opposite problem: I run out of hearts if I try to do review and the app rarely gives me much old content, so I don't practice it. If this could come up with Duolingo-esque lessons for different levels I might use it to supplement. But letting users choose words/a topic is not necessarily important, most people don't know what they should study so it might be better to have "recommended" premade decks for different levels.

barnabyjones··on Meta torrented & seeded 81.7 TB dataset containing copyrighted data
Isn't that what this whole thread is about? They're surely not going to come after Meta with the same vigor.
barnabyjones··on Changes in schizophrenia diagnoses associated with cannabis use disorder
I agree it can cause those effects but it always seemed to me that the weed is just causing sleep deprivation which eventually leads to psychosis. IME it's not much different from alcohol in that way, they both disturb REM sleep so you end up deprived with daily use. It's just more apparent with weed because you don't get the hangover effects, so it's easy to overuse.
barnabyjones··on Results of "Humanity's Last Exam" benchmark published
>He would likely be more intelligent than a toddler

I think you are falling into the trap of "we have technology and are therefore smarter." I would expect an average Roman senator could formulate far better speeches off the top of his head than 99% of modern people, and also in excess of anything an LLM is capable of. And that's supposed to be an LLM's specialty, there's no comparison when it comes to organizing actual projects like construction or campaigns.

barnabyjones··on People are bad at reporting what they eat. That's a problem for dietary research
A2 milk not only exists but is very popular in Asia actually. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_a2_Milk_Company
barnabyjones··on Byzantine-Sassanian War (602-628 CE): The Last Great War of Antiquity (2023)
Climate change did not defeat a million soldiers at Badger Mouth, nor could it be explained by slightly better bows.
barnabyjones··on I have made the decision to disband Hindenburg Research
Keep in mind, fraud isn't necessarily a big deal for the shareholder, not all fraud is Enron-tier. For example, I fully believe they were right about Adani, but it was basically just skimming money off the top. If Adani is an embezzler, but also good and funneling bribes to get gov't contracts, then the overall effect on profits may just be breakeven or even positive. The losers would be the Indian citizenry. The company isn't doing so well now possibly due to a culture of corruption, but that kind of long-term culture analysis is hard for traders. But generally, fraud isn't severe enough to enough to endanger the company, it's just taking some money out of shareholders' pockets, but dispassionate traders don't usually sell out of retaliation.
barnabyjones··on Road signs to help people limit radiation exposure in contaminated areas
The nationalist spirit is founded on imperial ambitions, and the pieces were in place for WWI partly due to empires and pretenders who would claim the title of "empire" both increasingly desperate to cement their legitimacy through power projection.
barnabyjones··on A laptop stand made from a single sheet of recycled paper
It's literally ten times the cost of a plastic stand on Temu ($34 vs $3.35).
barnabyjones··on Predictions Scorecard, 2025 January 01
>Individually owned cars can go underground onto a pallet and be whisked underground to another location in a city at more than 100mph.

I'm curious where this idea even came from, not sure who the customer would be, it's a little disappointing he doesn't mention mag-lev trains in a discussion about future rapid transit. I'd much rather ride a smooth mag-lev across town than an underground pallet system.

barnabyjones··on Scientists uncover how the brain washes itself during sleep
If maternal mortality were the only issue, evolutionary pressure would also favor women with wider hips/birthing canals. After all, we see hyper intelligent individuals at the current brain size, it's clearly possible to get more processing power in there but there doesn't seem to be much reproductive benefit.
barnabyjones··on Online Behavioral Ads Fuel the Surveillance Industry
I disagree, since the feelings it can cause are still real. If making people excited through marketing makes them more motivated to work (increasing their "utility" in dry econ terms), that's the same kind of value creation as any physical product. I'd rather summarize the ill effects as "Nobody is immune to propaganda."
barnabyjones··on How saffron became an American cash crop
It says that the first couple spent $20,000 on bulbs 3 years ago which gives them a $25,000 harvest, and have somehow made $1 million from this. There seems to be some information missing.
barnabyjones··on I still don't think companies serve you ads based on your microphone
The assumption is that it's either widespread or nonexistent, but I could see it being just a rare instance that gets A/B tested, and maybe by now the companies have decided it's not worth it. But IME all kinds of not quite kosher stuff gets A/B tested, and that would line up with anecdotes where it's too specific to be coincidence, but also uncommon and only affecting certain people.
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