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awaythrow483

158 karma · joined February 9, 2022

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awaythrow483··on Uber attempting to reduce office space in SF / 31% of office leases open
Oh weird. Well, no biggie. Im sure SF will figure something out and it will all be fine
awaythrow483··on Uber attempting to reduce office space in SF / 31% of office leases open
This shouldnt be a problem due to the massive demand for office space in SF...

I wonder at what point it will be cheaper to lease out an entire floor of a corporate office and throw an air matress in it then to rent a 3 bedroom house.

awaythrow483··on The Return of the Early 2000s Housing Bubble
This seems pretty credible because in the 00s all of the analysts predicted the bubble.

Oh nevermind, that never happens, the analysts always say this time is different and then afterwards "nobody could have seen it coming" because it was due to factors they werent looking at

awaythrow483··on White House pledges $140M for seven new AI research centers
Thank god someone is finally directing tax payer capital towards AI because the free market just wasnt getting it done.
awaythrow483··on Home Prices Fell in Third of the U.S. During First Quarter
And the recession hasn't even started yet. Going to be brutal.
awaythrow483··on El Chapo’s sons built a fentanyl empire poisoning America
Americans aggressively seek out hard drugs because they absolutely love consuming them and cannot get enough. Some Mexicans have ramped up production in response.

Fixed that for you

awaythrow483··on America’s jobs report is not as strong as it seems
The stock market is an incoherent junkie standing on the edge of the precipice and trying to get its fix.

It's going to shape all news into good news. There is no alternative

https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/strategy/sp-us-equ...

awaythrow483··on The businessman and the fisherman (1963)
The story from the wall on Jimmy John's?
awaythrow483··on PacWest Is Weighing Strategic Options, Including Possible Sale
Bullish. Unprofitable tech is about to hit its stride I think
awaythrow483··on More regional banks looking ready to fail in after hours trading
Regional banks after hours trading at time of post:

PacWest: $PACW: -53.9%

Western Alliance $WAL: -27.3%

Metropolitan Bank $MCB: -17.1%

Zion also down ~15%

edit: they appear to be continuing down from when I posted this

awaythrow483··on De-dollarization is happening at a ‘stunning’ pace
I'm not supporting or attacking the dollar milkshake theory but I don't think this contradicts it.

I think the theory would say that this will counterintuitively result in an eventual huge dollar spike as new dollar demand but also liquidity dry up while existing demand from existing USD loans stay constant.

I think it's too early to tell. I don't believe in his USD superspike but I do think the underlying dynamic is real and this will not result in the dollar being substantially lower in the let's say 1-3 year time frame (ie DXY < 90)

awaythrow483··on First Republic falls. Is the banking crisis restarting?
Is this supposed to be humor or something? He might as well have posted a gif of a hand wave. His entire refutation is a single paragraph in the middle that says the problem was that this was a bank for rich people and "they are fickle" and they were running a risky business anyway. Zero understanding of what caused the risks and how these defer from other regional banks (hint: many other mid size banks have similar risks on their balance sheets)

Embarrassment of an article.

And yet the one month treasury is trading at a monster discount to FFR as banks scramble to bid for collateral as their balance sheets deteriorate into an upcoming rate hike and deposit run.

Again, total joke

awaythrow483··on Home Prices in March Posted Biggest Annual Decline in 11 Years
Oh no. Some boomers just lost 4% of the wealth that the world handed them for nothing.

Let's get it up to 40% or better yet 100% in bankruptcy/foreclosure

awaythrow483··on I’ve been employed in tech for years, but I’ve almost never worked
Hilarious that this gets flagged while it's perfectly valid content. hacker news has gone to shit.
awaythrow483··on I’ve been employed in tech for years, but I’ve almost never worked
I won't say I haven't worked for most of my career. I would say I've worked maybe about 1/3rd of my 10 years in tech.

But about 2/3 of that time I've been on projects that involved little or no work. It's prevalent at banks, hospitals, and certain types of consulting work where you get brought in to failing projects but the projects are always failing because of organizational dysfunction, not because they needed more engineers, so there's nothing you can really do.

This can vary in extent from

- Here's 3- 10 hours of work. I need it by the end of the month. You can literally tell the boss that. They'll just say don't worry, just get it done

- This project will be getting new requirements handed down to us in a month. 5 months later, the requirements never came. I rewrote the whole legacy Java app in rails and fixed all the issues because this was pre remote work so I was sitting in a cubicle and very bored. Never told anyone, just threw it away when I left. I would have surely been punished for making people look bad if I told them I had fixed their entire app because I was bored in this kind of environment.

- The funniest ones: When the bosses constantly need to show you they are tough by demanding that you "get stuff done" but when you ask for details they say "we'll go over it in the next meeting". They are bullshitting but somehow feel that they need to act out being a boss so they constantly act annoyed that you aren't getting stuff done even though when you press them, they have no work for you. This can go for years.

- Once had a pre remote job at a major bank where they just threw like 50 consultants in a room and rarely gave anyone any instructions. I just stopped showing up and would answer chat if anyone chatted me. After about 3 weeks they figured out I wasn't showing up. I told them I wouldn't come back in unless they gave me work. They got back to me two weeks later and just told me I needed to start coming back in again but couldn't promise they could give me work. Ended up just walking away.

awaythrow483··on Neuropsychiatric researchers rethink what depression might be
This is really faulty logic. Your emotions moving in cycles is not in any way proof of some purely biological issue. Non biological stimuli like external stressors also come and go.
awaythrow483··on Neuropsychiatric researchers rethink what depression might be
If you had crippling anxiety because someone actually was trying to kill you, don't you think you'd have changes in your sleep cycles? Why does that have to indicate some change that is based purely on chemical imbalances that are not caused by external factors?
awaythrow483··on Rutgers Finds Shocking 500% Increase in Autism in New York-New Jersey Region
Given that there is no objective test for autism, isn't it more likely that a drastic outlier is more the result in subjective differences in diagnosis?
awaythrow483··on Neuropsychiatric researchers rethink what depression might be
More people have https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shit_life_syndrome than depression
awaythrow483··on Sexual loneliness: A neglected public health problem?
This is obviously very dependent on life situation but consider taking a year off and traveling somewhere where you'll have better luck dating and just focusing on yourself.

Thailand and Colombia are the two obvious choices to me. Quit work, and just get a $500 a month apartment and focus on working out every day and enjoying life. You WILL find people interested in dating you if you have reasonable expectations.

awaythrow483··on The data are clear: The boys are not all right
I'm 33, Ive got a fairly high IQ, make $340k in a STEM field and enough to retire tomorrow, I'm not unattractive, and put a huge amount of effort over many years into online dating. I've pretty much given up on dating. I have a total inability to find anyone I'm interested in that is interested in me.

When I was younger and I wanted to go to bars and get drunk and be an idiot I had plenty of attractive sexual partners.

So I don't buy this at all. The guys I know who have an easy time dating are 1 or 2 points more attractive, make minimum wage as yoga teachers or selling crystals or dumb stuff like that, and tell Women painfully stupid stuff they want to hear about their quantum vibrations matching and other new age nonsense.

So I can say this narrative empirically doesn't feel true for me.

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