aurareturn

I don't understand this logic.

Ok, so unresolved math problems are often something people discover while trying to solve a different math problem.

However, math problems are really there to solve a real world problem. We have unlimited real world problems no matter how smart AI gets. Therefore, we will always have unresolved math problems.

This is Geekerwan. He does in-depth reviews on performance, power and performance per watt. His reviews are similar to old Anandtech.

Far better than your average Youtuber reviews.

At this point, people don't even care about his rants.

This administration wants lower rates. Also this administration does everything it can to increase inflation such as tariffs and starting another endless war in the middle east.

It's hard to tell because AI has pushed up costs. IE. Chip fab margins are increasing.

But generally, I think it's even or increasing $/transistor for each node. I'd guess that A14 would have been 20% more expensive than N2 regardless or AI or not.

It probably is still worth it because you're also getting 20-30% better power efficiency - which is a big deal for data center chips.

Chip density increase is slowing down. Since N10, density scaling has been 60-80%. N3 to N2 is only 20%. And now N2 to A14 is also only 20%.

Is it me or is The Economist war mongers?

That's fine. It will be 99.99% for everyone soon except those who identify as an coding artisan.

There are still people who ride horses.

This one: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49708981

I can see this as the start of some sort of AI take over scenario. If there is no realistic way for a human to 100% verify what the code is doing, how can we 100% trust what the AI tells us the code does?

Software can be an engineering discipline doesn't change whether it's a human doing it or AI doing it.

Arguably engineering is something AI should be really good at since you're just trying to compute a working product given constraints, formulas, resources.

It's probably 99.99%.

99% means I write 1 line for every 100 AI lines. It's probably 1 human line for every 10,000 AI lines right now.

People said Devin, the AI coding agent, was garbage in 2024. Now it's weird if an agent isn't writing 99% of your code.

So you're right to be skeptical as of September 2026. But September 2028? It might just be weird to run companies without AI management.

Or 10 million Feymann GPUs?

Because I’ve lived there for a long time and understand the locals more than whatever the western media tells.

The growth seems to be accelerating.

What indication do you see that we will see a slow down in model capabilities or AI use?

They absolutely deserved imprisonment. They broke laws and went to foreign countries for aid.

Imagine if Hawaii tried advocated for succession and went to China for help. The US isn't going to do anything? Come on. This double standard is ridiculous.

By the way, the protests lasted for an entire year before it ended. Clearly China gave them a lot of leeway. But in the end, if you tried to get foreign governments to interfere, you better have a good plan.

Huh? I'm just wondering why you even linked me to a source that is commissioned by a British news agency done by an institution that has historically been pro-sucession. And then another one by authors at The China Quarterly which has clearly been anti-China historically.

Can we at least check biases first?

I'm still looking for how your life was living in HK in 2019. Or are you just basing this purely on western media and institutions, like I mentioned in the OP?

"Peer reviewed". My goodness.

No, I'm not mistaken.

Regardless, how was your experience living in HK in 2019? Hopefully you've talked to many locals in cantonese?

  See for example the contemporaneous polling done by Reuters below - 59% of the population supported the protests at the end of 2019 and 30% had participated [1].

I looked into this source.

First, it was commissioned by Reuters, a news agency based in UK.

  polled in a survey conducted for Reuters by the Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute

Second, Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute had a CEO who was pro-succession, anti-Beijing views and has since been exiled to UK.

Personally, I wouldn't call this survey unbiased.

The University of Cambridge, UK source is the 2nd one right?

What about it makes you think that it's right and not the other sources citing housing? How much do you know about the HK housing situation in 2014-2019?

  The survey data reported in this article were collected via a telephone survey conducted by a research centre at a university in Hong Kong from May to June 2020. 

What survey was this?

There is a difference between demonstrations and violent protests. The protests lasted nearly a year.

Lastly, let's just say that the survey source is highly suspect. It's commissioned by a British news agency with an institute whose CEO has been accused for treason and has expressed pro-succession views and has since been exiled to the UK.

The source is literally in your link. Read it carefully.

  residents polled in a survey conducted **for Reuters** by the Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute

It's literally commission by Reuters, a British news agency. It isn't academic malpractice because the institute was no longer part of HKU. Further more, their chief executive was accused of treason and has historically expressed anti-Beijing, pro-succession ideas. Clearly this institution was not going to be unbiased.

Anyways, how was your experience living in Hong Kong in 2019?

They collected the data FOR Reuters.

I guess you didn’t check your own source.

  Okay use my 2nd source then? Data source:

That's the Reuters one.

  I summarized it with a quote? What do you want? Alternatively/also read 2nd source, which also discuss it, and again they say economic/housing was a factor, but not the largest like you claimed.

Why did they say housing wasn't a reason or the main reason for the youth that continued the year long violent protests?

I mean, the numbers speak for themselves right? Only 37% participated in any demonstration - likely only the non-violent ones in the beginning.

His source doesn't actually disprove what I said - that most locals hated the protests.

A poll conducted for Reuters by an institute whose ex-CEO has historically expressed anti-Beijing and HK pro-succession views and has since moved to UK.[1] Yea, no bias there.

  Reuters is a British news agency wholly owned by Thomson Reuters[0]

Even in that survey, you can clearly see that the locals did not want all the things the protestors/western media wanted.

  Nevertheless, only 17% expressed support for seeking independence from China, and 20% were opposed to "the current path of one country, two systems" - the arrangement under which Hong Kong is governed by Beijing.

  Many protesters say Beijing has used its authority under the system to gradually undermine certain freedoms - such as an independent judiciary and freedom of speech - that are supposed to be guaranteed at least until 2047 under the arrangement.

  The results of the survey, involving 1,021 people and conducted from Dec. 17-20, also showed a large plurality of respondents mainly blamed the Hong Kong government for the crisis, the worst civil unrest to hit the city in decades, rather than the central government in Beijing.

  This paper directly contradicts your claim it was mainly due to housing [4].

Summarize it? Having lived in Hong Kong and talked to many locals, had local friends, talked to young HKers, no one could convince me that housing wasn't the biggest reason for the pent up frustration that ultimately led to the protests.

[0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reuters

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chung_Kim-wah

  At this point there is really no Hong Kong of old. China now fully controls that area, breaking a treaty with the UK.

For much of Hong Kong's history under British rule, there was no freedom. It was whatever a single British man said. Let's take off the rose tinted glasses.

A lot of Hong Kong people have fond memories of the "old HK" because their living standards and socioeconomics were well above Mainland Chinese. Today, this gap is much closer which doesn't sit right in many HKers minds. They were suppose to be the higher class, westernized Chinese. How dare any Mainlanders become wealthier, more capable, more cultured than we are. It wasn't because they had "freedom" under British rule.

No one said people are property. Hong Kong people still enjoy disproportionally high quality of life compared to Mainland Chinese people. In fact, they are ranked #14 world wide in GDP PPP per capita.[0]

The biggest reason for this is because of China. Hong Kong acts as a financial hub for business between China and the outside world.

Can we stop pretending like Hong Kong people are oppressed?

[0]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(PPP)...