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asr

879 karma · joined April 13, 2010

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asr··on Dirty Percent
Definitely agree. Plus defending every single part of Apple's policies makes him set up straw men and false dichotomies like nobody's business.

Take his summation: "iOS isn’t and never was an open computer system. It’s a closed, controlled console system..." The implication being that iOS users have no right to complain because they signed up for a "closed" system.

Systems are never just "open" or "closed." Apple's move here is making the system more closed.

asr··on How a 19-Year-Old Raised $5 Million to Revolutionize Search
Nice piece. I have a question that comes up every time I read a "we came up with our Y-Combinator demo in the last weekend and got funded" story--is this rare? It seems like I hear it all the time, but maybe most of the "last 24 hour" demos don't get mentioned.

It's surprising to me to think it might be common, because my gut reaction is that this means the founders don't actually have a viable product, but because they got funded before they could figure that out, it will now take months or years for the founders to move on (or pivot significantly). I'd love to hear why that's not what's going on, though.

asr··on Ask HN: What do you use for time tracking?
http://www.toggl.com/

I was a big fan of Toggl when I was being billed out by the hour... I never needed to share the data but they claim it's very easy to do.

asr··on Visualization: Movies Are Getting Worse
To be fair, writers have been doing this for a long time...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shakespeare%27s_style#Similarit...

Did you watch The Social Network? Did you like it? I think we all knew how it ended, it was the writing, cinematography, etc. that account for its popularity. And the fact that the writers stretched the truth so the story would be somewhat fresh :)

asr··on Nearly All US Universities Lose Money on Sports
Please keep this respectful. I happen to agree with you but there's way too much virulence running through this post (and much of this thread, IMHO).
asr··on Ask HN: What's the best way to use HN on an iPhone (or other mobile device)
Currently reading from ihackernews.com...
asr··on Most venture capital funds lose money
Thanks for pointing out that interesting, and relevant, data (upvoted).

The problem with looking at negative median returns since 1999 is that from 1999-2002 this is just picking up the bubble, and as you point out many funds from vintage years 2003-present are very much still in business, so a current negative return for these vintages is not particularly meaningful. Unless the authors have some methodology I'm not aware of to deal with the fact that venture funds often don't carry companies at anywhere close to their current value.

Finally, even if (B) were true, there's a huge difference between "Most venture funds lose money" and "Most venture funds currently open have lost money." While the first would make me worry about the business model, the second wouldn't.

asr··on Most venture capital funds lose money
Yet another example of getting some things wrong in the article, and then some things wrong in the title, to end up with a basically dishonest piece of journalism.

The article is based off of the "Cambridge Associates LLC U.S. Venture Capital Index." I see no reason to believe that measures the median venture fund--that would be a dumb way to construct an index--the responsible way to create an index is to weight by the size of the fund.

Second, as noted by dgabriel, the story draws its conclusion from the 10-year return--if you look at the quarterly returns on page 6 of the report (http://www.cambridgeassociates.com/pdf/Venture%20Capital%20I...) you'll see the real story is "Venture Firms Lose Money from 2000-2002." Which everyone already knows.

Really, really terrible work.

asr··on Kik's defence to RIM's infringement lawsuit
Unfortunately the brief is not searchable, but I'm not sure where David Lam thinks Kik denies that Ted had access to BBM source code. All I see (paragraphs 41-43) are some fairly technical defenses to the confidential information claim (RIM didn't allege any breach of confidence, RIM didn't serve Kik with necessary documents, this claim is beyond the court's jurisdiction).

Am I missing this somewhere earlier?

asr··on Cracking the Scratch Lottery Code
I excitedly went to the Virginia lottery website, thinking maybe I could find a game or two possibly vulnerable to something like this and then buy a few tickets for the fun of seeing if this can still be done...

But manufacturers appear to have dealt with this by getting rid of "baited hooks"--every number on a card is under a surface that has to be scratched off.

I guess they lose the allure of letting people say "I want to buy a card with lots of 7s because that's my lucky number" but it's a simple and effective fix. Oh well, guess I'll have to get rich through hard work :)

asr··on Kindle books have overtaken paperbacks as the most popular format on Amazon
Just to clarify for any others who misread the title, this is comparing paperbacks to Kindle edition, not all paper books. The numbers imply Kindle sales are about 85% of hardcovers and paperbacks combined.

Also, since Amazon sells 100% of the Kindle books its readers buy, but only some of the physical books its readers buy, I think this most interesting part of this release is what it says about how great a business move the Kindle was for Amazon. Every time a customer switches to the Kindle they instantly gain a lot of sales that used to happen at various physical bookstores. And that's before even considering that people who walk around with a bookstore 1 foot from them will buy more books, too.

asr··on The End Of Facebook and Free Software's Quiet Revolution
What makes you think Zuck likes money? I think he likes building a business, and I think his ideas about the future of social networking may involve a lot less privacy than you (or I) would like, but really the only significant thing he's done with his money so far is to give a lot of it away.
asr··on The Toshiba Tablet
I could kind of understand if Toshiba doesn't want to put much effort into selling to current iPad owners, but there are a lot of other iOS devices whose owners might be in the market. Toshiba just lost an opportunity to tell me anything about their tablet except that it runs flash, and that they think I'm dumb for owning an iPod touch. Will I be booting up my laptop to check out their site? Um, no.
asr··on MasterCard under DDOS, can't process SecureCode online payments
While I understand the logic of your point, I think the assumption you make is that MasterCard will add in the costs of a possible DDos attack when considering whether they made the right business decision.

And I think the answer is no, although it's arguable. There is surely a point at which MC will try to do the "right" thing instead of the profitable thing, and it's easy to see how that point is between cutting off Wikileaks (which arguably is harming US national interests) and changing business strategy to appease hackers.

asr··on The inventor of microfleece refused to patent it.
Just curious, is there some sort of GNU for patents? If I were going to not patent my invention I'd want some way to make sure nobody else came along, filed for some trivially new derivation, and then managed to extract most of the value of the original invention.

Maybe some central licensing organization that would license patents for free as long as the licensees agreed to some GNU-like terms... or is this not an issue in patent law?

asr··on Google Cars Drive Themselves, in Traffic
I agree computers will be able to drive much better than humans, and this transition will occur at some point--the question is, when? Is the 8 years mentioned in the article anywhere close to realistic? I don't think so.

Not only does the technology have to become better in the aggregate than humans, it has to become so much better there's aren't any crash situations where human drivers perform better. There also can't be many crash situations when the computer doesn't significantly outperform a human. Otherwise both public sentiment against the cars, and legal liability will be too great.

Imagine: whenever there's a software bug and an automated car crashes in any situation where a human might not have, the GoogleCar manufacturer will get sued, the local paper will write an article about how Google killed someone, etc. And then, once a year, there will be another story about how crashes are down 2%... that's a lot of lives saved, but which article do you think will get more attention? And do you think "our cars usually make driving safer, just not the night of October 10th when John was killed" will be a winning defense?

I can't wait for this technology, I think it really will deliver all the benefits the article mentions long-term. But it's a long way off (I hope I'm wrong). I give a lot of credit to Google for investing in it now--this is one of the things I read and think "don't be evil" is more than just marketing-speak.

asr··on So A Blogger Walks Into A Bar…
Was it the Adam Smith quote "People of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public."

Why do I know that off the top of my head? Civ IV... who says games can't be educational?

asr··on The Just-World Fallacy
Your advice reminded me of the Solidarity movement in Poland under communism, and the movement to act "as if" they were already free. "As soon as they started to act 'as if,' the 'as if' started to melt away." (http://tinyurl.com/2a9l7b8)

In that case, the argument is that acting as if the thing were present will encourage it. I think, although you may disagree, that the same argument applies here--act like the world is just, and act in a just manner yourself, and you may make the world a more just place. (Or is that naive?)

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