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ash

5,047 karma · joined January 12, 2008

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ash··on 50% – 75% of cases of Covid-19 are asymptomatic
Are there countries who conduct serologic tests? PCR tests (widely used?) wouldn't catch people who got the infection, developed antibodies with no or mild symptoms, but didn't transmit the virus around at the moment test is taken.

From the article about Covid-19 serologic test development:

> The serologic tests, which are different from the ones used to diagnose active infection, would allow researchers to test the blood of people who were not confirmed cases of Covid-19 in communities where the virus spread. They would be designed to look for signs that people have mounted an immune response after being exposed to the virus.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/11/cdc-developing-serologic...

ash··on Serologic tests that could reveal full scope of coronavirus outbreak
Serological test would reveal how many people got the infection, with no or mild symptoms. Or those who had the infection in the past.

Current testing approach doesn't reveal those cases.

ash··on Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius?
We don't know yet how sustainable Chinese actions are. People are still in lockdown. Covid19 could come back when the lockdown is relaxed.
ash··on Ask HN: Is UK government insane or genius?
> The economy is a tool to get people goods and services. It is less important than life & death on a mass scale.

It's not as simple. GDP per capita is strongly correlated with life expectancy. In other words, people die sooner with worse economy.

ash··on Covid-19 is now officially a pandemic, WHO says
Covid-19 virus originated in Wuhan "wet market", where freshly-slaughtered wild meat is preferred. It's a perfect setting to facilitate virus movement from animal to animal and from animal to human.

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/feb/25/coronavi...

And it happened before, with SARS in 2003:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severe_acute_respiratory_syndr...

ash··on Germany’s Merkel: 60 to 70% in Germany will become infected with coronavirus
Better link: https://www.businessinsider.com/angela-merkel-estimates-coro...
ash··on CLUI: Building a Graphical Command Line
Thanks! Fish is close, but not there yet. It provides only a single autocomplete suggestion. I had to press Tab to get a list of suggestions. So:

bash: no auto suggestion at all, Tab twice to see a list

fish: shows single auto suggestion, Tab once to get a list

zsh + zsh-autosuggestions: looks similar to fish behaviour

Is there some combination of shell/plugin/terminal that provides multiple auto suggestions?

ash··on Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars
> Focusing on the "Mars has more things to solve" thing continues to ignore the point.

I would like to know if solutions are feasible or even wanted.

Hypothetical Antarctic colony could simply ignore Antarctic Treaty. Did anyone seriously try?

Mars frozen water is likely not directly drinkable after melting. After all, martian soil seems to be toxic.

ash··on CLUI: Building a Graphical Command Line
> Bash already has autocomplete

What kind of autocomplete does bash have? Do I need to enable it? I've just tried bash 5.0.16. I don't see any. For example, I've typed `pw`, but `pwd` was not suggested to me.

(I know there's Tab-completion, this is not what I'm talking about. I'm looking for automatic completion. Similar to Google's search suggestions and CLUI demo.)

ash··on Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars
Keeping people warm is the only problem to solve in Siberian winter. Humanity solved it thousands of years ago.

Antarctica is cold year around, lacks food, lacks sun light for half a year. Almost no one wants to live permanently in Antarctica.

Mars has all of the Antarctica problems, almost zero sun light, lack of air, lack of water, radiation, toxic soil, low gravity, extreme remoteness.

It may be theoretically possible for a colony on Mars to survive, but it remains to be seen if enough people would do it in practice.

ash··on Elon Musk’s plan to build one Starship a week and settle Mars
In Siberia you can have: breathable air, drinkable water, edible food, safe radiation levels.
ash··on Rust Ownership Rules
You are right. But it's not needed in Lobster, because threading model is different. It doesn't have concurrent access problems:

> Lobster built-in multi-threading functionality ... is different from multi-threading in most other languages, in that it does not allow threads to share memory or any other VM state.

http://aardappel.github.io/lobster/language_reference.html#m...

ash··on Rust Ownership Rules
Lobster language offers interesting lightweight alternative to strict ownership model of Rust:

http://aardappel.github.io/lobster/memory_management.html

ash··on Dictionary union (PEP 584) is merged
PEP 604 (draft) proposes this:

  def f(list: List[int | str], param: int | None) -> float | str:
      pass

  f([1, "abc"], None)
https://www.python.org/dev/peps/pep-0604/
ash··on CNN-generated images are surprisingly easy to spot for now
What does CNN stand for in this case?
ash··on Dictionary union (PEP 584) is merged
Did you mean `str | int`?
ash··on Why designing for open source can be difficult
Thank you for doing it!

VLC is great piece of software. However, I struggle with its UI almost every time I use it. Simple things are hard to find:

* switch subtitle track

* add external subtitles

* switch soundtrack

* add external soundtrack

It's also annoying that rewind buttons in full-screen mode and in windowed mode behave very differently.

ash··on C4: C in Four Functions (2014)
> Reserved words are initialized from an imaginary source code.

What does it mean? Could you point to a place in the source?

ash··on Weird-Looking Freak Saves Apollo 14 (1971)
What does this "Extra!" bit mean?
ash··on The Future of Fossil Fuels
> It's the heart of winter here and fruit trees are blossoming. There isn't any snow in any ski resorts under 2000m in the Alps; they're hauling snow with helicopters ...

I think you are confusing weather with climate: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/weather-vs-climate

ash··on No engineer has ever sued because of constructive post-interview feedback
I prefer cat-then-pipe while using shell interactively. It's easier to add things to the middle of the pipeline. You simply move the cursor the pipe character, and type another command.

Original:

  cat error.log | grep 'ERROR:' | wc -l
After change:

  cat error.log | grep -v 'SENSITIVE' | grep 'ERROR:' | wc -l
But with cat-less version, you have to think and sometimes even move things around.

Original:

  grep error.log 'ERROR:' | wc -l
After change:

  grep -v 'SENSITIVE' error.log | grep 'ERROR:' | wc -l
Moreover, some commands behave differently in cat-less mode. For example, gzip:

  gzip file.js | wc -c # oops, we've just removed file.js
  cat file.js | gzip | wc -c # shows compressed size
ash··on Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises
> 2m in sea level rise is roughly the current "intermediate" scenario

What is the basis for 2 m prediction?

> giving the 2018 sea level rate change as "1.34 feet per 100 years" is NOT a prediction that the sea level will change 1.34 feet over the next hundred years?

Global 0.3 m rise is among the possible scenarios.¹ And this scenario is consistent with historical measurements. Also note that CO2 level has been rising for the last 60 years. Sea level trend stayed the same compared to the period before industrial CO2 rise.

¹ https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/publications/techrpt83_Glo...

ash··on Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises
From NOAA web site, when you click on "Previous RSL Trends" button:

> Although the trend may vary with the end year, there is no statistically significant difference between the calculated trends if their 95% confidence intervals overlap. Therefore, the most recent calculated trend is not necessarily more accurate than the previous trends; it is merely a little more precise. If several recent years have anomalously high or low water levels, the values may actually move slightly away from the true long-term linear trend.

ash··on Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises
> In the worst-case scenario, in which sea levels rise by six feet by 2100, ...

Where does six feet come from?

It seems very suspicious. It contradicts NOAA Sea Level Trends data of tide gauge measurements, going back to 1930 and sometimes earlier. According to the map, in almost all places in US the projected sea level trend is no more than 1-1.5 feet by 2100:

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.html

What is more, the trend is clearly linear from the start of the measurement. The trend hasn't changed in recent years.

For example, see data from the gauge in Sandy Hook, New Jersey, from 1932: "The relative sea level trend is 4.09 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.2 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from 1932 to 2018 which is equivalent to a change of 1.34 feet in 100 years."

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station....

Gauge in Lewes, Delaware, data from 1919: "The relative sea level trend is 3.48 millimeters/year with a 95% confidence interval of +/- 0.23 mm/yr based on monthly mean sea level data from 1919 to 2018 which is equivalent to a change of 1.14 feet in 100 years."

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends_station....

ash··on Reviving Sandstorm
Yes and no.

https://sandstorm.io/news/2014-08-19-why-not-run-docker-apps

ash··on NSW and Victoria just jumped 1.8 metres north
> To fix this, all Australian states and territories have agreed to update their coordinates by June. However, they are all doing it at their own speeds.

> Official government road maps and property boundaries will now line up perfectly with GPS location data.

> It will take some time for companies like Google to pick up and implement the new data. But when they do, you will enjoy slightly more accurate satellite navigation.

I don't get it. Does Google have to wait for government? Why couldn't Google incrementally add 1.8 meter to its maps on its own schedule, years ago?

ash··on JetBrains Mono: A free and open source typeface for developers
It's still useful for writing localized string literals and comments.
ash··on A billionaire retailer whose shops had no stock
It's not the case anymore.

There was a major devaluation in 1998. This is the reason why people were still suspicious about rubles in the early 2000s.

ash··on A billionaire retailer whose shops had no stock
I think it has to do with changing legal status of dollar in Venezuela.

> Until recently, using foreign money was a crime the government enthusiastically threatened to prosecute. After the ruling socialists established currency controls back in 2003, they began patrolling for transactions that ran afoul of their Kafkaesque rules about money. Plain-clothed inspectors ran stings and raided businesses.

> ...

> According to the calculations of one top bank executive, about 30% of all transactions are made in dollars these days. I’d be shocked if that percentage didn’t keep growing. Which seems to be making moot one of the big theoretical debates in opposition circles: whether to adopt the dollar as Venezuela’s currency if they finally manage to take power from the socialists. The people already have.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-18/once-forb...

This legal change happened very recently. August 2018, according to Bloomberg:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-02/venezuela...

ash··on A billionaire retailer whose shops had no stock
I was living through 90s Russia. The inflation rate was 2500% in 1992.

Yes, businesses dealt in US dollars.

Prices for major things like cars and apartments were in so called "conventional units" (у.е., условная единица), widely known euphemism for US dollars. [1] Cash dollars were very common for these purchases.

For groceries, rubles were used.

For things like washing machines stores had prices in "conventional units", with a daily changing definition of them.

If you could save, you would do it in USD cash. Exchanging between rubles and dollars was very common and cheap. Everybody knew where cash currency traders ("валютчики") were, usually on the main city square. (I think trading currencies outside of banks was illegal, but police looked away, due to corruption and light/no punishment at the time.)

Salaries for domestic jobs were mostly in rubles, with disastrous consequences. Middle class had almost ceased to exist.

[1]: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Условная_единица

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