andreilys

You can't really blame them though, the average person simply doesn't have the time to be well researched on a given topic, and so are going to default to tribal thinking that when you poke at, falls apart.

It has nothing to do with inability to articulate their position, and everything to do with the fact that there simply isn't enough time for most people to become well informed on a given topic.

If you imagine that the CEO of Binance has any ability to prevent the CCP from weaponizing TikTok, then I have a bridge to sell to you

If you ever run for office or hold a position of national security interest, your personal data will be a great source for blackmail or honeypot operations.

In this scenario, it would be a lot easier to setup a honeypot thanks to all this additional information. In some cases, even blackmail you if you have a private TikTok account that's been linked back to your real identity.

I wouldn't be surprised if the CCP keeps a dossier on high profile figures in various countries as part of their influence operations.

Pretty easy to imagine what would happen if a party official said "please promote content that is divisive or favors pro CCP propaganda".

I can't imagine the CEO of Binance saying no to that, and the ability to detect changes to a black-box recommendation algorithm are non-existant.

I think of it more like, If an artist can support themselves doing commissions of low quality art so they can support their high quality art, that’s better than if they had to drive Uber.

https://mobile.twitter.com/xsteenbrugge/status/1558508866463...

Particularly as one deals with the world of atoms, where the cost of a mistake is much higher.

There are already models that work to “aesthetically” rate images, and the results are quite promising.

To think we won’t see leaps in quality over the coming months/years is narrow sighted.

Inevitably they started on the lower rungs and worked their way up.

If these tools displace the need for lower level/apprenticeship like work, then it won’t be a surprise if later on we have less quality artists who weren’t able to get the necessary experience early on.

What exactly are the fundamentals?

The transformer revolution is pretty foundational and the inability to see the societal impact of this technology can only be explained by a lack of imagination.

Majority of peoples time is spent in digital worlds, the ability to create synthetic images, text, etc. is going to radically alter the way we spend our time online. Both malicious and marvelous use cases will be discovered, but to hand-wave it all away as a "Dotcom bubble vibe" is tech cynicism at its worst.

Humans are not an island. I recommend watching the “everything is a remix” series it does a good job of expounding on this

The Medallion Fund has employed mathematical models to analyze and execute trades, many of them automated. The firm uses computer-based models to predict price changes. These models are based on analyzing as much data as can be gathered, then looking for non-random movements to make predictions. [1]

Renaissance Technologies' Medallion fund, which from 1988 to 2018 clocked annualized returns of 66%. After fees, those annualized returns were still remarkable, at 39%.[2]

[1] https://wealthofgeeks.com/medallion-fund/#:~:text=Algorithmi....

[2]https://money.usnews.com/investing/funds/articles/top-hedge-....

It seems to do a pretty good job of predicting future stock market performance. But of course the authors have an axe to grind and choose to view the world through their narrow filter, probably because they want to promote their book and tap into the "tech is bad" trope thats going on in the wider culture.

Most significantly, AGI hypers have succeeded in directing a large amount of funding toward the fanciful goal of ensuring that this supposedly imminent AGI will be aligned with humanity’s interests. Crucially, much of this community believes that we already have all the innovations we need to reach AGI; we just need to throw more hardware at the neural networks we already have.

The problem with this argument is that we have no idea what the "warning signs" of imminent AGI is. It could take 2-3 key breakthroughs or it could take a few hundred. Whatever the case is, we should think about investing in a fire alarm system before theres a fire.

It's hard to imagine the mental gymnastics required to think the two are in the same league.

There are very few artists who you can call “original”, the majority are riffing and remixing based on previous predecessors. Making find tweaks here and there.

This is something you can achieve with an AI model just by increasing randomness.

There are plenty examples on the DALL-E subreddit that put the majority of Deviant Art artists to shame.

How we measure inflation is a great example of this, we choose to include some things, but exclude others because if we had a true measure of inflation, the government would have to pay out more for social security payments (see Boskin commission - https://www.ssa.gov/history/reports/boskinrpt.html)

e.g. James Monroe (18), John Marshall (20), Aaron Burr (20), Alexander Hamilton (21), and James Madison (25)

Artificial scarcity is merely a signal/status booster in a virtual world where post-abundance is present.

If you are in a VR world and want to mingle with other fellow “tribe members”, what signal do you go off of that’s hard to replicate?

This resulted in being able to build an audience that would read my work irrespective of whether I published with a publication.

Unfortunately when you have regulatory capture by special interests groups, this ensures that no progress ever happens because the organization with the most lobbying money is always guaranteed to win.

If I go through an entire week of interesting experiences/conversations/etc. then spending a day alone will yield all kinds of interesting ideas/concepts/revelations. Usually because I didn’t have time to reflect during my busy week.