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amj2

2 karma · joined February 15, 2023

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amj2··on Man beats machine at Go in human victory over AI
shift a stone one position over and the Go AI can completely change its outlook, estimation, and probabilities.

Seems like it grasps the nature & significance of things to me!

amj2··on Man beats machine at Go in human victory over AI
1. almost certainly, but 2. we'll never know, as it will never be available, because... 3. see #1. Anything else will damage the brand.
amj2··on DeepMind has open-sourced the heart of AlphaGo and AlphaZero
They were & are very protective of the AlphaGo "brand", is the best-case explanation.
amj2··on DeepMind has open-sourced the heart of AlphaGo and AlphaZero
You should pencil out on a napkin just how long "more time" is. Here, i'll get you started:

1600 inferences per move * 1ms per inference * 250 moves/game * 30M games played = 12B seconds. 140k days; muzero with gumbel brought down the 1600 to ~40, but either way, you need some more scale.

It turns out a lot of the difficulties, judgment calls, and implementation details involve data pipelining. Some of those choices affect the final skill ceiling you reach. Which ones? How much? Are they path dependent? Well, you'll need to run it more than once...