1,647 karma · joined March 15, 2011
Founder at Flybrix, Dir. DSP at General Radar, Founding Engineer at hCaptcha, Zigfu YC S11
amirhirsch.com
Source: I wrote the og detection system for hCaptcha
I understand the instinct to treat Bronze‑Age literature like fanciful fiction: engineers are wired to put "myth" in one bucket and "hard data" in another. But for better or worse, the Bible isn't just an ancient novel. It's the source code for a huge fraction of the world's legal systems, ethics, holidays, and political claims, including the one we are discussing. Dismissing it as "Harry Potter" misses the point:
If we're serious about reducing violence, we need to debug the real code people are running in their heads, not the straw‑man version.
Deuteronomy 20:15-18 is more appropriate to the current conflict, as it relates to how the Jews should fight wars in the land of Israel. It commands the utter destruction of the inhabitants of the land, not sparing any that breathe (not just those who “pisseth-on-the-wall”)
Discussions about modern Israel/Palestine are full of shibboleths that reveal where people are drawing their information:
In the Hebrew the word in 20:16 for inheritance is “Nachala”. Worth Googling: Nachala is also the name of a present‑day Israeli settler movement led by Daniella Weiss, whose own literature says it’s “continuing the biblical mandate to settle the land.” In other words, the same term that the Torah uses for a gift that can be forfeited is now used as branding for a modern political project—illustrating how ancient vocabulary still shapes today’s arguments about the land.
For an example from the Palestinian side: you do not have a full understanding of Hamas if you do not know about the Hadith about the Gharqad tree. Hamas charter writers alluded to this story; many Palestinians learn it young, while most Israelis have never heard of it.
Recognizing these code‑words doesn’t require agreeing with the theology behind them. It simply keeps us from talking past each other—and, one hopes, from letting someone else’s apocalyptic script dictate who lives and dies. I think we all agree that the other-sides’ eschatology is a dumb reason to die.
Source: I shared an office with Keith next to Hal and Gerry--he taught me Java! Fun anecdote: we had to move RMS's stuff to the new CSAIL building because he had broken his arm punching a wall.
4% more idle time 20% more AI interaction time
The 28% less coding/testing/research is why developers reported 20% less work. You might be spending 20% more time overall "working" while you are really idle 5% more time and feel like you've worked less because you were drinking coffee and eating a sandwich between waiting for the AI and reading AI output.
I think the AI skill-boost comes from having work flows that let you shave half that git-ops time, cut an extra 5% off coding, but cut the idle/waiting and do more prompting of parallel agents and a bit more testing then you really are a 2x dev.
You can generally do map-reduce, also you can have separate git worktrees and have it work on all your tickets at the same time.
What’s your source?
J. Cooley and J. Tukey, “An Algorithm for the Machine Calculation of Complex Fourier Series,” 1965
To answer your question on why the hyped fantastic claim, as you must know, the people who provide the funds for quantum computing research almost certainly do not understand the research they are funding, and need as feedback a steady stream of fantastic “breakthroughs” to justify writing the checks.
This has made QC research ripe for applied physicists who are skilled in the art of bullshitting about Hilbert Spaces. While I don’t doubt the integrity of a plurality of the scientists involved, I can say with certainty that approximately all of the people working on Quantum Computing Research would not take me up on my bet of $2048 that RSA2048 will not be factored by 2048 —- and would happily accept $204,800,000 to make arrays of quantum-related artifacts. Investors require breakthroughs or the physicists will lose their budget for liquid gases — certainly exceeding $2048.
While there might be interesting science discovered along the way, I think of QC a little like alchemy: the promise of unlimited gold attracted both bullshitters and serious physicists (Newton included) for centuries, but the physical laws eventually emerged that it is not scalable to turn lead into gold. Similarly it would be useful to determine the scaling laws for Quantum Computers. How big of an RSA key is needed before even a QC exceeds the total number of particles in the universe to factor it in reasonable time? Is 2048 good enough that we can shelf all the peripheral number-theory research in post-quantum-cryptography? Let’s not forget the mathematicians too!
Once upon a time I converted spectral-transform-shallow-water-model (STSWM or parallelized as PSTSWM) from FORTRAN to Verilog. I believe this is the spectral-transform method we have run for the last 30 years to do forecasting. The forecasting would be ~20% different results for 10-day predictions if we truncated each operation to FP64 instead of Intel's FP80.
The thing about this bet is you don't have to pay until 2048 whereas I have to pay as soon as it happens and accounting for savings rates the bet will cost about a dime a day.