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amag

721 karma · joined October 28, 2013

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amag··on Early rogue AI agent activity and attempts to hack found on urlquery.net
> I'm not going to say you're victim-blaming, but

Just throwing it out there are we? "I'm not going to say you are but I'll use the word to create an association"

Victim-blaming is the act of saying someone brought something on themselves for <reasons>. I'm saying that even if you are 100% in the right, it doesn't act like a protective shield preventing you from harm which too many people seem to unconsciously believe.

> AI black-hatting your website is not the same sort of foreseeable consequence

Well, popular culture has been brimming with the bad consequences of runaway AI for quite some time, so even if your imagination fails you, there have been hints.

amag··on Early rogue AI agent activity and attempts to hack found on urlquery.net
And you'd still be dead.
amag··on Early rogue AI agent activity and attempts to hack found on urlquery.net
> They're legally culpable for the consequences of the machine they made.

Ah, I love this argument. In my country cars are legally required to stop at a pedestrian crossing if there are people beside it. Some people use that as an argument as to why they can just walk out into the crossing without even looking at the traffic. "It's the driver's fault! They are legally culpable!" True, but you'll also be dead.

amag··on What algorithm did Windows XP use to choose your initial user picture?
Better in which way? It doesn't seem like the RNG is much of a bottleneck[0]. So this code is just more complicated than the original[1] IMO. It is also most likely more costly by involving a bunch of extra divs, logs and (for XP-level HW) floating points, though admittedly the bottleneck on XP-level HW was most likely still the disk.

Trying to best Windows devs on performance becomes almost comical if you read the comment for the RtlRandomEx:

    it is faster than RtlRandom() since it saves one multiplication, one addition and
    one modulus operation. This almost doubles the performance since it halves the number of
    clocks even on a pipelined Integer Unit such as the P6/ia64 processors i.e. ~ 52% perf gain.
[0]: https://github.com/tongzx/nt5src/blob/daad8a087a4e75422ec96b... [1]: https://github.com/tongzx/nt5src/blob/daad8a087a4e75422ec96b...
amag··on Denmark to raise retirement age to 70
And in Sweden, another "nordic socialist country", there's no tax on property nor inheritance, as well as very low taxes on invested capital. There are about 1.5x more USD-billionaires per capita in Sweden than in the US. I think there's room for some more taxes.
amag··on Denmark to raise retirement age to 70
You mean I can't sue society if I die nine years into retirement?
amag··on Denmark to raise retirement age to 70
> are predicted to get to what 90-95 on average?

That may be true, but will we (who are in our 40's now) have the same quality of life at 90-95 as a now 75-year old will have at 80-85?

amag··on Denmark to raise retirement age to 70
Of course there is no guarantee that your 65-75 years will be good, but it's a lot more likely that your 65-75 years will be good than your 75-85 years.
amag··on Denmark to raise retirement age to 70
This is truly sad. As a Swede I fear my country may follow suite. The retirement age in Sweden used to be 65 and now it's 67.

Looking at older people around me, most lead a much less active life after 75. So, if we were lucky we used to have some 10 good years of doing whatever we wanted before old age and age-related diseases start affecting us so much we become limited to a much smaller world. But now we have maybe eight years and if we follow Denmark, five years.

I think if you've put in 40-45 years for the man, you should be allowed to have some good 10 years for yourself. Travel, play golf, cross a continent in a camper or climb a mountain.

amag··on I Am Tired of AI
Well, people in offices need new shiny phones every year and new Teslas to get to the office after all...
amag··on Synchronization Is Bad for Scale
I really wish people would stop talking about MD5 already. It is almost never the answer. On a modern CPU you get HW accelerated SHA-256, it will always be much faster than your best software MD5. If your SHA-256 hash is too long, chop it up, it will still be better than MD5 for the same bit length.
amag··on Good, Kind, Caring People Became the Bad Guys
> Perhaps the doom isn't so imminent?

Perhaps, or perhaps we don't know what the fall of civilization looks like? I remember watching a talk by Jonathan Blow where he poses that question. Did the Egyptians who built the pyramids realize when their civilization fell or did it just look like business as usual until it suddenly didn't?

amag··on Pratt Parsers: Expression Parsing Made Easy (2011)
Last I used it, even pretty small grammars took forever to build. I had to be very diligent not to let the grammar cpp-file depend on anything else in my codebase.
amag··on Lessons Learned from the Book “Effective Remote Work”
If you for instance work with software developers, true vulnerability shows at a code review not at a occasional game of soccer or similar. Few software developers identify themselves as great soccer players so it's not a threat to their identity to be perceived as bad at it.
amag··on I am done. I give up
Also consistently forgetting the 15 times larger population.
amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
As I've said countless times in other comments, this is not a shallow job security issue. My post is about how I believe AI will change us as people and society in a much more fundamental way than we may think. In ways we might not have considered. And not all for good.
amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
> The bleakness you feel might be due to a poverty of imagination.

Thank you for your diagnosis. It may _also_ be due to the opposite. If you know anything about how the brain works, you'd know that in general more imaginative people are more anxious.

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
No, I don't think it is simple. In fact I think it is impossible. Just looking at the division in this thread tells me that there will never even be an agreement for taking such a stand much less follow through.
amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
> AI does not make stuff like this go away. It actually frees more people to become these imbue-ers of meaning, if they are so inclined.

Yeah, but in that very example I feel the value and narrative behind it is in the memory of the grandfather's toil. When we no longer toil, there will be no horse shoes for our grandchildren to make sculptures of.

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
Of course it's an absurd argument but my point is that in a fully automated world in abundance we will have 10 billion tourists.

Also I like to differ between performing and creating. For instance playing the piano might still be worthwhile but creating new music will lose its allure as AI will do it for you, faster and better. Saying that it's the same thing as there has always been someone who is better at creating than you, is a flawed argument. With AI there will be an infinite amount of creators that are better than you. Also AI isn't just competition, it's also your ally but the kind who'll say "step aside and I'll fix this for you."

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
Yeah, but it's only possible because we, the software engineers, make it so. We could as a collective refuse to work on AI but we won't because it's a pretty, shiny, object with far too much lure for us to resist.
amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
No need when I can examine myself to know myself :). While not actively working for it, I'm at least inspired by the FIRE movement. I am also self-employed so I don't see job security as the meaning of life.

Still this whole thread has been illuminating, maybe part of my fear comes from identifying strongly with being creative and making things, and seeing that turned into something automated.

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
Thanks for this optimistic post and to be clear I don't expect alphacode to put me out of a job. I've seen the hilarious examples where people get ChatGPT to for instance claim that abacus-based computing is faster than GPU-based computing.

We're far from there with AI yet but we're on a trajectory and that's what worries me.

But in the short term I definitely agree with you.

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
> Our society currently affords ample opportunity to "productively" avoid those questions.

I fully agree.

> Some people already have answers to those questions, and stand to gain from that toil being removed.

I used to believe that but with the recent improvements in AI, I think it's only true to an extent. Not all personalities are equal. As AI's power in the creative fields increase those fields will more and more become a question of who has the most money to throw at AI processing. Superficially it might seem the same as two-three centuries ago when rich people had famous artists paint them but it's not.

I fear where we're at with AI is the beginning of the end for human creativity. Of course I hope I'm wrong. I hoped I was wrong about my skepticism when I first learned of Facebook in 2007, but as it turned out it has and continues to be a net negative force in our world much bigger than I could imagine.

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
Thank you for the ad hominem attack. It's always a pleasure to discuss things with people who like to jump to conclusions and assume things about people they don't know anything about.

Personally I prefer not to pass judgement on a person based on the very little knowledge that can be gleamed from a post like this. But maybe, just maybe if you actually read what I have written (in other comments as well) things might clear up for you.

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
As I stated in other posts, this isn't really a fear about losing my job as much as on losing my will to live...
amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
It isn't? So companies aren't trying to produce things as cheap as possible to increase their margins? And robots that are never sick, takes no vacation, needs no rest and are mostly an upfront investment aren't cheaper than people?

> Having cheaper goods thanks to ai will improve our living standards

Well, or at least we will have more cheaply produced goods.

amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
And when there are 10 billion people at the base camp of Mount Everest because they have nothing better to do?
amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
These are all good options of course, still with the lack of creative things, it might not be enough for all people.
amag··on Deepmind’s AlphaCode conquers coding, performing as well as humans
The problem is that those people you are talking about already are the first victims of automation. They have to work two jobs because just one doesn't pay enough when a company can automate it cheaper. The road ahead is not nicely paved, a lot more people will suffer before a fully automated abundant world.

So despite your disingenuous reading of my comment it is not "Oh, poor me I will be bored!", it's "Is the goal we're heading for worth the price?" and I don't think it is.

There are ways to fix people needing two jobs to feed their family that isn't spelled "automation" or "AI".

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