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alexcnwy

785 karma · joined May 14, 2017

Co-founder / CTO AiSupervision (YC W22)

YC Badge: 0x0c51bf0090235f2604af81df021023a3d62aa4d3

E: alex [@@@] numberboost.com

L: linkedin.com/in/alxcnwy/

X: @alxcnwy

Consulting: www.numberboost.com

Here is a vid of one my talks on deep learning for computer vision: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4Q6C915sUY

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submissionscomments
alexcnwy··on I Worked for a Criminal Organization
Epic
alexcnwy··on The new business of AI and how it’s different from traditional software
Machine learning is revolutionizing and democratizing machine perception at an alarming rate.
alexcnwy··on
Dopamine and Temporal Difference Learning
Awesome work!!
alexcnwy··on Why Boredom Is an Entrepreneur's Superpower
Very inspiring, well done Anthony!
alexcnwy··on Ask HN: Best books you read in the past decade?
“Radical Markets” by Glen Weyl and Eric Posner
alexcnwy··on Tesseract.js: Pure JavaScript OCR for 100 Languages
First of all thank you for all your hard work.

Major question:

Why isn’t Tesseract using neural networks. I know it just introduced LSTM based models but they suck.

Why is GCP vision text recognition API so much better than open source alternatives?!

alexcnwy··on Tesseract.js: Pure JavaScript OCR for 100 Languages
Tesseract simply cannot power the GCP OCR API because Tesseract sucks super bad and the GCP API is mint.
alexcnwy··on Tesseract.js: Pure JavaScript OCR for 100 Languages
Ugh why does open source OCR still suck so bad?!

Why isn’t there an open source OCR engine even half as powerful as the Google Cloud Platform API?!

alexcnwy··on Genius sues Google and LyricFind over allegedly stolen song lyrics
That's so clever - it's like an intellectual property honeypot.

It reminds me of "trap streets" mapmakers add to their maps to "trap" potential copyright violators: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trap_street

alexcnwy··on StyleGAN2
The part of the video showing the location bias in phase artifacts (straight teeth on angled faces) is really interesting and very clear in retrospect if you look at StyleGAN v1 outputs.

Their “new method for finding the latent code that reproduces a given image” is really interesting and I’m curious to see if it plays a role in the new $1 million Kaggle DeepFakes Detection competition.

It feels like we’re almost out of the uncanny valley. It’s interesting to place this in context and think about where this technology will be a few years from now - see this Tweet by Ian Goodfellow on 4.5 years of GAN progress for face generation: https://twitter.com/goodfellow_ian/status/108497359623614464...

alexcnwy··on Yoshua Bengio, Revered Architect of AI, Has Some Ideas About What to Build Next
"I don’t think we’re anywhere close today to the level of intelligence of a two-year-old child. But maybe we have algorithms that are equivalent to lower animals, for perception. And we’re gradually climbing this ladder in terms of tools that allow an entity to explore its environment."

His points on grounded language learning and meta learning are really interesting...

alexcnwy··on Data-Efficient Image Recognition with Contrastive Predictive Coding
“When used as input for non-linear classification with deep neural networks, this representation allows us to use 2–5× less labels than classifiers trained directly on image pixels.”

Interesting paper on an unsupervised pre-training approach using overlapping image fields to massively reduce the amount of labeled data required to train image classification models.

Reminds me a lot of the way word2vec is trained with overlapping word vectors and negative sampling...

alexcnwy··on A Billion Surveillance Cameras Forecast to Be Watching Within Two Years
Yep - you don't need to avoid false positives / false negatives, you just need to reduce the search space from watching 30 cameras' video feeds at once (impossible for 1 person) to watching these clips that have a high probability of being shoplifting (possible for 1 person).
alexcnwy··on A Billion Surveillance Cameras Forecast to Be Watching Within Two Years
Yeah sufficient resolution is definitely an issue.

I'm not suggesting you can use models in all situations or an all current setups, just that it's possible (and surprisingly easy) to use models to automate a lot of analysis on video.

A lot of current commodity $100 cameras are good enough resolution for many use cases but of course you do need sufficiently high res video and good enough lighting conditions.

You also don't necessarily need to do facial recognition to track people. I'm nervous of the privacy implications of all this surveillance tech but it's possible to do useful tracking (e.g. I've worked on a project counting people to prevent over-filling busses which is a big issue in Africa) without needing to use facial recognition. In the counting case, you don't need to recognize people to count them and can do edge computing on quite low resolution video so that the raw footage never leaves the device (only computed count statistics).

alexcnwy··on A Billion Surveillance Cameras Forecast to Be Watching Within Two Years
I gave a talk on "Deep Neural Networks for Video Applications" at the GDG DevFest conference last weekend [1]. It's crazy how powerful computer vision is and how relatively easy it is to apply to video streams. It's not perfect but you can absolutely replace a human watching video in most situations / use cases, for example:

* identifying vehicles & reading license plates * identifying people and tracking them across cameras * identifying products on the back of trucks * counting people in queues or getting in/out of vehicles / stores * detecting suspicious activity / shoplifting

Generally you don't even need to completely eliminate humans watching footage, you can just present the human with cases detected by the object and let the human decide whether it's a true positive / what to do.

It's scary but useful technology because there's no way humans can watch all the footage being produced by a billion cameras...

[1] https://speakerdeck.com/alxcnwy/gdg-devfest-2019-deep-neural...

alexcnwy··on Show HN: AI Dungeon 2 – AI-generated text adventure built with 1.5B param GPT-2
Zombie army!
alexcnwy··on Ask HN: Burning Out
You sound paranoid. There’s nothing wrong with a 20-something admitting they need a bit of a rest after working really hard for a few years.

I’ve had an employee tell me they’re exhausted and need time out and I definitely didn’t “propagate need to my network” about them. That would be a serious breach of trust. I’ve also hired an engineer who told me they just came off a burnout and they were great.

This fear of vulnerability is part of the problem - it’s ok to be burned out and need a bit of a rest.

alexcnwy··on Ask HN: Burning Out
Tell the founders you’re burned out and need to take 2 weeks off.

The insidious thing about burnout is you can’t think clearly when you’re burned out. I’ve been heavily burned out twice and I can relate to just wanting to work in a bar or something but after a couple weeks off you’ll be able to think clearly again. Worst case it’s 2 weeks of paid leave before you quit, best case you come back grateful for the opportunity and recharged.

Your team lead sounds like a pain in the ass, the founders would probably get rid of them instead of you if you gave them an ultimatum but my advice would be to take time out before you do anything rash.

Good luck!

alexcnwy··on Lessons learned building an ML trading system
The only caution I took away from that post is that it's very easy to make mistakes applying ML to financial markets if you don't know what you're doing.

There looks like a lot of overfitting the validation set going on in that post.

It's also a mistake to conclude that "there was no subtle underlying pattern" just because the author couldn't find one.

Throwing XGBoost at a bunch of technical indicators isn't gonna cut it but I have had some solid real-world success (as have several people I know) applying ensembles of deep learning models (with regime switching based on model residuals) to profit from "subtle underlying patterns".

alexcnwy··on Lessons learned building an ML trading system
Totally agree.

Funnily enough I think the ML hobbyist problem is most pervasive in the "predict the stock market" domain. There was a post on HN a few days ago [1] that was overfitting the validation set and hand-waving away fees and spreads. The author concluded that "there was no subtle underlying pattern" because they failed to find one.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21624907

alexcnwy··on I Tried Market Prediction with Machine Learning
It sounds like the validation set was seriously overfit.

If you run 10'000 experiments over thousands of indicators, you're bound to find some that idiosyncratically perform well on the validation set but underperform out-of-sample.

You also can't conclude that "there was no subtle underlying pattern" just because you couldn't find one...

alexcnwy··on Lessons learned building an ML trading system
Very cool, thanks for the link!
alexcnwy··on Lessons learned building an ML trading system
I'd love to hear more about what kind of data augmentation you're doing. A friend of mine recently got a GAN to work for timeseries which is really interesting.

I've done a lot of work in the space and would love to chat - just emailed you :)

alexcnwy··on Lessons learned building an ML trading system
Very interesting. Your nursing home project sounds like you could definitely add loads of value - best of luck for it!
alexcnwy··on Lessons learned building an ML trading system
Fascinating story, thanks for sharing!

"we realized that there will always been a better resourced or more dedicated team willing to fight you for your alpha" - that's part of what makes financial markets such a fun and interesting challenge but agreed, intermediary risk at the timescales you were operating at in this kind of unregulated market is real and not fun

I'd love to hear what problem you moved to that you believe you can build a long term competitive advantage on if you can talk about it?

alexcnwy··on ID Card Digitization and Information Extraction using Deep Learning
This is just an example of a common problem e.g. invoices, transcripts, purchase orders, etc.
alexcnwy··on ID Card Digitization and Information Extraction using Deep Learning
It’s surprising to hear you were getting good results with Python OCR libraries 10 years ago because there aren’t any reliable Python OCR libraries even today! ‘:) Tesseract is very fickle and doesn’t work well in poor lighting conditions (like a nightclub)

What deep learning gives you that’s really useful and valuable (beyond better OCR) is that you can use graph convolutional networks to automatically parse the OCR output and convert it into structured data. You could hand-write a parser or use a template matching approach but you’ll have to create a new parser/template for every ID card type whereas the GCN approach can be used to learn the parser…

alexcnwy··on ID Card Digitization and Information Extraction using Deep Learning
This is a decent OCR / structured data extraction literature review but is absolutely not "building an ID card reader from scratch with deep learning".

It's also very hand-wavey on the details of how to actually use graph convolutional networks to extract structured ID card data. For example what "bounding box information" is used in your node representations? What is the architecture of your biLSTM?

This seems very much more like a promotion for your API than useful information on how to build a system that extracts data from ID cards.

alexcnwy··on Selling My Bootstrapped SaaS Business (2017)
I’m saying you don’t just change the risk allocation by raising money, you change the risks themselves in a way that may be making your risk as a founder greater, not smaller.

You don’t carry “all” the risk but your risk still goes up.

alexcnwy··on Selling My Bootstrapped SaaS Business (2017)
Selling equity for capital introduces new risks though - many businesses are pushed to grow too quickly and take actions in the pursuit of billion dollar exits because they had raised money which causes them to fail.

Sure, the capital injection helps grow quicker but many businesses could have been comfortably bringing in a few million dollars per year but end up dying because they were forced to grow too quickly.

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