65 karma · joined June 10, 2024
but, gen-ai is not introducing a new mode to my day-to-day life. I would liken it to a calculator app. Sure, i use it sometimes, but, it is not changing my day in any significant way yet.
But ecommerce changed the way i shop, and the smartphone changed the way i transact, and consume info and entertainment
Sure, this tool will improve the productivity of sw engineers, but so did the compiler which came 50 years back.
they gamed AIME by over-training the hell out of it for marketing purposes and called it done.
meanwhile, back-to-basics is broken.
productivity improvements in certain usecases are about it. it is not a giant leap which dot-com or smartphone enabled.
such a large round implies hardware for yet another foundational model. perhaps with better steering etc..
> It could make a big company feel like a startup
Nope, not true in my book. I would not like to be in any company that "selects" a small group of elites to a hawaii or las-vegas "retreat". then, said elites would propagate their new-found retreat wisdom from their cult-leader down to the plebs.
specifically, the hanes ad.. and i wonder why the hanes brand is still around whereas the motor heater brand is not.
and hotel rooms were $3 per night back then.
they are purpose building hardware for their specific application. debugging corner cases and making this robust is going to take them a decade. given that nobody else is interested in this non-standard solution, they dont have the benefit of the community debugging it, and improving on it in open-source.
appears to me to be a vanity effort as is the whole dojo project.
compilers eased the production of assembly code. that didnt reduce the need for folks coding at a different layer of abstraction.
similar to how houses are built from prefabricated components. Imagine that the AI is producing these pre-fab parts to order. But the design of the interfaces and assembly is still an art.
if you think of your job as a mason assembling bricks to build components, you are mistaken. you need to think of your job as an artist creating systems that work well built out of pre-fab components.
there is a story of how woz wrote the entire software for the early apple in assembly. nobody does that anymore. because, we have tools that produce assembly like compilers and such. that didnt take away the jobs of software engineers, because, someone had to now produce code at a different layer of abstraction.
imagine you ranting at the compiler 50 years back because it took away your job producing assembly code.
https://www.siliconrepublic.com/machines/deepmind-ai-study-c...
DeepMind is overselling their AI hand when they dont have to.
"whos to say that" - this could be a leading question for any "possibility" in the AI religion.
"whos to say that god doesnt exist" etc. questions for which there are no tests, and hence fall outside the realm of science and in the realm of religion.
These folks must all do courses in epistemology to realize that all knowledge is built up of symbolic components and not spit out by a probabilistic machine.
Gradually, reality will sync (intentional misspelling) in, and such imaginations will be seen to be futile manic episodes.
but why should the solution involve AI (thats just the latest bandwagon)? formal verification of software has a long history which has nothing to do with AI.
software system is like legos. they form a system of dependencies. each component in the chain has interfaces which other components depend on. 99% reliability doesnt cut it for software components.
dont build a platform for software on something inherently unreliable. if there is one lesson i have learnt, it is that, systems and abstractions are built on interfaces which are reliable and deterministic.
focus on llm usecases where accuracy is not paramount - there are tons of them. ocr, summarization, reporting, recommendations.
dont know how valid this is, but encouraging ai-slop as a business strategy to keep sticky customers !
the clouds are unable to sell gpus/tpus for premium rates, and now are forced to give them as incentives and credits to customers
the llamas will be used to pollute the social media reducing their value to advertizers
Many HackerNews readers are young'uns who are seduced by FANG salaries, and the latest AI/ML bandwagon. They dont have the perspective one gets having seeing the highs and the lows.
I can bet there will be another rude awakening around the corner which will wipe out the "pretenders". After the dot-com bust, many pretenders left the silicon valley with anecdotes of leased BMWs abandoned at SFO airport.
After the AI/ML hype deflates, there is likely to be a similar separation. Folks in it for real will be separated from the folks who came in for the riches.
And for the history-buffs this rhymes with the CA gold-rush circa late 1800s - some found it, most didnt, levis profited selling denims to them.
dont compare yourself with others. focus on your art. be a craftsman at whatever you do. eventually opportunities will beckon or not, and either is fine.
one possibility is: clawback or refunds for past payments equal to business damage caused by the flawed product.
where are tweets from sama and amodei on how agi is going to fix these issues ?
security is a great business - you play on people's fears, your product does not have to deliver the goods.
like the lock maker, you sell a lock, the thief breaks it, but it is not your problem, and you sell a bigger badder lock the next year which promptly gets broken.
as a business, you dont have any consequences for how your product works or doesnt work, what a great business to be in !!
while the world burns with botched software updates.
The monopolies and new-age SAAS companies (meta,google,netflix, salesforce, servicenow) went crazy in the comp for sw engineers, and the others had to play catchup. Specifically, the companies used RSUs which could be hidden in non-gaap earnings statements. gaap earnings were ignored in the zero-interest era for high growth sw firms.
The more established (low-growth) firms from a previous era (cisco, ibm, hp) saw the unsustainability of the comp structure, but could not do anything.
let them, i say, until, the tide shifts to something else tomorrow, and a new generation of big-picture thought leaders take over dumping their insufferable text on the populace.
about time we are tired of this sh* .