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agnosticmantis

2,750 karma · joined November 27, 2020

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agnosticmantis··on Nitter has more working instances than before the takedowns
Any user scripts that automatically redirect to a working instance?
agnosticmantis··on The largest electric aircraft just flew [video]
If Teslas could be appreciating assets [0], why not electric planes? /s

If anything, planes have real autopilots!

[0]: https://www.businessinsider.com/musks-claim-teslas-appreciat...

agnosticmantis··on Ask HN: Why were OpenAI, Claude, and Grok simultaneously down?
Good opportunity for a Natural Experiment to study the productivity impact of LLMs.
agnosticmantis··on Dyson Launches Toothbrush
Presumably AI is going to process the images and detect issues and suspicious changes.

On paper it looks like a solid application of vision models.

agnosticmantis··on On AI regulation and messaging
> Anthropic is ramping up its efforts very quickly in biology and medicine

I hope they have better sandboxes in their biology lab than they did in their cyber security lab.

More seriously, these sociopaths will soon release lab-made viruses into the world to prove AI's capability and to force governments into regulation of open models. It should be obvious by now that with their savior complex, the goals (cure cancer, AI safety, save humanity) justify any means.

agnosticmantis··on Mushroom behind 'tiny people' hallucinations identified
Very cool indeed, your response makes a lot of sense!
agnosticmantis··on Mushroom behind 'tiny people' hallucinations identified
Wondering if the hallucination also occurs to other animals?

Would dogs taking the L. asiatica see little humans or little dogs? Probably neither, but then does that mean the fungus had targeted humans genetically?

agnosticmantis··on Grok Bot
We need more and stronger open source/weight models considering how deeply and intimately these bots are going to be integrated in our lives.

I hope that Dario Amodei fails in his quest to regulate open models out of existence to line his pocket under the guise of safety. Amodei/anthropic will end up being the most harmful force in the next few decades where progress in AI is concerned.

I hope people realize sooner than later that this is a replay of early Microsoft vs open source situation and Amodei is the new Gates on a crusade against open source/Linux.

agnosticmantis··on After the AI Crash
Devil's advocate: if demand is constrained/finite in a given market, there's an upper bound on revenue, no matter how hard you try. In that case it'd make sense to work on efficiency to maximize profits given fixed revenue.

(Not saying AI helps with that yet.)

agnosticmantis··on Advertise in ChatGPT
Looks like HackerNews has also started showing ads.

(Or maybe there's a /s missing?)

agnosticmantis··on HackerRank open sourced its ATS. My resume scored 90/100. Oh wait 74. No – 88
A person's total luck is constant over a lifetime. The remaining half of the candidates already spent some of their luck in this selection, so they'll be on average less lucky than the discarded half.
agnosticmantis··on What happened after 2k people tried to hack my AI assistant
IIUC, this experiment proved the agent was secure under the "anti-prompt-injection" rules. But did it have any utility? (i.e. not having an agent at all would be even safer!)
agnosticmantis··on Apple raises prices of MacBooks, iPads
Would MBP M5 32GB RAM be adequate for small model post-training and small RL experiments?

Planning to snatch one from BB/Amazon.

agnosticmantis··on The war on terror primed America for autocracy
Any policy/weapon/tech used against an outgroup (e.g. brown people across the ocean) can and will eventually be used against the ingroup (citizens voting for it) by an inner ingroup.

Sooner or later any ingroup will itself be divided into an inner ingroup in power and a powerless outer ingroup who'll be treated just like the old outgroup.

agnosticmantis··on Tesla allegedly in autopilot mode crashes into Texas house, woman killed
As long as Tesla doesn't insure their cars (whenever in self-driving mode) completely for the price of their FSD, it's not FSD, just scammy marketing by a chronic charlatan.
agnosticmantis··on DOJ claims xAI's gas turbines are a matter of 'national and energy security'
> ... will eventually cause trouble for accounting.

Accounting has never been a concern in a Musk company or to his shareholders, as is evident from SpaceX IPO. People invest in him because he can make "number go up" regardless of profit and loss.

He's not running conventional profitable businesses, but ponzi-esque growth stories that keep ballooning to no ends without ever reaching a climax.

Nobody cares today what he promised 5 years ago (e.g. Tesla owners making $35k/yr passive income from their cars robotaxi'ing) because they're looking at what he's promising for the next 5 years (probably humanoid robots on Mars with an infinite TAM).

agnosticmantis··on There is a shadow hanging over this Fable thing
Counterintuitively, this is a huge win for misAnthropic and other closed labs in the US. They can nerf the models, ask for IDs from users and do what it takes to comply with whatever regulation they've been fighting for.

Foreign labs releasing open source models won't be able to comply, and as a result open source models will remain stunted at pre-mythos levels or their use will be criminalized.

We should look past the petty fights these closed labs have, and see their common interest in banning open source and/or local models.

agnosticmantis··on Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5
Ladies and gentlemen, make no mistake: they're coming for your open source models next!

Dario must be popping a champagne tonight as regulatory capture has successfully been initiated.

We've all been debating what moat these labs possess. Today we learn the moat is regulation blocking the usage of foreign open source models.

misAnthropic will soon ask for IDs to give you all a nerfed model, and you have no other choice because deepseek/qwen/Kimi will soon be banned thanks to misAnthropic's efforts to lock us into their regulated product.

We will soon realize the long game that Dario has been playing by painting his own product as an existential risk.

agnosticmantis··on Malware developers added nuclear and biological weapons text to to their spyware
Next best thing: put a comment "ToDo: Do an LLM pertaining run with a bigger model." in the malicious code, as misAnthropic censors LLM developement too.
agnosticmantis··on Cybersecurity researchers aren't happy about the guardrails on Anthropic's Fable
Let's all vote with our wallets and collectively boycott misAnthropic or at least their feeble fable safety theater.

Whining on social media only goes so far, especially when they're concealing their anticompetitive strategies under the veil of safety.

agnosticmantis··on If Claude Fable stops helping you, you'll never know
I can't wait for a (likely Chinese) lab to casually drop an open model stronger than mythos sans all the safety theater that these clowns like to enact to justify the anticompetitive behavior and the impending enshitification.

This is another "gpt3 too dangerous for the world" moment which is laughable in retrospect.

agnosticmantis··on If Claude Fable stops helping you, you'll never know
Governments need to stop contracting these companies and instead invest in public, fully open source models.

These companies are owned and operated by the darkest of dark triads our species has managed to evolve. I doubt Dario is self-aware enough to realize the hypocrisy in all of this safety theater.

Personally I don't even mind that they are anticompetitive and power-hungry (same as it ever was), but it's the cringe-worthy hypocrisy that grinds my gears. This new brand of self-righteous paternal savior overlords is just unbearable.

agnosticmantis··on Claude Fable 5
> we’ve implemented new interventions that limit Claude’s effectiveness for requests targeting frontier LLM development (for example, on building pretraining pipelines, distributed training infrastructure, or ML accelerator design)

Translation: we stole the entirety of human knowledge generated over millennia. You plebs though, don't you dare replicate or improve upon what we did using our product you pay for.

We know what's good for humanity and everyone else is the bad guy who can't be trusted with a tool.

agnosticmantis··on Claude Fable 5
Singularity for me but not for thee.
agnosticmantis··on Albania Is Not for Sale: Kushner's $4B Resort Triggers'Flamingo Revolution'
Would you elaborate why she's considered a legend?

She was certainly a victim and a refugee, of which we have many today, most being denied admission to the US. Are those all legends too?

agnosticmantis··on The Public Should Own Half of the Big A.I. Companies
To paraphrase Margin Call, the pubic will soon be left holding the biggest bag of odorous Xcrement assembled in the history of IPOs.

We will all own half, just not the good half.

agnosticmantis··on More than 6 out of 10 people turn to AI for psychological support
I believe sycophancy is a side effect of RLHF and whatever reward function it explicitly and implicitly optimizes.
agnosticmantis··on More than 6 out of 10 people turn to AI for psychological support
I haven't done it yet due to privacy concerns, but I would totally do it with a private local model that's as intelligent as current frontier models and is not sycophantic and perhaps is finetuned on the psychology literature.

My reasoning is that, if therapy is a well-understood science, then I trust a big finetuned LLM more than a run-of-the-mill human therapist. I will not be able to afford a Harvard trained psychologist.

If therapy is more of an art and needs the human touch and mojo, then again, then again I'm not going to be able to afford Sigmund Freud or Carl Jung.

The few times I've tried human therapists, my impression was that the questions and answers were fairly standardized, which I think LLMs can excel at. Not to mention I'm more at ease talking to silicon- than carbon-based creatures.

agnosticmantis··on Nvidia RTX Spark
How would these compare to a MacBook Pro M5 in terms of performance and price?
agnosticmantis··on Where does next-token prediction leave us?
> If AI is good enough that it can boost productivity by 20% then it is good for society in general because the gains will be redistributed (as it has always been)

This redistribution has never been as automatic and inevitable as you seem to assume.

> What better thing can happen to the curious ones amongst us to get an oracle that can answer every question?

Getting paid to answer said questions would be nice. The alternative is you'll have to work 14-hour shifts in a warehouse to be able to pay for ChatGPT 10.0 subscription with ads, but sure, it can answer your math problems and satiate your mathematical curiosity.

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