Impressive tech. Don't love the likely societal implications.
239 karma · joined December 16, 2024
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It focused on critical thinking and communication skills by having dialogues about recent news and announcements at the companies you want to work at. Have a 2 min dialogue and get feedback about how you think and speak.
Think of it as a Duolingo for your career goals
It's very clear that the ramp for GPUs continues.
I have to say while I'm deeply impressed by these text to image models, there's a part of me that's also wary of their impact. Just look at the comments beneath the average Facebook post.
And we will over time have even more capability in the model (that is more general purpose) than our deterministic scaffolds...
The bitter lesson is about model level performance improvements and the futility of scaffolding in the face of search and scaling.
The reality you must accept is that life will just happen to you, and not just unexpected events, but transitions in your own needs, desires, and wants. Your plans will change.
One part of the planning fallacy that is perhaps understated is how much your internal locus will change over time. There are periods in your life where you chase money, status, impact, etc. And then there are other periods in your life where you chase knowledge, understanding, stillness.
Just know the tradeoff you make with any approach and structure.
The biggest challenge with the approach the OP explains is that you tend to have a very instrumentalist way of looking at the world. Every day, every interaction is in service of these goals. Obsession isn't healthy forever but it is useful in periods
This is where we are. Is it a bubble? Depends on your ROI expectations
If you're Zuck and you're getting better CTR that you can use to bid up advertising auctions then you're good for $75B
The rest? Need solid business cases.
Jensen, Satya, Sundar seem fine. Sam will be fine if consumer grows and they get ads etc. Dario has a good enterprise and coding business.
Jensen will keep selling to everyone.
If this is because legacy org expectations need to adjust and their CEOs won't achieve "AI-native" status in 2 years then it makes sense...
We're in exponential progress linear vibes territory
Agents, tools etc. all cover up the fact that it's completions
Still a remarkable, extraordinary technology. But the nomenclature distracts from how it works.
AGENTS.md is a great way to give context to get better completions.
The psychological aspects of being cognitively surpassed by silicon on many dimensions are already happening.
Demis Hassabis said there's a paucity of philosophers who are helping us understand this moment. I think he's absolutely right. Hopefully, we can come out with a more human-centric viewpoint soon.
I think software will remain much more artisan because, in some sense, software is a more crystallized form of thinking, yet still incredibly fungible and nebulous.
My sense is we really have to raise everyone's critical thinking abilities in order to spot bullshit.
back to posting on LinkedIn I guess..
I'm obviously being provocative but those are the dynamics
The way to understand LinkedIn is no one is actually trying to engage in good faith. Everyone is seeking status points in a game they're playing. And that status depends on their endowment (people they know, institutions they are part of)
Status conferred from their boss, their peers, their underlings, people in similar roles - It's why LinkedIn feels like a lot of thought-leadering, because the only way to get status is to post something that gets likes within the status game you are playing
Forums like this one and even to some extent Twitter are more evolutionary in that you will likely see higher quality ideas get conferred status.
I use LinkedIn (getting traction for my product). I don't enjoy it but I do understand the game being played.
But these stats are troubling
Not to mention a backlash is brewing amongst people who both don't want to use AI and don't want their world to change so quickly.
"Today, only a fraction of time spent on Meta’s services – 7% on Instagram, 17% on Facebook – involves consuming content from online “friends” (“friend sharing”). A majority of time spent on both apps is watching videos, increasingly short-form videos that are “unconnected” – i.e., not from a friend or followed account – and recommended by AI-powered algorithms Meta developed as a direct competitive response to TikTok’s rise, which stalled Meta’s growth"
"Social" media is just media now.
But the point he makes is completely valid that you have to start by doing things yourself and not automating. I think the biggest value of that is you actually build a more granular mental model of how things work that simply can't be captured by slides and memos.
You also build what the cool kids now call taste. It's what does good look like and why? And often it means having a strong perspective on decisions people would be either ambivalent to or not even recognize that a decision is needed.
AI means many will skip and try to automate prematurely.
At www.socratify.com We build our pedagogical content manually. Even though everyone tells us that we should use AI, we want to curate a set of context that's high quality because it's what our users interact with
I'm sure we'll semi-automate on the validation side pretty quickly, but it's hard to replace raw human brainpower even with the smartest models and we learn a lot quickly.
As more artificial intelligence-powered tools get integrated into the workplace, employers will prioritize hiring workers with “soft skills” like creativity and adaptability, Garman told CNBC’s “Closing Bell Overtime” on Friday. His advice to his own child, a rising high school senior, he said: Develop your critical thinking skills in college, no matter what subject you study.
“I think part of going to college is building [your] critical thinking,” Garman said. “It’s less about the development of skills and it really is [about] how do you become a critical thinker? In some ways, I think that’s actually going to be the most important skill going forward.”
Critical thinking skills will be most people’s No. 1 biggest key to success in the age of AI, he added.
“You’re going to want to be creative. You’re going to want to be [good at] critical thinking. And you’re going to want to be flexible,” said Garman. “I think the ability to learn new things and adapt is going to be just as important as any particular skill that you learn.”
In my second year, he came to the Electrical Engineering lecture hall and told the story of Apollo 13 to a packed crowd, standing room.
I believe it was during the events of the opening of Armstrong Hall in 2007
Unfortunately no one had smartphones then and I doubt it was recorded.
I barely remember the details but I still remember the feeling of watching someone deeply confident and caring who gave so much credit to the broader team he worked with. He remembered all the details including specific equipment and model numbers of switches. He spoke in that confident tone a lot of astronauts have but somehow still very humble and empathetic and answered so many questions.
He was 70+ at the time I guess so energetic he looked 40.
I honestly think this was the one time I met a "hero" who more than lived up to the hype.
Rest in Peace Commander Lovell.
I don't think they can afford to be a follower on AI but being a leader will also be untenable.
Yes this resonates completely. I think many are forgetting the purpose of formal language and code was because natural language has such high ambiguity that it doesn't capture complex behavior
LLMs are great at interpolating between implicit and unsaid requirements but whether their interpolation matches your mental model is a dice throw
Input │ Output │ Cache Create │ Cache Read
916,134 │ 11,106,507 │ 199,684,538 │ 2,767,614,506
https://moonshotai.github.io/Kimi-K2/
OpenAI know they need to raise the bar with their release. It can't be a middle-of-the-pack open weights model.