206 karma · joined January 14, 2023
Most clothes people wear are garbage compared to bespoke clothes. Most industrial food is garbage compared to what a chef might make. And yet.
An important effect is the speed of change - it _might_ be possible to train the next generation such as those who would have been factory workers become front end developers, but it's an entirely different challenge to take actual factory workers and train them for another job. That is to say, even if in the long run automation doesn't lead to unemployment, the short term effect may be quite different.
skill_levels <- rnorm(1000000) %>% sort()
skill_levels[501000] - skill_levels[500000]
skill_levels[1000000] - skill_levels[999000]> These arguments take the form, "I grant you that you can make machines do all the things you have mentioned but you will never be able to make one to do X."
> [...]
> The criticisms that we are considering here are often disguised forms of the argument from consciousness, Usually if one maintains that a machine can do one of these things, and describes the kind of method that the machine could use, one will not make much of an impression.
Every time "learning machines" are able to do a new thing, there's a "wait, it is just mechanical, _real_ intelligence is the goalpost".
[0] https://www.espace-turing.fr/IMG/pdf/Computing_Machinery_and...
There's also the OpenFisca project (https://openfisca.org/en/) which is a Python framework for coding tax and benefit system - France being the most complete - which is used in many things, like a web app to see which benefits you might be eligible to (https://www.mesdroitssociaux.gouv.fr/accueil/) or the French National Assembly tool to compute the effects of changing tax law (https://socio-fiscal.leximpact.an.fr/).