421 karma · joined January 25, 2021
- website: https://adamhp.io
- photography: https://adamhp.photosWhat should be painfully obvious to all the smart people on Hacker News is that this technology has very high potential to cause material harm to many human beings. I'm not arguing that we shouldn't continue to develop it. I'm arguing that these people complaining about Open AI's attempts at making it safer--i.e. "SF liberal bros are makin it woke"--are just naive, don't actually care, and just have shitty politics.
It's the same people that say "keep politics out of X", but their threshold for something being political is right around everybody else's threshold for "basic empathy".
Not in its current state. Have you looked at things like LangChain at all? I think people are overlooking the integration piece of this pie. People are already using it to write code which can recompile. People are already integrating plugins and training it to call functions instead of respond with human language. We're really only a few iterations away from it being able to use what it has learned with human language to be able to emulate "decision making" and that may or may not be reasonable, depending on how it's built or trained.
Despite what people keep saying about "it's just an LLM!", it should be clear to people that language is a human abstraction for meaning, and clearly GPT-4+ can produce pretty meaningful results in the language department. If you give it camera feeds, and access to APIs, and knowledge of burpsuite and kali linux, and on and on, things do start to look a little scary.
Edit: and by give it, I don't mean ChatGPT, I mean whatever the next nth iteration is. I think we're safe for now. :)
Like I recently wrote a little AI wine pairings tool for a fun weekend project (https://oeno.chat) and it was originally GPT3.5, but I've tried similar prompts with GPT4 and it's just a better (although a little slower) version of the same information. I didn't really have to update anything, because I just ask it for specific JSON keys to be returned every time. Every now and then there are some artifacts where parts of the response bleed over, but it's just a toy project.
I'm really excited about leveraging existing tech by gluing it together with AI. Something like: first, get travel recommendations and extract all place entities (give me json); second, take all those and query some external geolocation api; third, build a pretty ui to map those places; last, integrate with Duffel or other booking API to actually book travel.
This is just a random example but I really see the initial leverage being in creativity of gluing together APIs and systems using LLM products to glue things together.
I think there's going to end up being a premium on front-end development until the AI can do better.
Or just 2-10x the amount of work with the same people? There will be some economic equilibrium, but I don't imagine companies seeing competitors pumping out 10x the amount of work going "Oh we should fire 9/10ths of our staff to accomplish the same amount of work". We're entering unknown territory though, so I'm not sure existing economic models really are going to be able to predict the outcomes and impacts of this enormous technological shift.
I think 2 is correct. I don't think any job falls into category 3, in the long-term at least.
I think all of us should be (a) seeking to add value to the world, (b) seeking to raise the quality of life for all humans. I don't think AI changes that. Once we get over the initial hurdles and hiccups, it will hopefully make it a lot easier. (Some will probably call this idea naive).
I would just continue to learn as much as you can about AI, and not just LLMs.
I think one thing to think about is really anything around language. Law, content, customer interaction (email, marketing, etc.). What I really see as the big opportunity here is using it as "glue" to integrate separate APIs and then add UI polish. Doing the thought work of "Oh, if I combine this API with this prompt and then send the result to this other API and use OpenAI to reframe that result and then put a UI on it..." is what is going to make your solution stand out from every other "AI Blog Writer" or "AI Email Spammer" or whatever else.
If I need to add some padding, I slap on some p-4, my browser refreshes, and I see the result.
I don't really get the spiritual debate. It's a tool, use it or don't.
This 100%.
I think we can all agree this pretty much sums it up. Basically every major problem we face in America is the result of lobbying and gerrymandering.
We also have extensive studies on all the ways we are actually really bad at processing input (a by-product of our primate ancestral heritage). There are entire textbooks on all of the different biases we have built-in. And there are clear and obvious limits to our perception, as well (I'm thinking of the five senses here).
Imagine you're neither constrained on the input side or the processing side of this equation. It becomes kind of a mathematical inevitability that we will be able to create artificial intelligence. When anything can be tokenized and act as an "input", and we can run that through something that can process it in the same way that our brains can, only scaled up 10-fold (or more)...
If there is one thing we're good at, it is thinking that we are the center of the universe. I think that is blinding people to the possibility of AI. We can't fathom it, for lots of good and bad monkey reasons.
I met my co-founder (non-technical) by posting on Indie Hackers that I was looking for a co-founder.
Guitar is the one I wish I was good at. I really enjoy more "complicated" music (jazz and fusion) and all of the players I admire are seriously top-tier. But they've put in the work and I only pick up my guitar a few times a week. Perfectionism is tough!
This implies that the calculations are done externally to the plane? That seems... interesting.