961 karma · joined March 8, 2016
Moving at extremely fine-grained timesteps can make learning much more difficult, because now a reward arrives millions of timesteps delayed rather than hundreds or thousands. It's like trying to teach a NN to compose piano music by starting down at the 1ms raw audio level. This is part of why audio synthesis was so difficult up until recently with DeepMind's WaveNet. In theory, being able to move every frame should enable extremely superhuman performance, but in practice, you can't learn your way there. So often people will chunk data to make it easier to learn the higher-level concepts: operate on words, rather than characters, for example.
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That's a lot of cranks of Moore's law. Better hope for considerable algorithmic improvements. (Raw is probably overkill anyway.)
Yes, he's famous for that, but that didn't earn him his PhD nor would it have gotten him tenure. As he remarks about his teaching of his course, him doing a good job actively worked against him because... it's not writing a sexy new paper or networking.
> He also recommend you to release code in this article, so I'm not really sure what you are getting at.
Releasing code isn't the same thing as creating polished end-user applicable stuff on the level of char-rnn. In ML, you're increasingly expected to at least chuck over the wall a barebones implementation to demonstrate it works at all, but there is no expectation that it will be generalized, well-written, or polished, or maintained, and typically they are not. (Most ML releases I've looked at are kind of horrifying from a software engineering perspective. Just thinking about improved-gan makes me shudder.)
This is 19% after range restriction. They're making the same point that the graph of quartiles does: even after you set an extremely high bar, differences in the test score are still predicting quite a bit of variance despite all the other possible diluting factors like geography/family/test-error/personality/interest/wealth/opportunity... If anything, it shows that institutions aren't being 'crude' enough - if they were using the test scores optimally and extracting all of the signal, the variance would be 0%.
The article doesn't give that information, but unless you believe that being in the top 1% is actively harmful to becoming a pioneering mathematician, the odds ratios of they give for doctorates gives you a good idea, since no one will be a pioneering mathematician without earning a doctorate in math these days. Something like 25% of them have doctorates, compared to the general population which is more like ~1.7%, so simply going by proportion and ignoring the curves in https://my.vanderbilt.edu/smpy/files/2013/02/Ferriman_20101.... and the extreme tail behaviors of these things, at least 0.25*0.01 / 0.017 = 15% of pioneering mathematicians will have been 1%ers. (Take into account the tail, and it'll go up quite a bit.)
If you read Ericsson's papers, he does in fact specifically deny any role to talent and genes, by name, unequivocally. It's not a strawman, it's what he really believes. Deliberate practice is also falsified by Hambrick's meta-analyses: it does not explain much of difference in performance compared to talent. They are not gifted with 'a laser focus', they are gifted with things like intelligence.
I think OP in a way demonstrates something characteristic of Japanese agriculture:
"There are also some automatic sorters on the market, but they have limitations in terms of performance and cost, and small farms don't tend to use them."
Japanese agriculture is notoriously unproductive compared to other countries' yields and inputs, and a major reason is the lack of scale and mom-and-pop farms. If this farm were bigger or needed to save labor costs more, it could afford the already existing solutions and would sort cucumbers into more standard grades than their own ad hoc system. But they're not, so instead they do it by hand.
So it sounds like the depressions are going to fill in quickly on a 10,000 year timescale and the exposed concrete is going to break down on the order of centuries. It might last a relatively long time in a buried form like Mayan pyramids, but not as an artwork with integrity, and I doubt much will be left at all by 10,000 years.
Also, academic datasets aren't free of copyright concerns. Consider the famous Imagenet dataset for image classification. It's made of a million images pulled from Google Images. Did they get each photographs' creators' permission for such unlimited redistribution? Of course not. But there's no way the 'implied license' of posting a photo online extends that far... Like so much of the Internet, it's only possible in the absence of enforcement of copyright law.
* which is particularly frustrating because academic publishers make such enormous profits and hosting large datasets is exactly the sort of thing they should be doing if they were remotely interested in supporting science rather than making more money