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ZeroGravitas

31,048 karma · joined March 23, 2009

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ZeroGravitas··on The federal keyword lists that canceled billions in research funding
> But rarely have they been so ... bad at their jobs? Who really thinks a keyword list is the right way to filter grant applications?

Depends what you (and they) think their job is.

RAGE was one acronymn thrown about and name-checked by the vice-president "Retire all Government Employees".

Russel Vaught said:

> We want the bureaucrats to be traumatically affected. When they wake up in the morning, we want them to not want to go to work because they are increasingly viewed as the villains. We want their funding to be shut down... We want to put them in trauma."

ZeroGravitas··on In Australia, a home battery boom has helped cut wholesale power prices
California has the lowest wholesale cost in the US and were predicted to fall by 30% this summer against an 8% drop for the whole country.

Lots of other stuff affects end-user prices though.

ZeroGravitas··on In Australia, a home battery boom has helped cut wholesale power prices
If you price it on throughput and not storage size, because Snowy 2 is very constrained on when it can charge and discharge then the realistic 8Twh per year you can get out of Snowy2 loses to batteries by a factor of 3 based on your costs.

But that's assuming the batteries can charge and discharge in full every day.

The truth is probably somewhere in the middle where Snowy can act as seasonal storage with a big capacity that isn't used every day.

I think it would then also lose on price if compared with a portfolio of batteries alongside solar and wind to directly supply electricity and continually recharge the batteries over seasonal scales but that is a more complex comparison.

In general I think even good hydro schemes (and Snowy 2 is not a good one) rely on non-electrical factors to be worthwhile now batteries have plummeted in price, e.g. managing seasonal water flows for agriculture, and the electricity can be seen as an additional benefit.

ZeroGravitas··on In Australia, a home battery boom has helped cut wholesale power prices
The ban isn't pointless. It's a network and the prices are based on assumptions nearly everyone connecting and staying connected for decades paying off the costs a little at a time.

Once that assumption breaks you need to avoid the costs being foisted onto people unexpectedly.

Any reasonable approach is effectively a ban at that point, like paying upfront for the whole expected lifetime cost.

ZeroGravitas··on Major oil slick washes up on Iran coast after Hormuz ship strike
Renewbles have been more than half of all added generation over the last decade, slowly rising to near 100% of the increase from 2024 to 2025.

This tracks with it being cheaper which it basically has been for that decade.

The market has spoken but some people who claim to like markets aren't listening.

ZeroGravitas··on Heart aerospace completes first flight of largest electric aircraft
One of the electric flight niches might be landing at night in areas that otherwise would be restricted for noise reasons.
ZeroGravitas··on Beef and dairy drive 41% of biodiversity damage linked to global farmland
What you've said is ambigious in the context of replying to my point.

Many people think Haber-Bosch requires fossil fuels as input. It doesn't.

Haber-Bosch requires hydrogen. Currently this is nearly always fossil fuel derived and the carbon parts that are not needed are dumped into the atmosphere.

Venting is not required, just cheap and neither is using hydrogen from a fossil source.

ZeroGravitas··on Beef and dairy drive 41% of biodiversity damage linked to global farmland
Always worth noting that the fertilizers don't require fossil fuels, just currently use them as they are cheaper if you ignore the externalities and alternatives haven't got the scale yet.

Pro-fossil fuel types will regularly claim fossil fuels are a hard requirement for fertilizer.

ZeroGravitas··on Beef and dairy drive 41% of biodiversity damage linked to global farmland
Specifically red meat and dairy are the big wins to cut out if you want to reducing climate damage but aren't ready to completely quit meat.

And the headline suggests this applies to biodiversity damage too.

Probably applies for health benefits too.

ZeroGravitas··on Harry Potter fans force diverting UK-Ireland power link to avoid Dobby's grave
This didn't actually happen:

https://backofmind.substack.com/p/chortle-on-a-chortle/

ZeroGravitas··on Is Europe safer than America?
It's not that boring an ending as basically the same people that are portraying Europe as descending into some Mad Max with Muslims dystopia are saying the same about American cities getting worse and worse.

I've seen at least one such commentator try to suddenly flip from "things are getting worse, the statistics saying otherwise are woke lies to a new narrative of Trump has saved us all by reducing crime with Fascism, yeah more fascism please!" but mostly they are sticking with what they know and relying on news sensationalism to scare old people about every crime on the planet and accusing fact checkers of being part of the conspiracy against them.

ZeroGravitas··on New Amazon Data Center Is Set to Have the Most Polluting Power Plant in the U.S.
The new prices went live on the 1st of July the reporting was at the date they were announced:

https://www.aer.gov.au/news/articles/news-releases/aer-relea...

ZeroGravitas··on New Amazon Data Center Is Set to Have the Most Polluting Power Plant in the U.S.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-05-26/power-prices-fall-in-...

> Power prices to fall for most customers, with bigger drops for businesses

> What is driving [lower prices] is a reduction in the cost of producing electricity. We've seen a lot more batteries and solar systems come into the electricity market in the last 12 months. They've been making the market much less volatile," Ms Savage said.

> "We've not needed as much gas and hydro generation in the evening peaks, and that's what's really cut that cost of wholesale generation."

ZeroGravitas··on A Car Powered by 1600 HP Hydrogen Engines Just Beat a Land Speed Record
It feels like you're moving the goalposts to wanting EV trucks, charged at remote sites with a 100% clean minigrid just so you can be disappointed.

That's a great goal, but every step along the way to it is also meaningful progress.

They currently have sites with 100% renewable power from buying PPAs for new solar farms, they have absolutely giant EV trucks, they have mini grids with solar and wind and batteries offseting diesel usage.

A lot of this is done for fundamental economic reasons and those economics continue to get better. They've committed Billions to it.

ZeroGravitas··on A Car Powered by 1600 HP Hydrogen Engines Just Beat a Land Speed Record
I'm commenting on your first paragraph in which EVs not being the majority of a mining truck fleet is taken as failure or hype.

While for example Norway only has 30% fleet EVs despite already hitting near 100% sales.

It's setting up an unreasonable target for comparison to make progress look bad when even having a single battery powered truck would have been seen as amazing progress less than a decade ago.

ZeroGravitas··on A Car Powered by 1600 HP Hydrogen Engines Just Beat a Land Speed Record
I generally wouldn't trust big mining corporations to do the right thing but that's some extremely negative framing.

For standard EV cars in Australia only 20% of new sales are EV, the fleet is maybe 3%. But everyone sane seems to agree that is the direction of travel.

Mentioning (without proper quantification) that the EV mining trucks aren't the majority of the fleet when cars are at only 3% is shockingly misleading.

ZeroGravitas··on What happens if an entire class of workers loses faith in their careers
I think it's also a YC startup called Yoshi from 2016, I wonder how often those two overlap?
ZeroGravitas··on US strikes $1.2B deal to pay German firm to halt offshore wind projects
Texas burns more coal than any other state and has hundreds of premature deaths a year caused by its coal plants.
ZeroGravitas··on US strikes $1.2B deal to pay German firm to halt offshore wind projects
Electrification roughly halves total energy use in an economy.

Fossil fuels are very inefficient compared with alternatives like EVs and heat pumps and renewables.

ZeroGravitas··on US strikes $1.2B deal to pay German firm to halt offshore wind projects
Slightly less than half now as of the most recent figures.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/china-generates-less...

> That [coal] share was well down from 65.5% in 2016, previous NEA figures showed.

> Renewable energy's share grew to 41.2% — topping 40% for the first time — and of that wind and solar accounted for 24.6%, Xing added. Wind and solar's share was up from 9.7% in 2020.

ZeroGravitas··on US strikes $1.2B deal to pay German firm to halt offshore wind projects
It's a cliche now to say we're past that as in Idiocracy they listened to the smartest person to solve their problem.

We're now onto Captain Planet baddies. Ridiculously childish cartoon carictatures of greed and evil are now in charge

ZeroGravitas··on MacGregor the Bridge Builder
> One time we invited Richard Hanania to a prediction market conference. There were five or six news articles about it, and I can’t remember whether any of them mentioned the word “prediction”. As far as our reputation was concerned, it had become the Richard Hanania Conference For Richard Hananias. You invent an amazing new form of forecasting, incubate multibillion dollar startups, accidentally get thousands of people addicted to sports gambling - but you invite one conservative!

This is weird framing.

It's like MacGregor saying "you fall in love with one curly haired blonde beauty" and looking for support for that position.

> Between 2008 and the early 2010s, Hanania wrote for alt-right and white supremacist publications under the pseudonym Richard Hoste.[5][6] He acknowledged writing under the pseudonym when it was reported in 2023

Of course, the author also has a hidden fondness for the same cause, so I guess it makes sense that he's try to sanewash it as just conservatism.

ZeroGravitas··on Obviously, DOGE Did Not Save Money
Weirdly, one of the arguments Musk advanced was that is was all a front for the CIA, which I'd guess is closer to hard power that he was dismantling.

Not something you'd expect to hear from a big military contractor.

ZeroGravitas··on U.S. used 'virtually all' of its long-range precision missiles during Iran war
In part because the communist government actively targeted former South Vietnamese military personnel, civil servants, and anyone who had collaborated with the United States.

It was a civil war that the US got involved in, and they supported the side that lost.

ZeroGravitas··on U.S. used 'virtually all' of its long-range precision missiles during Iran war
> Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed. - Dwight D. Eisenhower 1953
ZeroGravitas··on Wind and solar overtake fossil fuels in Germany for the first time
Isn't this the guy that double counted everything? Because he counted when something got bought and then counted the subsidy used to buy and added then together?
ZeroGravitas··on Utah produced more power from solar than any other source in May, a new first
You've learned well from Smil how to make problems seem insurmountable by intentionally not approaching them with an engineering mindset.

We know how to do 80% of electricity, 80% of low temp hearing, 80% of transport all while saving money, reducing local pollution and delivering better products.

The big problem isnt technical,it's the culture war that Smil is fighting on the wrong side of and which spreads lies about renewables, EVs and heat pumps.

ZeroGravitas··on Wind and solar overtake fossil fuels in Germany for the first time
They are saying economics is the primary weakness i.e. nuclear costs more than renewables even if you don't have fancy cooling methods that would increase the cost further.
ZeroGravitas··on Wind and solar overtake fossil fuels in Germany for the first time
Yes but by a weird coincidence most of that heat can be provided by heat pumps at a similar 3-5x ratio.
ZeroGravitas··on The Future, Made in China
The Capitalists Will [outsource the manufacturing of] the Rope with Which We Will Hang Them -- original quote attributed to various famous communists

https://quoteinvestigator.com/2018/02/22/rope/

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