Are there rules?
31,051 karma · joined March 23, 2009
Are there rules?
UK heat pumps are half the cost of German installs 14k Vs 28k euros.
Theres multiple reasons given:
https://www.pv-magazine.com/2025/03/13/heat-pumps-in-germany...
Also, I believe Octopus have nearly halved the UK price since that report by optimising installs.
Does the USA or Missisippi have the lower recycling rate because they are uniquely immune to the corporate oil lobby that scammed Italy, the Netherlands and Belgium?
Is it because they instead reduce their consumption and reuse their empty containers unlike the lazy Belgians who are too addicted to feeling virtuous? Has the EU plastic use risen more than in America, because of recycling?
That gets mocked by rich people in rich countries in the short term but then leads to disruptive innovation from below, cheaper, simpler items growing and eating the market.
There's an awkward middle phase where they lie about how long and how much they will cost because the transparency will kill them before they start if real figures are used. But you only get a few chances to pull that trick.
The implications of bringing it up is that these silly hippies haven't even thought of this basic fact so how can we trust them with our energy system.
Meanwhile, actual energy experts have been aware of the concept of winter for at least a few years now.
If you want to critique their plans for dealing with it, you'd need to do more than point out the existence of winter as a gotcha.
https://single-market-economy.ec.europa.eu/sectors/automotiv...
> Euro 7 will also regulate emissions from tyres and brakes for the first time worldwide.
It's like some weird 3rd-hand sour grapes. Yes they bought the EV but they don't care about it being an EV! Which matters, for reasons...
The 3 electricity sources mentioned in that quote combined together added less new generation in China than solar alone last year. Wind beat them all individually too.
This year will be the same but even more so.
At some point you have to accept this is not some anomaly and there is a pattern in the data that you are trying to to ignore.
AEMO in Australia has had to put out similar work to this to show that renewables grids continue to save money as they approach 100% clean power.
edit: I googled to find coverage of the recently released report and found this headline:
> AEMO's net zero grid estimates blow out by billions, with coal to endure until 2049 in draft Integrated System Plan
That coal is to remain only because an LNP (right-wing climate denier) state government has legislated that it will remain. The experts say that decision will drive costs up and reliability down, but the headline is trying to attach that to the net zero target they are undermining.
It would be hilariously ridiculous if it wasn't costing people their health, their energy security and billions in extra costs.
Accurate summary of latest draft:
https://reneweconomy.com.au/isp-warns-of-missed-targets-and-...
https://ember-energy.org/data/electricity-data-explorer/?ent...
The coal line was slightly under the previous year’s and is now overlapping i.e. no growth compared with last year (data up to October)
They put so much effort into it I assumed it was intentional but I googled some of their funders recently and they seem to generally mean well.
And unless people are shoveling coal directly into the data centres this electricity generating gas turbine is intended to be used for the electricity generation mix is more appropriate to conapre:
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/electricity-production-by...
https://www.isi.fraunhofer.de/en/blog/2024/kritische-stellun...
> We can illustrate the fundamental nature of this error using a simple example: Let’s assume that a student buys a car and pays it off in monthly installments of € 300. The parents help to fund the student’s car purchase with € 200 per month. If we follow Emblemsvåg’s logic, the car costs € 500 per month.
The same author seems to have realised his error, but not as far as I'm aware admitted it, as he has a newer paper that argues that nuclear would have been cheaper if they used the waste heat from it for a radical desalination plan. Presumably he couldn't get the real numbers to support his pro-nuclear position without adding this strange element to tip the scales.
It's ironic and yet very on brand for someone who mentions IQ in his piece to be relying on some outlier crank for his scientific opinions.
I'm not totally confident the system as a totality will hold though.
China is the one following the European lead here. Not the other way round.
Triple the population but not triple the deployment, at least not quite yet.
The bit where the Chinese live are very similar to Europe in terms of insolation potential for PV.
They do have some big desert areas too but they're 150th in terms of countries with good solar potential.
Africa, Middle East, India, all of the Americas except Canada, Australia are all ahead on that measure of potential.
Roughly a thousand EVs added each day and roughly a thousand ICE removed from the road.
They literally invented the idea of applying Contracts for Difference from finance to help build nuclear in the UK.
Those have massively helped renewables get built in the UK and elsewhere by letting governments cheaply subsidize financial risk in energy investments while allowing competitive developers to bid the price lower.
But it wasn't enough for nuclear, where the builders didn't want to be on the hook for the inevitable doubling (or worse) of final cost, so they wrote special rules for new nuclear to be paid in advance and not held to cost estimates.
These will go into index linked investments and be withdrawable when the child reaches 18.