1,438 karma · joined March 19, 2019
1. There is no other country (not even close) that could be trusted with that amount of power (especially considering size)
2. Held up the (illusion of) “neutral” international institutions like the UN. They barely worked in the presence of a “benevolent” power, and will probably completely lose relevance to anarchy and the “right of the stronger” (on local levels), shall the US hegemony subside.
Then on the other hand the US has started undermining their own most important principles:
1. 1971: Removing the gold convertability from the $
2. 9/11: Starting to spy on each and everyone, eastern germany/soviet-style
3. Removing personal freedoms during COVID (not as severe as other countries, though)
If it weren’t for silicon valley, the us would already look like a stagnating state where the economy is mainly driven by government spending. The problem is larping EU socialism will only yield even worse results in the US, since the government seems to be even less efficient.
On the other hand the US is also one of the few countries that have turned around non-violently in the past. Attractiveness for international talent is still immense. So with a few adjustments I’m pretty sure it could be turned around
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Round_Table_for_Indus...
Even though it's not prohibitive rn, I'm curious how small it could be and hopefully find some time soon to squeeze it down
Interesting scalability questions will arise wrt to security when scaling the already unmanagably large code bases by another magnitude (or two), though.
I can see LLMs eating into the expert regime IF they get another 5-10x better. But even in that case human (expert) knowledge will be required to know what is possible and hence what to ask (kind of like reward function design in reinforcement learning)