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ObserverNeutral

-12 karma · joined April 5, 2021

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ObserverNeutral··on LSD, cargo shorts and the fall of a tech CEO
Sergey and Larry aren't techbros.

You can see it even today. People who know who they are...are in the thousands whereas people like Bezos and Musk seek to be known by the whole world.

If we know something about the promotional industry is that you only become famous if you want to.

ObserverNeutral··on LSD, cargo shorts and the fall of a tech CEO
Bill Gates is undefeated when the DOJ isn't summoned up.

Except for Google.

ObserverNeutral··on British Virgin Islands corruption scandal threatens its tax haven reputation
Public affairs are separated from business. This was about whatever money had to be spent on X and were directed to Y via corruption
ObserverNeutral··on A sorceress’ kit was discovered in the ashes of Pompeii (2019)
Nice to see economists were already thriving back then
ObserverNeutral··on Dogecoin Now Valued Higher Than Twitter and Ford
> Is that really the world you want to live in?

It's the other way around, Doge being worth more than Ford and Twitter is just the billionth datapoint which tells you this is the world we live in.

If you somehow managed to miss all the others, this one is your opportunity to surrender to this fact. You got to take your opinion, blindfold it, load it in a truck and put a couple of bullets in the back of its head.

Accept that your opinion is worth nothing it and start betting on people's opinions.

That's how you make money

ObserverNeutral··on On incels, dead bedrooms and the hard problems of loneliness
I guess you are saying to yourself "I am worthless" every time you put a condom on... :|
ObserverNeutral··on Is Dogecoin Capped?
That's true, but , hear me out...the fact that there are people who are sufficiently equipped to realize this scenario...might compel them to spend their BTC before the BTC induced economic collapse.

That would cause the aforementioned economic collapse not to happen at all...

In such scenario the smart person is not the one who postpones gratification by storing the marshmallow, but the one who eats it now because there is no future

It's really interesting, BTC moves the analysis from balance sheets to people's psyche.

ObserverNeutral··on Co-founder of Neuralink leaves the company
> far surpass the most optimistic expectations.

Both companies are leechers for government money, that's all they do.

The best product from Tesla is the hype they sell to public officials to take government money and the hype they sell to retail investors to take their money to pump the stock.

People compare it to Amazon, they are not even in the same league, not the same ballpark

ObserverNeutral··on How I Became a Libertarian
How so? You are telling people what they want to hear, you make them relaxed and chill.
ObserverNeutral··on How I Became a Libertarian
Not really. I mean those who bet on proper lines and on financial markets that Republicans will win after 8 years of Democrats and vice versa

Also those who automatically assume the political leaning of the person they are interacting with.

If I am with a hot college girl who is a Bernie supporter, you bet I'd be strongly and passionately arguing for the redistribution of wealth and a 95% income tax because that creates empathy and increases my chances.

If I am pitching to a VC in Texas, you bet I'll be strongly pro-Trump and pro 2nd amendment, because it creates empathy and increases my chances.

Politics is a tool to improve your quality of life, and I mean by acquiring friends and allies while talking about it, the trick is to not have a political opinion and polish your acting skills and suddenly the sky is the limit

ObserverNeutral··on Charlie Munger calls BTC disgusting and contrary to the interest of civilization
> Government-regulated currencies are best because voters can actually have a saying in how money gets handled

No, they don't. BTC is successful because citizens were against bailouts and yet government did bailouts to secure the "common good"

It's also popular because the Fed has a 2% inflation target whereas the population prefers a -2%

Government can kill btc in 3 seconds if it wants to do so...it just needs to give people what they want, what's popular so to speak, regardless of outcomes

ObserverNeutral··on How I Became a Libertarian
Libertarians are pretty smart.

But apolitical people with no real ideology who just limit themselves to bet (financially and socially) who will win, they are even smarter

ObserverNeutral··on Charlie Munger calls BTC disgusting and contrary to the interest of civilization
Comments made during Berkshire annual (remote) meeting yesterday.

Interesting take and in line with what he said in the past,

Druckenmiller and Soros on the other hand are bullish

ObserverNeutral··on Edward Snowden ousts a scammer during live stream [video]
This is maybe his first time when such tactic will be successful (maybe...we don't know if he managed to convince people to divest/not invest)

The first time he did it, well it was not effective.

It's not like people were not informed enough about war crimes. The Abu Grahib dossier had come out 3-4 years earlier.

People perceive this sort of stuff as far away, don't want to look at it or just simply block out the information because they want to believe whatever they want to believe.

Whistleblowing is ineffective to change the way a system operates. It solely make the system cover up better, and achieves the goal of having some heads roll (more often than not the responsible people for security and info compartmentization)

ObserverNeutral··on EU says Apple’s App Store breaks competition rules after Spotify complaint
>> Because they're all trying to build platforms, probably

Or not building products which collide with platforms.

As a general rule, if you have to use offensive lawsuits you are not smart enough to do it cleanly.

This is true in business and everywhere else

ObserverNeutral··on EU says Apple’s App Store breaks competition rules after Spotify complaint
Oh c'mon ref...let them play a bit.
ObserverNeutral··on Raising the Capital Gains Tax Would Be Un-American
The brains of Americans are not some sort of detached entity disconnected from the rest of the world.

People have hated rich people since the dawn of time, America is no different .

US tax rate is getting more and more in line with Europe, and why wouldn't that be?

Hatred for rich people is something known for centuries now.

Taxes aren't just a way to raise money for federal and local governments, they are also an elegant way which society has to allocate social hatred. You need a corporate tax because people hate corporations, a wealth tax is being discussed and on the horizon because people hate the wealthy, this capital gain tax is on the table because people hate those who make money via capital investment, that's because it's very far removed from doing any work which is perceived as "real work" by the population.

ObserverNeutral··on 30 Years of Linux: An Interview with Linus Torvalds
> People are successful when they decide to be. Are you successful?

That is some sort of Politically correct thought where you give everybody participation trophies and everybody is successful (which means that nobody really is)

Like everything there are metrics, Linus doesn't figure in any of the polls which ask people who they admire the most.

Even those going down to #500.

People like Bill Gates, Steve Wozniak, Steve Jobs, Larry Ellison, Larry Page, Sergey Brin...they all figure into those standings.

ObserverNeutral··on 30 Years of Linux: An Interview with Linus Torvalds
You are misguided.

Nobody knows who Linus is..in all the "most admired" polls, even those computing down to #500 he doesn't appear.

If you want to be remembered you have to make an effort to put yourself out there...that's the reason why Musk is so shamelessly self promotional in the social arena. Same for Larry Ellison

Bill Gates even, although much less shamelessly.

ObserverNeutral··on 30 Years of Linux: An Interview with Linus Torvalds
Compare him against Bill Gates and Larry Page.

Also when I said blindly follow the Open Source project leader I was referring to Buterin and Nakamoto

ObserverNeutral··on Bitcoin is a fraud that will blow up, says JP Morgan boss (2017)
I think Jamie is going for the old social short to hedge the financial long.

Although for a billionaire like him the loss of social reputation if he's wrong might hurt more than say some extra 100M if his long financial bet on BTC turns out to be right.

ObserverNeutral··on 30 Years of Linux: An Interview with Linus Torvalds
> Most musicians don't get boatloads of cash or to perform in stadiums but instead the appreciation of a handful of people who enjoy their music.

I think there is a whole world of difference between 60,000 people singing along to something you wrote and having 6,000,000 visits to your Github folder.

Unless you are a robot the 2 feel and therefore are completely different feelings.

Matter of fact the first is a feeling, the second is an acknowledgement that your code works fine.

Businessmen seek to add monetary compensation to the aforementioned acknowledgement , because they know that the sole acknowledgement is not enough to propel future goals they might have.....including playing music in a stadium such as the late Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen did, or hosting a music festival such as Steve Wozniak US festival

ObserverNeutral··on 30 Years of Linux: An Interview with Linus Torvalds
Because it's not like you write songs which make people dream and fill a stadium to come and hear you play them

Nor you are acting in movies which again make people dream and embrace you as part of their life.

You are writing freaking code, if you don't get the money, all you are left with is the tepid admiration of nerds around the world...can't imagine anybody desiring that.

If Linus were to create a startup tomorrow it's not like people would waive their salary for the opportunity to work for the great man.

To summarize if you don't get money you are left with absolutely nothing in hand.

ObserverNeutral··on What's Accenture? (2020)
How did you find the piece was shared in here in such a fast manner?
ObserverNeutral··on Italian ‘king of absentees’ allegedly skipped work for 15 years
UBI deflates the morale of those who receive it.

Costly infrastructure building is actually neutral or maybe even net positive because people have the impression that they are screwing the government over, which is always good for self esteem.

I bet this guy who skipped work for 15 years was super confident and extremely prone to spending the money he pocketed (but did not earn)

ObserverNeutral··on 30 Years of Linux: An Interview with Linus Torvalds
This guy is Buterin 30 years from now.

Open Source won't ever make the inventor (and those who blindly follow him) rich in the long term. There is an initial wave of enthusiasm which provides a time window to unload the bags though.

ObserverNeutral··on Ethereum: A Store of Value with Cash Flow [pdf]
> Same with the central banks that inflate the currency. They are created by the government that the population approves of. You're making a selective argument against the principle of financial self-sovereignty that underlies the entire Bitcoin and cryptocurrency movement

The fed is non elected. there is a separation between Govt and the Fed

Public cannot vote on the Fed Fund Rate

ObserverNeutral··on Paid in Full: an internet where every interaction is a financial transaction
There's a reason why the system is the way it is.

Who wants to pay for every transaction? Not the consumer! It's a wet dream of economists, libertarians and dataminers so that everything is deterministic , discrete and measurable.

ObserverNeutral··on Bank of England to explore a potential Central Bank Digital Currency
what were the results ?
ObserverNeutral··on Ethereum: A Store of Value with Cash Flow [pdf]
> They are not at all. Governments and financial institutions can lock funds, do 'hair cuts', as they did in the European financial crisis, and engage in other such shenanigans. They can debank or otherwise exclude people and companies from the payment system, or refuse them banking services at all.

All that is signed off and approved by the popultion. In the beginning the nascent financial system which today is labled "legacy" was the wild west as well. Then it was an organic growth of scrutiny because it was demanded by the population. Every megasocial system such as US, EU, China...even North Korea organizes itself based on the population desires.

All those things aren't imposed from above by an omniscent and evil dictator or done in the dark, the Patriot Act is supported by the majority of the population, so it's all the rest.

People accept and embrace the government playing the role of policeman in the financial and capital markets.

You are the fringe minority, and frankly people in the cryptospace lack the pragmatism to understand that they are a fringe minority.

People who are the fringe minority should hide and find holes in the power of the controlling authority and USE THEM AND KEEP THEM TO THEMSELVES opposed to creating mega structures to invite and pursue those who sign off and approve the aforementioned authority. Such attempts will fail because the target demographics is totally onboard with the authority.

> Uniswap had $10 billion in trading volume over the last week. That's in the same league as major exchanges like Bitfinex and Kraken. It's also extremely easy to use, with no sign-up/registration required, and a trade being possible with 3 clicks.

Sure in the ETH ecosystem, tell me again where can I spend ETH or Stablecoins based on ETH? Nowhere.

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