HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

Matt_Mickiewicz

426 karma · joined June 3, 2009

co-founder of Hired.com, 99designs & Flippa. mattmickiewicz.com

f804288e0af39623eb0595f036cc83549e3aca6485655810b568fa2bd50df667

submissionscomments
Matt_Mickiewicz··on What is happening in the Arctic is now beyond words, so here are the pictures
and anybody owning stock in companies that insure those properties....
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Berkshire Hathaway 2017 Annual Letter [pdf]
His historical leverage has been 1.6:

http://docs.lhpedersen.com/BuffettsAlpha.pdf

Matt_Mickiewicz··on A Tiny Hedge Fund Made 8,600% on a Vix Bet
The probabilities of black swan events are often grossly mispriced by the markets. Looks like it paid off big time.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Dow plunges 1000 points
I was just reading:

https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5581f17ee4b01f59c2b15...

tldr; * The Global Short Volatility trade now represents an estimated $2+ trillion in financial engineering strategies that simultaneously exert influence over, and are influenced by, stock market volatility

* Since 2009 Global Central Banks have pumped in $15 trillion in stimulus creating an imbalance in the investment demand for and supply of quality assets

* Last month Austria issued a 100-year bond with a coupon of only 2.1%(6) that will lose close to half its value if interest rates rise 1% or more.

* Amid this mania for investment, the stock market has begun self-cannibalizing... literally. Since 2009, US companies have spent a record $3.8 trillion on share buy-backs financed by historic levels of debt issuance.

* Every decline in markets is aggressively bought by the market itself, further lowing volatility.

* Volatility is now at multi-generational lows... Volatility is now the only undervalued asset class in the world. Equity and fixed income volatility are now at the lowest levels in financial history.

Matt_Mickiewicz··on Online shopping in Africa doesn’t work because of shipping and billing forms
https://what3words.com = 3 words that map to specific GPS location anywhere in the world is intended to solve for this.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on World Leaders on Twitter
Without his tweets, we'd only know about how crazy and unbalanced he is via the "biased" and "corrupt" and "failing" media... with Twitter, we get to see it directly from his keyboard, thus leading to better debate about his fitness to serve.

P.S. Loved the Full page NY Times ad of his tweets - https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cviq5rBWYAQeh56.jpg

That being said, it's a double standard, most ordinary people would have been banned before they tweeted half-way down the first column of what's in that ad...

Matt_Mickiewicz··on The Bitcoin Whales: 1,000 People Who Own 40 Percent of the Market
Up to 25% lost for good according to this source: https://letstalkbitcoin.com/blog/post/rise-of-the-zombie-bit... & https://seekingalpha.com/article/4082979-many-bitcoins-lost-...

Also many wallets are simply unspendable due to transaction costs.

Matt_Mickiewicz··on Tezos founders push for legal bailout from Swiss foundation
Unchained is probably the best crypto podcast currently, but would love other recommendations.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Citadel's Ken Griffin Says Bitcoin ‘Bubble’ May End in Tears
"May" = pointing out a possibility vs. making a prediction.

Ken Griffin "may" find a $10 bill on the street today. He "may" see his stock portfolio flash crash 30% this week.

Why is this even news?

Matt_Mickiewicz··on New law bans California employers from asking applicants their prior salary
All H1b salary data is already public.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Ask HN: Do you have a side project you want to sell?
I've seen a lot of interest for Fulfilled by Amazon e-commerce businesses on Flippa.com last few months. If you're making $1K or more per month in revenue, lots of buyers.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Amazon needs a new HQ because it can’t convince people to move to Seattle
Except that it's the state closest to bankruptcy... and has the most underfunded pension system in the country. The state can't go bankrupt, and they can't print money, so they are raising taxes and as a result many people are leaving the state (500K emigrated in the last decade).
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Concrete-free washing machines are lighter to transport, just as good in a spin
Just think about the time gap between the invention of the wheel and until the 1970's when someone finally thought of attaching them to a suitcase!
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Ask HN: Can I cancel an already accepted job offer?
It's a small world.

Your hiring manager, the people you interviewed with (6-8 people probably?), and some of the management at company A will know you rescinded your signed offer.

What are the chances that one of those folks ends up working a company with a job you're applying for 4 or 5 years from now when your application comes through?

Matt_Mickiewicz··on Magic Leap: When Reality Hits the Fan
Yeah, the HoloLens form factor currently is great. Had a chance to try it a few weeks ago.... When it becomes available to consumers, I'd definitely pick it over Vive or Oculus for gaming applications.

The wires on the current VR setups are a nightmare, as is the requirement for a $2K PC setup.

Matt_Mickiewicz··on H-1B visas mainly go to Indian outsourcing firms
Would be fascinating to see how many people from TCS, Wipro and Infosys ended up moving to Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google and Microsoft after a few years in the US.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on The Plan to Save a Life by Head Transplant
Anybody else find the photo of the russian dog grafted onto the back for another disturbing?
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Justice Department says it will end use of private prisons
That was a great article.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Carl Icahn is Betting on a Stock Market Crash
He may be onto something. There's a huge and widening gap between GAAP vs. Non-GAAP earnings: http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/im...

U.S. corporations have issued more than $9.9 trillion in debt since 2008. Last year, corporations issued a record $1.5 trillion in debt.

76% of the companies in the S&P 500 bought back their own shares ...most companies used debt to pay for these buybacks, in a clever move of financial engineering to boost EPS.

To top it off, we've been in a multi-quarter earnings recession for the S&P, and total retail sales growth has dipped below 3% which has always correlated with a recession:

http://i0.wp.com/bawerk.net/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/201...

Matt_Mickiewicz··on State of U.S. Salaries Report [pdf]
Not yet. We plan on launching in Miami in the near future.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Who Y Combinator Companies Want
Fortunately, the solution to the problem is super cheap.

$20 buys you a copy of "The Who" book, which is a proven, scalable system with specific questions to ask at each step of the interview process....

Matt_Mickiewicz··on Who Y Combinator Companies Want
Not true.

Actually work sample tests have a .29 correlation to on the job performance, followed closely by structured interview questions.

See: http://www.wired.com/2015/04/hire-like-google/

Matt_Mickiewicz··on Uber Raises Funding at $62.5B Valuation
Whew!

I get worried when more than 60 days goes by without them announcing a MegaRound(tm) at an InsaneValuation(R).

Matt_Mickiewicz··on YC Continuity
According to this article, YCombinator took the entire Series Seed round for AirBnB -- https://arenavc.com/2015/07/airbnb-my-1-billion-lesson/
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Rich versus King: The Entrepreneur's Dilemma (2006) [pdf]
The book is great - highly recommend it.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Welcome Jared
Congrats!
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Investors Find Ways to Indirectly Profit from Valuable Startups
At least it has earnings, AirBnB is probably in the red.
Matt_Mickiewicz··on Ask HN: Is this enough to find a job?
A job, yes.

Your dream job, maybe not.

You don't say where you live... or whether you have any internships under your belt.

Some hiring managers at tech companies (especially early stage ones, say sub 200 employees) look down upon new PhD's as being too academic and lacking in commercial experience.

Do you have any Python experience?

Matt_Mickiewicz··on What I learned from reading 8,000 recruiting messages
This is exactly what motivated us to start Hired. The entire industry is rife-full of dodgy players, grey-hat tactics, and bait & switch games.

I agree 100% that everybody should demand full transparency, about salary, company name, benefits, signing bonus, company culture, tech stack, etc. before they even waste 30 minutes on a phone call.

It's absolutely INSANE in this competitive market to expect someone to jump on a 30 minute phone call to learn basic details about the company & the position.

Matt_Mickiewicz··on People suck at technical interviews
I see this all the time... people who have CS Degrees, worked as programmers for 5, 6 or 7 years and then they go and start interviewing and flunk over and over again.

Unfortunately, almost everybody feels overconfident and ignores our advice to prepare and practice for tech interviews: http://www.quora.com/Whats-the-best-way-to-prepare-for-a-sof...

Page 1 of 6Next →