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MVissers

387 karma · joined October 28, 2019

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MVissers··on Altman was raising billions from Middle East sovereign funds for AI chip startup
Impossible to say. If OpenAI makes it– I think it'll be better for AI safety then with Sam at the helm. But that's a big if. Time will tell.
MVissers··on Rogue superintelligence: Inside the mind of OpenAI's chief scientist
I very much disagree that it's not intelligent. GPT-4 is clearly intelligent, and we use the lobotomized version of it. So imagine what GPT-5 can do internally.

Conscious is hard to say, partly because we can't define it either, so it means something different for you and me.

MVissers··on Greg Brockman quits OpenAI
Former neuroscientist here.

Our brain actually uses many different functions for all of these things. Intelligence is incredibly complex.

But also, you don't need all of these to have real intelligence. People can problem solve without memory, since those are different things. People can intelligently problem-solve without a task.

And working towards long-term goals is something we actually take decades to learn. And many fail there as well.

I wouldn't be surprised if, just like in our brain, we'll start adding other modalities that improve memory, planning, etc etc. Seems that they started doing this with the vision update in GPT-4.

I wouldn't be surprised if these LLMs really become the backbone of the AGI. But this is science– You don't really know what'll work until you do it.

MVissers··on Greg Brockman quits OpenAI
Rightfully so?

No-one knows. But I sure would trust the scientist leading the endeavor more than a business person that has interest in saying the opposite to avoid immediate regulations.

MVissers··on Greg Brockman quits OpenAI
Never, Elon despised Sam's pivot from non-profit to for-profit. He invested 100M in the beginning.
MVissers··on Sutskever: OpenAI board doing its mission to build AGI that benefits all
They said it in the statement, they quoted to chapter of the company that they should focus on AI for the betterment of humanity.

I can't say if this will work, but I think the message is pretty clear. No more random product launches like the GPT store, but rather focus on the core: building the AI, testing it and launching when it's safe.

To be honest, I've also found them getting too diluted in offerings. Why not let other startups focus on those things? Let Openai focus on the core models and give tools to others to build/finetune things. They can be the infrastructure of the AI world, they don't need to create every product.

Again, we will only know in the future if this is the right decision. But there is a strong case to be made here, especially with the company's original mission and non-profit status.

MVissers··on Sutskever: OpenAI board doing its mission to build AGI that benefits all
Dude, you’re not even using GPT-4. Which is way less powerful as the version that openai has internally.
MVissers··on Sutskever: OpenAI board doing its mission to build AGI that benefits all
How is profit-sharing chatgpt stores benefiting humanity?
MVissers··on Ilya Sutskever "at the center" of Altman firing?
Maybe. We’re also not open sourcing DNA from viruses, how to build nuclear weapons or 3D printing weapons.

I think there is an argument to be made that not every powerful LLM should be open source. But yes- maybe we’re worried about nothing. On the other hand, these tools can easily spread misinformation, increase animosity, etc, Even in todays world.

I come from the medical field, and we make risk-analyses there to dictate how strict we need to tests things before we release it in the wild. None of this exists for AI (yet).

I do think that focus on alignment is many times more important than chatgpt stores for humanity though.

MVissers··on Ilya Sutskever "at the center" of Altman firing?
Both IMO.

The first leads to attractong world-class talent that can do the second. Until you go off the rails and the second kicks you out it seems.

MVissers··on Ilya Sutskever "at the center" of Altman firing?
Don’t forget regulatory capture, lobbying with congress to decrease competition so only the deepest pockets can work on these things.
MVissers··on Ilya Sutskever "at the center" of Altman firing?
No-one knows, which makes this a classical scientific problem. Which is what Ilya wants to focus on, which I think is fair, give this alligns with the original mission of OpenAi.

I think it’s also fair Sam starts something new with a for profit focus of the get-go.

MVissers··on Ilya Sutskever "at the center" of Altman firing?
This is not petty, it’s the integral mission of the company, the reason it was founded, the reason it got investors and the reason that many of the most brilliant scientists in the world work there.

They started as a non-profit ffs.

MVissers··on Ilya Sutskever "at the center" of Altman firing?
Neither can you without your short-term memory system. Or your long-term memory system in your hippocampus.

People that have lost those abilities still have human level of intelligence.

MVissers··on Ilya Sutskever "at the center" of Altman firing?
Objectively speaking, we’re talking exponential growth in both compute and capabilities year over year.

Do you have any data that shows that we’ll plateau any time soon?

Because if this trend continues, we’ll have superhuman levels of compute within 5 years.

MVissers··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
Who says the LLM’s don’t know?

Testing with GPT-4 showed that they were clearly capable of knowingly lying.

MVissers··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
Grok from Musk?

No lol: https://www.foxnews.com/media/elon-musk-hints-at-lawsuit-aga...

I wouldn't be surprised if the leadership direction of sam is related to the ousting.

MVissers··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
Look at what he did instead: Took the open out of openai. Started with regulatory capture, so that no competitors could follow. Deal with Microsoft. Shade non-profit/for-profict company structure. Elon Musk lawsuit.

My feeling is that he's a phenomenal entrepreneur/CEO, but he seems to completely go against the original mission. And the board has no financial interest in openai, but they do have to follow the premise on which the company was created (which they referenced).

MVissers··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
It sounds like this was the issue. Even Elon Musk, for all his flaws, strongly disagreed with the direction of 'open'AI.

Ilya siding with the board and the board having no financial interests leads me to think that Sam was hiding things/making decisions that kept leading the org away from its initial mission.

We'll probably learn in the future what really happened.

MVissers··on OpenAI's board has fired Sam Altman
My guess is he's the right person to run closedai, but not openai. Board has no financial interest in the company, and wanted to stay true to its initial goal.
MVissers··on Nvidia Trains LLM on Chip Design
https://cdn.openai.com/papers/gpt-4-system-card.pdf

Page 15. GPT-4 is already capable of willingly lying to and manipulating people already to execute specific tasks.

MVissers··on Apple unveils M3, M3 Pro, and M3 Max
About the M3 pro, I’ve heard a theory it’s most likely due to lower yields by TSMC and M2 pro and max being too similar.

Now it’s clearly, if you really need perf you get an M3 max.

MVissers··on Apple unveils M3, M3 Pro, and M3 Max
It would make them less money. /thread

To be fair– While 8GB is annoying– I've bought the M1 MacBook Air when it came out and it's remarkably resilient. I've only had it freeze a few times due to too little RAM.

I've also been using many different programs. I just have to be a tad mindful about closing tabs (especially Google tabs) and programs.

MVissers··on Tesla, Rivian Put on Fake Show of Support for ‘Right to Repair’
Tesla’s batteries are modular, and you can easily repurpose them. Yes, you’ll need a new charge controller, but that’s it.

More often than not, you’d want your own charge controller anyway to for example run at a lower voltage (different series). At least for the Model S/X modules. The 3/Y modules are a little bit trickier to re-use because they are higher-voltage and not as modular.

MVissers··on Superconductor news: What’s claimed, and how strong the evidence seems to be
The most likely explanation based on the authors in the two articles is infighting, where one researcher decides to publish an uncomplete manuscript with his name as the third author.

He’s omitted from the second author.

I do believe they believe they have something nobel-prize worthy.

They offered to help with replication in other labs, which is a good sign.

Could still be measurement error, we just need to wait until it gets replicated.

MVissers··on Superconductor news: What’s claimed, and how strong the evidence seems to be
I thought we had a pretty good understanding of this up until the molecular and electron level.

Am I missing something?

MVissers··on Reduced cancer mortality with daily Vitamin D intake
Really curious about your sources, because it doesn’t vibe with me at all (trained MD).

Statins have a phenomenal improvement in outcome on cardiovascular disease. So do many cancer drugs nowadays. Diabetes also has great improvement with good treatment.

Removing these would reduce life expectancy drastically.

MVissers··on Blood–brain barrier opening with ultrasound device in patients with glioblastoma
No. Or at least as far as we know.

Ultrasound is still a mechanical force that can be focussed in a specific area to open a part of the Blood Brain Barrier.

Wifi and bluetooth are electromagnetic, and interact less with the brain. Their transmission power is also extremely low. So they don’t do much.

Super powerful MRI scanners (3T or more) can heat up the body a little bit with electromagnetic waves, but still no focal damage or anything.

Trauma however, or certain diseases can open the barrier.

MVissers··on Desulfovibrio bacteria are probable causes of Parkinson's disease: study
For absolute breakthrough science that is counterintuitive in medicine, I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't get published in top journals.

The H Pylori paper also didn't get published anywhere, no-one believed it. Nobel prize many years later.

Really interested in following this further.

MVissers··on We aren't close to creating a rapidly self-improving AI
We have only our history, where we dominated and decimated other close species (Homo Neanderthals) thanks to our intelligence, and literally caused the next extinction event on this planet where >95% of all species already disappeared.

On top of that, think about how we treat animals where we have billions of intelligent animals (cows, pigs) that we breed to butcher and eat. Just because they are tasty, and we tell ourselves they are less worthy because of their lesser intelligence and consciousness.

I sure hope that AI doesn't behave like us. I have no idea what will happen and what the odds are, but I do think it's the most dangerous experiment we have ever run.

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