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LaffertyDev

235 karma · joined February 19, 2021

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LaffertyDev··on Ask HN: What are you reading?
> The Expanse have been great, but I think I will be good and ready to say good bye when I'm done with the mainline novels.

The novellas are fantastic and more bite sized. They published the anthology for the expanse ones that I read after book 9. Even if you're burned out on the main series, I feel like I'd still recommend the novellas.

LaffertyDev··on If coding is solved, what now?: Measuring the sloppiness of code
I don't know where you pulled that from, its not in the article.
LaffertyDev··on I resigned from Anthropic today
For #1, I would seek a laboratory capable of _actually_ creating a _live virus_. That link to lesswrong, while interesting, does not actually indicate how and broadly reads as incredibly speculative.

While this is far out of my wheelhouse, I am not aware of a commercial venture doing actual organic creation or manipulation of material (I.e. capable of creating a modified strain of COVID). This broadly still seems in the nation-state level of lab.

But, just to get this goalpost out of the way, even _if_ such a venture exists, then would it not hold a bunch of doomsday cultists would already try to do this? This is what I’m getting at by my third question. What changes? Why don’t we see modified anthrax attacks in Palestine or Ukraine _today_?

I take no contention with the social engineering argument. I fully accept that LLMs, today and for a while yet, are capable of social engineering their way into anything. I likewise take no contention with the sheer amount of effort LLMs could wield in pursuit of this.

LaffertyDev··on I resigned from Anthropic today
> There was also a paper years ago that showed a tweaked model coming up with 20k novel pathogens each deadly to humans in some number of hours

> If you disagree with it, where do you disagree with it?

How would a malicious actor:

1. Successfully turn these 20k pathogens into actual reproducing viruses / bacteria / etc (in a lab)

2. Successfully turn that lab prototype into something weaponized (i.e. as a bio-terrorism drop in NYC)

And then

3. How is this materially different from today? If we can produce these pathogens in a lab and they can be successfully turned into a weaponizable bioweapon, what is AI accelerating?

LaffertyDev··on Apple says more ex-employees may have taken confidential data to OpenAI
This is not how it works. Even a cursory glance at the law makes it clear that this is not how it works.

Here is New York: https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/laws/PEN/140.20

LaffertyDev··on SpaceX wins $1.6B Space Force contract for 18 Falcon 9 launches
This is now an argument I can start to get behind. There isn't a need for profit seeking or "dollar optimization" and I fully subscribe to the argument that the government can just "do things". I likewise fully subscribe to the argument that the ability for the government to just "do things" has been eroded over time systematically.

But, like, that's divergent from "This SpaceX contract is pure grift" that OP was not so subtly implying.

LaffertyDev··on SpaceX wins $1.6B Space Force contract for 18 Falcon 9 launches
So your argument is that NASA, by virtue of being a government entity unburdened from profit seeking, could launch 18 rockets for less than $1.6B total or $88 million per launch?
LaffertyDev··on SpaceX wins $1.6B Space Force contract for 18 Falcon 9 launches
Your argument is that NASA could launch 18 rockets for ~$160 million total or ~8.8 million per launch?

Or is your argument that the "real" cost of this $1.6B SpaceX / Space Force contract is in fact closer to ~$16B or ~$160B after accounting for tax subsidies and investment fraud?

LaffertyDev··on Removable batteries in smartphones will be mandatory in the EU starting in 2027
> Customs can and do block non-compliant imports.

Software people (generally) have a limited idea of just how complex and rigid customs enforcement can be. Moving physical product between countries is actually a very hard problem.

LaffertyDev··on US appeals court declares 158-year-old home distilling ban unconstitutional
You cannot sell homebrew (and presumably won't be able to sell distilled beverages) without a very expensive license. Homebrewers (of all forms) are generally very aware of this when they get into the hobby. Even "cute" forms of recompensation are heavily frowned upon. The most I've seen are to "pay for the glass itself".

All that is to say, the government is not harvesting tax from homebrew.

LaffertyDev··on Two pilots dead after plane and ground vehicle collide at LaGuardia
You can view the actual data and control for your own recency bias one way or the other. I see data from 2005 - 2024 trivially accessible.

https://www.ntsb.gov/safety/Pages/research.aspx

LaffertyDev··on Stardew Valley developer made a $125k donation to the FOSS C# framework MonoGame
Stardew likely qualifies for the reduced store cuts. Steam _lowers_ the percentage for a game when it sells high. Still somewhere between 10 and 25%, though.

Generally, the Steam cut is considered “fair” for Indy devs. The benefits of steam (discoverability, massive audience) generate more sales. My Indy dev friends are not upset about the steam cut at all.

This, however, is one area where eventually Epic Games shines — they take a much lower cut and if they increase in popularity with gamers then steam might be forced to lower their share.

LaffertyDev··on DeepMind and OpenAI win gold at ICPC
I don’t think you’ll find many race tracks that permit horses and cars to compete together.

(I did enjoy the sarcasm, though!)

LaffertyDev··on Bringing fully autonomous rides to Nashville, in partnership with Lyft
That was a very fun sub thread to read, both for the on-topic and off-topic discussion. Thanks for sharing.
LaffertyDev··on John Carmack's arguments against building a custom XR OS at Meta
I would read that book.
LaffertyDev··on Rotring 600 Ballpoint Pen
Left handed person here. Writing is already a chore, tying up both hands just to use a fountain pen without smearing seems to cross an effort/reward boundary.

Maybe useful if you were really committed to the tool. I've been casually interested in fountain pens for a while but the downsides seem to stack up whenever I actually look into it.

LaffertyDev··on Ask HN: Share your AI prompt that stumps every model
Presumably, the original quote that would _not_ stump an LLM is "A father and a son are involved in a car accident. The father dies, and the son is taken to the emergency room. At the emergency room, the surgeon remarks "I cannot operate on this person, he is my son. How is this possible?"

Where the original gotchya is that the Surgeon can be the son's mother or other adoptive parent.

The modification catches the LLM because with the modification, the surgeon could just be the cousin's parent -- father or mother -- so there is no gender/sex at play here but the LLM continues to remark that there is, therefor exposing its statistical training sets.

LaffertyDev··on US Administration announces 34% tariffs on China, 20% on EU
https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/feder...

What you seek is available and has been available for a very long time. Mathing out how your individual tax dollars map to these buckets is a fairly straightforward (IMO) exercise.

LaffertyDev··on Greenpeace must pay over $660M in case over Dakota Access protest activities
You can view greenpeace financial statements here: https://www.greenpeace.org/usa/annual-reports-and-financial-...

Damages won't be awarded based on the defendant's ability to pay. They are awarded based on the damages the plaintiff successfully argued they are owed.

LaffertyDev··on What the Black Hawk pilots could see, just before the crash
I did try. Still “sign in to read.” Your second link gives me an option to close the full screen modal (or the NYT gives second-try people a pass.)
LaffertyDev··on A three month review of kagi search and the orion web browser (2024)
This isn't meant to persuade you, just sharing my own experience. I've found myself almost relying on Kagi's `Quick Answer`. Its fantastic having it off by default and being able to opt-in when I just want a quick summary of some brief search where the info cards don't give me what I want right away.
LaffertyDev··on Trump wins presidency for second time
I clearly cannot speak to others. I can say that in my friend circles (very left) the _two_ trump assassination attempts were taken quite seriously and we were pulling up live feeds of it within 5 minutes of it being announced.

I generally don't subscribe to the "this event is more important than the news cycles let it be" thought. Its argument boils down to strawman or quickly circles to "news bubbles are a problem".

> That's so much worse than the guys walking around the capitol building and shuffling papers, yet people only remember the date of the great January 6th nothingburger because it's the one convenient to the establishment.

I don't think that's a fair characterization of the day. Security personnel were _murdered_ in the _capital building_. Six people died. President Trump himself labeled it as the "Save America Rally". The _stated_ goal was to defraud an election. I'm sorry, I don't subscribe to your view that it was an event blown out of proportion. It is very much just as noteworthy as every Revolution Precursor I have ever heard.

As an aside, I find the comparison of the Trump Assassination Attempt and the Jan 6 Uprising as if one is more important than the other is false. Both are very much reprehensible acts of political violence aimed at destabilizing the American institution. Bluntly, they both terrify me. That one seems "overblown" says more about your political beliefs than you think.

LaffertyDev··on Trump wins presidency for second time
This is a bad take. You're essentially making the claim that you shouldn't care about something unless it happens within your immediate vicinity or you are directly affected. Replace "viewed it through a screen" with "read it in a newspaper" or "heard about it from a friend" and the statement is more bad.

Revolutions have happened over less. The King of France lost his head because a small group of angry women marched on his palace, changing the course of history. Even if the net impact of this event is small, it is still _important_ and worthy of awareness.

LaffertyDev··on Failure analysis of the Arecibo 305 meter telescope collapse
> Professional Engineers do not make mistakes. They are real engineers.

My _literal_ engineering 101 case studies on "engineering failure":

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tacoma_Narrows_Bridge_(1940)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyatt_Regency_walkway_collapse

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I-35W_Mississippi_River_bridge

Are all failures traced down to the underlying design and engineering. Granted, they are famous because they are rare. I almost linked the Columbia disaster but that is sufficiently murky between engineer and management.

Stop being elitist.

LaffertyDev··on Apple Introduces M4 Pro and M4 Max
This is me. My wife's old intel air was finally getting slow enough she was willing to replace it. Ordered a 2023 M3 Pro for her on Monday (that was even on sale!) knowing the refund window was ~2 weeks. Today, ordered a 2024 M4 Pro for the same price and better specs. (M3Pro, 512GB, 18GB ram -> M4Pro, 512GB, 24GB ram).
LaffertyDev··on Gravity is not a force
When Einstein literally discovered General Relativity.

Gravity is the curvature of Space Time. From that perspective, objects under gravity are traveling in a straight line.

Fun Veritasium video on the topic: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1W0dpunOaM

LaffertyDev··on Ask HN: Is it wrong to use my personal laptop for work?
All that follows is from someone who mainlines linux (just mild ubuntu) and macos but wouldn't complain too much about a windows workstation.

> Hot (and perhaps tangental) take here,

Indeed.

> but I can't understand why companies that attempt to enforce these policies for security reasons, do not just mitigate their largest attack vector and move to macOS for their endpoints where possible.

Citation needed that Macos is more secure than windows.

> Far more reliable in terms of stability and security,

In my experience, macos/windows are about par for security and the "stability" also seems par. If anything, windows is _more_ stable since it is backwards compatible to a fault.

> and dramatically less patch management required for macOS clients.

Fair, but I think this is mostly a boon to IT teams who want more control from windows.

> I'd argue a more productive user experience also, instead of fighting the advertising, new AI integrations, Candy Crush and layout changes that Windows generously provides every 30 days

These concerns are not generally applicable in an enterprise environment. I feel them on my gaming machines, but corporate is generally locked down pretty tightly. Also, I mean, Macos is famously getting new AI integrations in 18.2 so this seems like a false comparison.

> Hardware is also pretty easy to resell

Admittedly this is a boon to Macos, but I think there is an argument that the cheaper windows machines may have a better full cost-of-ownership metric than macs.

> AppleCare covers replacements

Everywhere I have worked, the company pays for replacements out-of-pocket or has _very_ generous enterprise agreements.

> and the fleet can be pretty uniform with stock available anywhere if needed.

Fair. I'm not sure that it matters for enterprises that already have a locked down hardware procurement process but its pretty hard to argue against the 2023MBP16GB is more uniform than {windows soup}.

> Keep incompatible apps that are required in a Citrix Workspace or equivalent for isolation. This doesn't address social engineering or file leaks due to malicious employees obviously.

I'm not sure what you're saying here, but I'm hard pressed to see how this applies to any specific OS and not others.

LaffertyDev··on The reason your Columbia shirt has a tiny pocket near your waistline (2019)
I worked on my first (and my company's first) hardware product and the HTS regulations were absolutely eye opening. I lived my entire life without knowing about it until I had to actually deal with import/export of a product. It is mind numbing dealing with it. Correctly discovering, interpreting, understanding, categorizing, and conforming with the worldwide process is its own form of career specialization (and hell). No thank you, never again.
LaffertyDev··on Amazon tells employees to return to office five days a week
"A union of Software Engineers lets us collectively bargain for better working conditions, such as flexible working locations, reducing PTO request denials, and work-life balance conditions."
LaffertyDev··on Jiff: Datetime library for Rust
Thank you for pointing me towards the design document. Its well written and I missed it on my first pass through the repository. I genuinely found it answered a lot of my questions.
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