That said I have high respect for the Maker team and the overall idea. They are some of the best people working in crypto right now.
2,448 karma · joined July 3, 2007
That said I have high respect for the Maker team and the overall idea. They are some of the best people working in crypto right now.
ok maybe not: https://xkcd.com/224/
https://coincenter.org/entry/reporting-back-from-the-blockch...
In general the optimal strategy seems to be sniping. Stay on the edges of the map (N. Europe, mid Africa) and then sweep in to more highly trafficked areas and pump in missiles. If you are ever hit retreat immediately until you recover your health. That's a pretty low risk way to stay at the top of the leaderboard.
I half-left the industry for a few reasons:
(1) Current crypto-markets highly favor "smoke and mirror" hype-driven approach to product as opposed to a user and product centric approach.
(2) Most "businesses" in the space are basically about skimming money off the top of a frothy market and effectively encouraging the scammy parts of the system. I suppose I could be making a lot of money this way right now but would highly violate my personal ethics to do so.
(3) It is exceedingly difficult to tie any sort of standard value to a blockchain-issued token, partially because of the complex regulatory framework around such offerings
(4) The libertarian bias of the industry effectively forces a massive head on collision between the incumbents (e.g. the SEC) and folks trying to circumvent their control, also effectively guaranteeing some version of "blood on the streets."
That said, as someone who founded the first platform dedicated to these topics I obviously think there are a lot of positive elements that are possible. Including:
(1) Streamlining and adding efficiency to capital markets by removing middlemen
(2) Funding novel highly sophisticated technological projects that would be difficult to get funding for in the VC world (Ethereum, DASH)
(3) Creating broader incentivization than exists in traditional funding models such that users of a product are directly incentivized by its success
(4) Allowing for novel forms of governance and organizations that are not bound by the legal system of any specific legal jurisdiction (e.g. DAOs)
All of these ultimately have high value. However, I think what we are likely to see is a major phase of consolidation after the current hype cycle wears off (much as what happened with "the DAO").
The reality is that ICOs are mostly scammy and useless projects at the moment with a few shining examples.
DISCLOSURE: I don't mean to critique any particular political philosophy in this post. If I have criticism it is more directed to tactics and strategy.
Tether was originally setup as RealCoin. It originally had a clear bank account relationship with a Taiwanese bank. It had about $30mm. Then the bank cut them off.
Since then they've been floating without any announced banking relationship and they also changed their terms of service. Over the same time period they made a partnership with BitFinex and their supposed AUM has gone up over 10x.
No one really knows how much of that corresponds to actual USD or if anyone can actually withdraw. A famous twitter account (https://twitter.com/Bitfinexed) points out every day the ostensible discrepancies between the supposed AUM and public amounts.
I'm generally a huge fan of the goal of Tether (a stable USD backed cryptocurrency), but the proof is in the pudding (i.e the reserves) and your access to it, and both of these are rather questionable.
Full disclosure: I know and am friends with some of the current Tether team and was recruited for RealCoin in the early stages of the project. They are working on a hard problem (asset-backed cryptocurrency on the way that gets the most traction in the market at present, not necessarily the way that inspires the most confidence.
(Full disclosure: I applied with an Ethereum wallet one year ago and got an interview but was told that the path to market wasn't clear enough. The project was ultimately absorbed into a different incubator. )
As enthusiastic as I remain about the overall premise of equity replacements issued on cryptographically secure ledgers (including Etheruem, which I started with by running the educational channel Ethercasts), I don't see anything in this presentation that indicates that the massive challenges regarding nation-state regulation have been solved.
Even were one to go on the premise that one can effectively run this in a sandbox away from standard nation-state regulation, one has the more general problem of enforceability of contracts, etc. If I hire you via a crypto-contract but then you don't deliver the associated goods, what recourse do I have?
This and related effects caused ~2 years of delays in my own implementation.
I'll note I remain optimistic and positive about all related efforts in this field.
I notice that a few times when various people (including myself) raised critical feedback we were marginalized. I know a few brilliant people who were kicked out of various Ethereum related stack channels for non-conformity, for example.