ItsMattyG

>But honestly, for all their funding, even most of these second tries turn out to be failures. What you're really doing here is confusing selection bias with skill: take a pool of enough entrepreneurs, and eventually, just by chance, you'll find someone who has repeat successes.

There's only 170 companies on this list: https://www.cbinsights.com/research-unicorn-companies

The fact that there's even more than one company on it that has a repeat founder suggests that there's something more than selection bias going on her, given the sheer amount of startups started every year.

So the next thing we could do is take a look at if there's other correlations to these repeat founders besides their ability to get capital. I would argue that the fact that most of them are intelligent at least merits a look as a FACTOR that might help them.

This seems to fly in direct opposition to research on growth vs. fixed mindset, which claims that praise should be impersonal, specific, and temporal in order to help people realize that they can do better based on the choices they make.

The fact that they were able to replicate their success multiple times, just like Einstein, and that they're all smart, just like Einstein, says that there's probably some aspect of talent involved in their success.

If it was purely based on luck, without any talent involved, you'd expect billion dollar companies to be more evenly distributed, and not cluster among certain individuals.

>People overestimate the positive impact of technology. Of course in Silicon Valley you're considered crazy if you don't believe technology solves everything. But it's not as simple as that. My grandparents for example, had no internet, no Facebook, no iPhones. They're doing great and have led very fulfilling lives. Most of the positivity in their lives came from their relationship with each other and their kids. Of course they are only one example, and that is not a lot of data. But we know that there are millions of people in Silicon Valley right now who have the fastest internet, the most amazing social media apps, they are young and can take advantage of all the modern technology in existence, and yet they might feel isolated and be totally depressed in their lives.

I mean, technology is probably not going to make rich people's lives better at this point unless it removes some substantial annoyance. I suspect that like money, there's diminishing returns after a certain point.

But, for someone who has never had internet before, to get connected (one of Mark's three stated goals in the video) is life changing.

The same reasoning can be applied to be people like Jack Dorsey, Peter Thiel, Elon Musk who have made several billion dollar companies.

I suspect it's probably a wash. Donating to a Givewell charity has less risk certainly, but a successful startup on the order of Facebook will change the world by multiple orders of magnitude more. The expected value is probably similar.

Ethereum has immutable code.

>Think of any Ethereum usecase and you can do it with bitcoin.

Yes, but it's a lot harder. Look at for instance the colored coins project vs. implementing a custom token on ethereum.

>Granting your premises then the goal of LW/EY should not be AI but the scientific, rational proof and definition of ethics but their fundamental philosophic premises won't allow it.

That is the goal of MIRI, the organization that EY founded, and is a frequent topic of discussion on LW

There are far far more people willing to take a pill then exercise or caloric restrict. If this allows those people to survive long enough for more radical form of life extension, it could save many, many lives.

Hmmm, would a better way to do frictionless registration be to sign them in, then send them an email with a link to set their password?

That's a Wordpress plugin I have to make registration easier... Not secure enough?

It's content marketing, a bit different from advertising. It only works if the content is good (which it is in this case)

This is the essence of Simon Wardley's ILC model (http://blog.gardeviance.org/2013/01/ecosystems.html) - It's a strategy that every smart maker of low level services implements.

Agile is good in uncertain environments with frequent project changes, but not in other situations... Simon Wardley has a good model that seems to work reasonably well:

http://blog.gardeviance.org/2014/11/how-we-used-to-organise-...

The words in the meditation primed particpants specifically for what they were measuring. They should have used a guided meditation that didn't mention judgement. Or alternatively, give an audio which mentioned these concepts without the meditation bit.

I came up with three rules that I've found allow my students have better resumes than 80% - 90% of their competition. Would love your thoughts.