41 karma · joined November 15, 2020
You can find news articles that spin anything positively or negatively.
Lockdown South American nations have had about the same COVID toll as non-lockdown nations.
Same when you look at individual US states.
Doesn't seem to be much of a link between lockdowns and COVID - but a heavy link between lockdown and economic and social devastation.
The virus will follow its own seasonal trends, impacted by herd immunity, as every respiratory virus has.
For me this is the single factor which has lead to so many of the problems inherent in the game. You cannot just pickup a multi-hundred person digital interactive art project (ie. a video game) and shift it online overnight.
Still, I think CDPR were right to release the game. Its good enough, content is complete, and they need to have the product on shelves before Christmas and before people lose interest in last-gen consoles.
Having the product out there will motivate its staff - still stuck at home in Lockdown Poland - to work on the very public bugs.
Its also interesting that Poland seems to have had basically the same COVID case and death profile as Ukraine, despite Ukraine having a significantly less strict lockdown (bars, restaurants, workplaces never shut this Autumn or Winter).
But - this method doesn't allow for over-regulation, over-government, and megafines. The benefits go to small and medium-sized European businesses, instead of the European bureaucrat class, so its a no-go.
The fact is that environmental conditions worsen each decade in India and quality of life is lower than in the 70s when the population was 555million (currently 1.3b).
Meanwhile the upper castes flee the country en-masse to the USA, Canada, Australia, Europe.
The Indian population will rise to 1.6b by 2050. It will be substantially easier to fix water infrastructure if this number was hundreds of millions lower. Population management is a bigger part of the solution than pipes and dams.
Why don't we have the same lockdowns when influenza threatens to overwhelm hospitals each year?
Where is the focus on public health interventions such as mass Vitamin D, Vitamin C, Zinc supplemenation, as well as seriously dealing with obesity (banning or taxing added sugar) and air pollution (banning or taxing coal and oil)?
Weekly snapshots are too volatile. If everyone who was going to die in March dies in the first week of March, but none die in the remaining three weeks, this will show a death spike whilst the number of monthly deaths is unchanged. If someone at the end of their natural lifespan dies a few weeks earlier or later than usual, this is not a national concern.
2019 was a weak flu season.
We need to examine this data across broader time scales to avoid the hysteria we are currently experiencing.
This lead many residents to die of neglect, or for COVID to sweep easily through many centres if the remaining staff worked whilst symptomatic and took shifts across multiple locations.
This is part of the reason why countries in EE and the FSU, as well as those with less strict lockdowns (ie. Sweden), had lower mortality rates than in places like the UK, Spain, Italy, France.
It might be worth reconsidering the whole aged care model, and advancing the idea of voluntary euthanasia for the elderly.
https://www.statista.com/statistics/525353/sweden-number-of-...
The spike in deaths seen earlier this year is similar to the 2009 flu epidemic:
https://swprs.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/sweden-monthly-...
Its unclear whether COVID presents a mortality burden any greater than regular influenza - and whether lockdowns or restrictions are at all warranted.
I guess these central areas of Paris will become completely unsuitable to families, who will be forced out to suburban areas.
Once these factors are removed its unlikely that mask wearing provides any value beyond security theatre.
https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2018/01/24/Hospitals-overwhe...
https://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-flu-demand-2018...
https://www.dispatchhealth.com/blog/ers-are-overwhelmed-with...
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/overwhelmed-by-flu-cases-some-e...
https://edition.cnn.com/2018/01/12/health/flu-surveillance-c...
In Italy and Spain, aged care centres were abandoned by Eastern European workers fleeing the country before border closure, leaving residents ill cared for.
In New York, symptomatic patients were ordered back into aged care homes to free up hospital space.
These conditions would not have occurred without hysteria and excessive fear.
COVID in Sweden is about as deadly as the 2009 flu wave: https://swprs.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/sweden-monthly-...
Sweden is on track for an annual number of deaths in 2020 mostly the same as prior years: https://www.statista.com/statistics/525353/sweden-number-of-...
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsde...
So compared to 2018 and 2019, there is no change in deaths for those aged 45 and younger.
However there is an increase in death apparent for those aged above that, such that overall deaths when comparing up to Week 46 are 9.5% higher in 2020 than 2019. However, 2019 was a very weak flu season, with no excess death periods in England:
https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps#z-scores-by-country
If you reduce 2020 deaths by the amount that didn't occur in 2019 due to the weak flu season but did occur in 2018, then 2020's deaths are only 6.8% higher than 2018. Consider also that in those two years the population of the UK aged 45 and above increased by 1.7%.
The question is - is COVID just shuffling fundamentally unhealthy people off their mortal coil a bit faster than would have occurred naturally? How many COVID deaths are really due to ongoing societal issues like Vitamin D deficiency, air pollution, poor diets and obesity? Or simply just old age?
Is shutting down and completely disrupting society for something which is about 5% worse than a regular flu season in terms of deaths really justified? Would we have noticed without the media attention?
Shifting non-essential travel to an hour earlier or later in the day will have a hugely beneficial impact in unclogging many cities.
However in reality the deathtoll from COVID is scarcely distinguishable from regular influenza seasons. Only 0.06% of Sweden's population succumbed to COVID and their annual deaths are shaping up to be the same as prior years, for example. Similar situation in Germany.