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HerbManic

792 karma · joined February 23, 2026

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HerbManic··on Age verification for social media, the beginning of the end for a free internet?
Same here. Need an ID then I don't need you.

To that, I have also what I consider my "forever hardware" were I can do what I want offline.

Not saying other stuff won't creep in for various pragmatic reasons but it will be kept at arms length at best.

HerbManic··on Age verification for social media, the beginning of the end for a free internet?
Just look at how far privacy has slipped in the last 25 years, it won't take another 25 to get there. Maybe less than a decade.
HerbManic··on Age verification for social media, the beginning of the end for a free internet?
Yeah but $1.50 Costco hot dogs! I got nothing more on that.
HerbManic··on Age verification for social media, the beginning of the end for a free internet?
I don't think WWW will ever die but I can see a hard split coming eventually. Most people will just put up with the current state of the internet for a long time yet.
HerbManic··on Can the stockmarket swallow Anthropic, SpaceX and OpenAI?
I suppose many do live in different worlds.

I haven't found anything out of LLM's that has improved my life. It was a fun little toy but could never find a use case. But clearly, your mileage varies greatly from mine. That's cool.

I just personally don't the use in more when what I think many need is less. But that comes from essentially this point of view - “Better than a thousand hollow words is one word that brings peace.” ― Buddha

HerbManic··on I made my phone slow on purpose
That is a very neat solution. Can still get a little and then you get less than a little.

Personally I just deleted the accounts and apps but that doesn't work for everyone.

Also my phone is a 7 year old Oppo something that had a low end Mediatek CPU that sucked from day one. I fear how it would handle any doomscrolling app, it would probably physically eject the media decoder out of the phone after a minute.

HerbManic··on A 10 year old Xeon is all you need
It is for now but they cannot keep demand on their side high enough to suck up supply forever. Manufacturing isnt going to stop, not unless there is a Taiwan incident.

For those with tin foil hats, scheme away at possible futures!

HerbManic··on Nvidia RTX Spark
There was a presentation from Valve about their Dex compatibility layer. They did something that seems so obvious in retrospect.

When you lay out the software stack it is essentially OS > Game code > APIs. Both the OS and APIs are native code, it is only that middle point that needs the real work.

This is why x86 to ARM doesn't have such a heavy performance cost. So games can be CPU heavy but if it is heavy at the API end, that isnt a huge issue.

Very cool.

HerbManic··on Nvidia RTX Spark
Depends. It is the typical Nvidia problem. Everything is a black box but when it all works it is the best option available. But when it breaks, you hate them with a passion.
HerbManic··on The Pirate Bay Remains Resilient, 20 Years After the Raid
Good job, almost the full Stallman! ;)

Stallman would never use an MP3 as it used to be a proprietary format.

HerbManic··on The Pirate Bay Remains Resilient, 20 Years After the Raid
They are unlikely partners. And yet it is the model that allows arts to get something out there while it gets exploited for gains. But at the end those with the money make the final call.

Alas, we would hope that it would be the best art that gets preserved but a lot of the time it is some of the most mass produced.

HerbManic··on The Pirate Bay Remains Resilient, 20 Years After the Raid
I managed to grab season 1 thru 10 on DVD for $15. Ripped them to storage, probably the best presentation you can get out of it.

But some of those old rips hold up. Not great but they will do.

A few years ago I did see a rip that pushed the limits of codecs. It was, at that point, every season of Futurama before Hulu brought it back but it fit on a single layer DVD. It was squeezed just a little too much as that was something like 100ish episodes. But neat to see.

HerbManic··on Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket exploded during a static fire test
Exactly this. It is relatively easy to make something mechanical more safe provided you have have a significant material buffer. Rocket abhors additional material weight so everything has to run with a limited buffer space for safety.
HerbManic··on Cars collect a startling amount of data about you
Those that can race tot he bottom and get away with it are usually the ones the have a better chance of survival. I don't like it one bit but that is a good summary of business nowadays.
HerbManic··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
I will give you that. I will be more than happy to see both reach there in mutual success. I do fear the blow back of the more tribalistic folks that will see it as a threat rather than success.
HerbManic··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
I will give you that. Better to blow up in a test rather than ready for launch.
HerbManic··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
B.O.N.G goes up in smoke.

As an aside, that acronym is something you would expect out of Musk and yet Blue Origin sort of accidentally got it themselves.

HerbManic··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
To be fair the last Starship to blowup on launchpad/ground was less than a year ago. It is a set back but it appears nobody has avoided this issue yet.

https://www.livescience.com/space/space-exploration/spacexs-...

HerbManic··on Blue Origin's New Glenn blows up during static fire test
That is a very fair point. While I have no skin in the game, it is fascinating to see if the Us with Artemus or China with Chang'e will be the first to make it back to the Moon manned.

At this point is is looking like the winners will merely be those that have the least loses and launch pad loses can take a long time to recover from.

Credit to Space X, they have become very good and fixing launch pads with Starship. What used to be year(s) long pauses, now only take a few months.

HerbManic··on I think Anthropic and OpenAI have found product-market fit
I mean optimistically I hope there is a big reduction of hardware requirements in future. One of those technological jumps that nobody sees in advance but looks obvious in hindsight. If the need to the amount of compute goes down enough,that is a brilliant path through.

It could happen, I hope it does.

HerbManic··on I think Anthropic and OpenAI have found product-market fit
I think the big issue isn't so much a technology thing, I mean that will improve for a long while yet, but it is an economic one. My whole concern over the rapid expansion of LLM's is the massive build out on a technology that hasn't found its feet in a big enough range of markets yet that are willing to pay top dollar. Yes, world models for protein discover is very cool stuff and I kind of hate it gets lumped in with these other companies efforts because it has a very clear path forward that doesn't rely on massive IPO's just to keep the lights on.

This stuff is here to stay but I'm not sure how many of the current front runners will be able to stay solvent if they cannot turn these things in to massive money spinners. Revenue is fine-ish but spending is out of control. I see the debt in hundred of billions of dollars and start to wonder "Who is going to pay for this?" and "Will the people be willing to pay that much?". It just all feels forced rather than organic growth.

This is why I think Google may end up being one of the leaders in this field. They have their custom TPU's that seem to be fairly efficient at these tasks, they are slowly but surely improving their training and inference tech using their massive data set and most importantly, other parts of the business can subsidize this stuff for a decade if needed until it is genuinely profitable.

I am not against the industry but I do worry that many are rushing in with no means of genuine sustainability other than jump out for a golden parachute and let someone else clean up the mess.

I do hope I am wrong.

HerbManic··on Tech CEOs are apparently suffering from AI psychosis
I have had higher ups that actually understand the products, work flow and have a great grasp on things. Slow to understand things but make well educated and deliberate moves. These folks are are VERY rare however.
HerbManic··on SimCity 3k in 4k (2025)
> The focus on photorealism in modern city builders took away the apophenia

That would be a real challenge to achieve simply because most of us are constantly surrounded by cities, but it is something that we should strive for.

For instance, game designer Fumito Ueda (Ico, Shadow of the Colossus, Last Guardian) said that I never wants to visit any old castles or ruins for fear that it would ruin his imagination on how game worlds should be built. It is a fair point, none of his games have had any focus on reality in terms of scale and that is what makes them so special.

Also looking at your game... can I get a copy of Microslop Excellence? ;)

HerbManic··on I think Anthropic and OpenAI have found product-market fit
Pretty much. Ed does a lot of great work in digging through all this stuff but his conclusions always feel far too doomer oriented. OpenAL should have closed 5 times by now if you have been following his assertations from the start.

There will be big parts of what he says are true once the rubble settles but it will not be anywhere near what he is predicting. How that will shape out may not be great for the average person, what money shuffling tricks will be used? But it won't be a total wreck.

HerbManic··on Big tech's anti-labor playbook has come for Wikipedia
It is probably one of those things, once they are gone you will see just how effective they were.
HerbManic··on The Eternal Sloptember
> Unfortunately, faster beats better.

I think you have just written the epitaph for corporate software.

HerbManic··on DeepSeek makes the V4 Pro price discount permanent
Who knows but any 'answer' anyone could give is pure speculation.

You could be right! But I do see this claim come up every time Chinese tech comes up. It might be a valid concern but it might also just be folks attempts to try and undermine the technology gains of the nation.

The ISA they have developed with based off years of with with MIPS and RISC V, so it isn't entirely new but they are definitely pushing it forwards. I have no idea if any of their developments could be back ported down the RISC V.

HerbManic··on Why Trump Lost to Iran
That is a fair assessment. Another name that has been given is Risk Compensation.
HerbManic··on The Eternal Sloptember
That is a fair analogy.

There is some very cool tech it just needs continued refinement, there is a path forwards even if it isn't always the clearest. This is happening but it is taking years and a lot of work to get done.

HerbManic··on The four-day workweek in Australia: insights from early adopters of 100:80:100
The ghost of David Graeber would agree.
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