GoatOfAplomb

>If you have no idea what you are doing and are totally unfamiliar, you can even win pretty easily with some luck. But you won't understand why you won, or rather why others lost.

Interesting, this is a _feature_ of poker games like Texas Hold'em. If the losing players didn't go on convincing winning streaks, they'd stop playing. And those winning streaks can convince them they don't need to learn anything else about the game in order to be a winning player.

I think this set a record for me on how much article was available before the paywall.

I was recently a bit annoyed by ChatGPT responding with something like "I can't tell you how many times I've lost small tools in an engine bay" in an apparent attempt to commiserate.

> Placing one on a chip is like placing a hair on a surface the size of Paris, accurate to within a few streets.

That sounds very easy, honestly.

I agree with everything in the video you linked (which is not surprising, given it's Ben Felix). That includes the parts about equities being less risky than bonds in very important ways, but also the parts about behavioral loss tolerance and risk capacity, and how they can indicate higher bond allocation.

So I disagree that "If you're dreading equity drawdowns, that's what fixed income is for" is absolutely terrible advice.

Maybe you place a value on your time higher than $1.99 divided by the time it would take you to create it. Maybe you don't care to learn how to create an addon.

All this simulation buys a single vehicle that drives better. That failure was a fleet-wide event (overloading the remote assistance humans).

That is, both are true: this high-fidelity simulation is valuable and it won't catch all failure modes. Or in other words, it's still on Waymo for failing during the power outage, but it's not uniquely on Waymo's simulation team.

I wonder if my $20/mo subscription will last 10 minutes.

Fantastic read. I did most of my web development between 1998 and 2012. Reading this gave me both a trip down memory lane and a very digestible summary of what I've missed since then.

All the Spanish cities I've visited have looked "perfect", but there's a lot I don't see as a tourist, e.g. that Spain has one of the highest unemployment rates in Europe (10.5%).

Looks promising. Thank you.

Thanks for the tip. I'll definitely look into it.

Typo fix: ynab.com

I'll certainly give this another look if you do. Good luck with it.

Right on. In this case, I used "private" to mean "the makers of this particular product don't have a ton of my financial information." I don't expect a product like this to prevent my government, or my brokerage, or my bank, or even a middleman account aggregator, from knowing about my money. But something like this can be one less thing, at least.

I love the idea of keeping my finances private while still having a useful tracker/planner. And I love that this would give me some protection against a new version making things worse. I also love the option to write my own plugin or to hack the source code itself (even though I probably wouldn't).

But I don't think I'm willing to give up fully automated data refreshes at this point. I have too many accounts to track.

Pimsleur is the best thing I've found for my first ~30 hours of learning a language (Courses 1 and 2, basically). It gets to the (IMO) most important words/phrases/interactions first, and the spaced repetition works well for me. It almost feels like magic is happening in my brain. In find going past 1 and 2 is still worth my time, but I usually start to sense diminishing returns, and at that point I start to look around for other options to supplement it.

Pimsleur's implicit way of teaching grammar works well for me for the most basic stuff, but as it gets into more nuanced grammar, it gets a bit less helpful for me. It also feels less magical to me once it gets past the first couple hundred words.

In any case, he did fit that into a book! If only barely.

Edit: On further reflection, I suppose he didn't, if we consider the effort to span Gödel Escher Bach and I Am a Strange Loop.

I don't understand how that is ableist. Would you be willing to explain your rationale?

I think Fogbugz sort of tried this? I guess it still exists. But it certainly hasn't "won".

Waymo is doing alright in San Francisco as well. That's not directly comparable to Tokyo, either, but I expect it's a much less distant of a comparison than Phoenix.

That URL goes to the essay itself. Here's an earlier submission with comments: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42355160

> late 90s and early 00s

I remember going to Moulin Rouge without knowing it was a musical!

You could also just start with "What time is it?" and see what you get back, right?

FWIW these companies already invest pretty heavily in predicting the behavior of other agents (cars, pedestrians, squirrels...) in the vicinity.

But clearly it is not publicly available or audited.

See also "Hey Google, what happened to all the fun?", https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40947641, for the perspective of someone impacted by this.

I think it's a really cool idea. How To Invent Everything (by Ryan North) describes a water logic gate that works as either AND or XOR gate depending on which drain you look at.

I have my doubts about pulling it off as he describes, though. It depends on two streams of water flowing out of angled pipes such that such that when they both flow, they collide and combine into one stream falling straight down. That seems pretty finicky to get right.

Edit: Someone did it! The AND gate worked great, the XOR not so much. So they made it out of greedy siphons instead: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IxXaizglscw

With the latest PG&E rate hike, my off-peak rate is 33c/kwh and the highest peak rate in 66c. I think the national average is 19c? That seems like a pretty drastic difference to me.

My first thought was a blink tag but I think we're on the same page.

>energy already stored in the car's battery can power home electronics at night.

Will those extra charging cycles shorten the lifetime of my EV? It's one thing to have household batteries, which can be replaced on their own and which are still pretty useful at 40% of their original capacity. But I can't economically replace just the battery on my EV (it'll cost more than the car is worth) and diminished range would really reduce the utility I get from the vehicle it powers.

(But thanks for getting me thinking with that list, regardless.)