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Findeton

648 karma · joined November 21, 2015

contact: felix@wupi.io

Personal Blog

https://roblesnotes.com

Chronology based on the Ancient Rome Epoch (we're on year AUC 2773)

https://aburbecondita.com

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Findeton··on Argentina's economy is growing beyond expectations
I just used the data available in Wikipedia. Instead, if we go to official data from Argentina's INDEC (national institute of statistics) we get a more reliable picture. Here [1] we see they show annual GDP (called PIB in Spanish) in constant prices of 2004 (so, they correct it by inflation). In page 6 you can see this image [2], where you see that yes, GDP hasn't really grown at all since 2011 (which is more than a decade ago). And this is aggregate GDP, but population has grown, so GDP per capita has gone down.

[1] https://www.indec.gob.ar/uploads/informesdeprensa/pib_06_242... [2] https://i.imgur.com/f0pIiFE.png

Findeton··on Argentina's economy is growing beyond expectations
The fact that economic activity year over year has increased at all (after 7 months with Milei) is just astonishing.

It is astonishing because Milei inherited a deficit of 15% of GDP, so he cut 30% of government spending on the first month to get to fiscal surplus that month. He inherited a broke central bank (-11.8B in reserves) and he's recovered back to -4B (still some way to go). He inherited 50B of debt with exporters (they have "cepo cambiario"/exchange control policies). So even after having to cut down so much, now the economy is starting to recover.

BTW the reason Argentina just can't stand ANY deficit at all is because it creates inflation. It creates inflation because NO ONE loans them money, so the only way to have deficit is to "print money" from thin air.

Findeton··on Argentina's economy is growing beyond expectations
"Dolar blue exchange rates are sky rocketing and is more then 4x higher then before Milei.."

That is just false. When Milei took over, the dollar blue was at 1188 pesos, and it's now at 1445 pesos. That's an increase of 21.6% after 7 months, not 300%/4x. By the way in the 7 months previous to Milei, the increase was 160%.

And about poverty, it was already at 50% when Milei took over. But obviously if you're left-leaning you might want to avoid mentioning it...

Findeton··on Argentina's economy is growing beyond expectations
Well, nominal GDP was US $642.5b in 2015 and they haven't recovered yet. And if you measure real gdp (not nominal), even worse. What do you call having lower GDP year after year? I call it recession.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Argentina

Findeton··on Argentina's economy is growing beyond expectations
Well, Argentina has been in recession for more than a decade. Now, he's cut 30% of the government spending and... the economy is back to growth.

So, sorry for destroying your Keynesian beliefs.

Findeton··on Argentina's economy is growing beyond expectations
I'd say you don't know what you're talking about.

Milei cut back government spending by 30% from the first month on (that's a 15% gdp of spending cuts in a month), and achieved fiscal surplus/superavit on that month. Contrary to the (very wrong) keynsian economics, deficit spending doesn't promote economic growth and Milei's measures and results demonstrate that actually having a smaller government with surplus promotes economic growth.

Findeton··on Nevada’s public employee pension fund invests passively and beats peers (2016)
Yes some people might do it by chance. Some other people, they do it by knowledge.
Findeton··on Nevada’s public employee pension fund invests passively and beats peers (2016)
In general hard working prudent value investors are able to beat the index. It's just that those are very few. I mean Buffet has done it for half a century, that's not a coincidence.
Findeton··on Nevada’s public employee pension fund invests passively and beats peers (2016)
Fundsmith for example has beaten the market for a long time (not this year though). I can also mention another Spanish fund that I know: Tercio Capital.

https://markets.ft.com/data/funds/tearsheet/charts?s=GB00B4Q... https://www.finect.com/fondos-inversion/ES0174115057-Cinvest...

Findeton··on FBI raids Atlanta corporate landlord in probe of rental market price fixing
In my experience there are too many people that don't want to understand that.
Findeton··on Why Unregulated Capitalism Always Leads to Enshittification
Why is this absurd socialist article here?
Findeton··on They Live
Maybe Carpenter himself? Who knows, the fact is that it had a large return on capital, so it's a capitalist success.
Findeton··on They Live
A capitalist success ($4m bugdet, $13.4m return).
Findeton··on Was the Stone Age the Wood Age?
In Europe almost no building is made of wood, except for decorative floors.
Findeton··on In Economics Do We Know What We're Doing? Nobel Prize winner grows disenchanted
I wish they said that. Unfortunately economists are usually keynsian and prefer to believe that war or burying money create wealth.
Findeton··on Apple terminates Epic Games developer account, calling it a 'threat' to iOS
A corporation is just an abstraction over a bunch of people. So yes, it does restrict individual freedoms.
Findeton··on Apple terminates Epic Games developer account, calling it a 'threat' to iOS
I respectfully disagree because that goes against individual freedom. I understand that historically in the US there's been racism but that's no reason to erode individual freedom.
Findeton··on Apple terminates Epic Games developer account, calling it a 'threat' to iOS
"taxis generally can't refuse transportation to you"

The fact that it happens says nothing about whether it's right or not. In my opinion it's wrong and immoral that taxis can't refuse to service you. But taxis are very regulated in many places. In fact, for example, Uber is illegal in Colombia. And still, despite their legal status, Uber is not only very used in Colombia, but it's also safer than getting a normal taxi.

Findeton··on Apple terminates Epic Games developer account, calling it a 'threat' to iOS
They were wrong in their supposition. It's part of free market process, asymmetric information.
Findeton··on Apple terminates Epic Games developer account, calling it a 'threat' to iOS
So create another phone platform and compete.
Findeton··on Apple terminates Epic Games developer account, calling it a 'threat' to iOS
It's a subjective monopoly. In fact everything is a subjective monopoly. And nothing is.

Some people just like regulating everything.

Findeton··on Apple terminates Epic Games developer account, calling it a 'threat' to iOS
Monopolies are not a bad thing, except when they are enforced with violence=government.

Fortunately no one forces you to use Apple's products.

Findeton··on Under Argentina's New President, Fuel Is Up 60%, and Diaper Prices Have Doubled
So, a normal day in Argentina.
Findeton··on The Neoliberal Transition in Intellectual and Economic History
It's not neo. It's liberalism. And it's a good thing, although the world is not dominated by it. Unfortunately.
Findeton··on Ask HN: Netflix doing mass layoffs today?
Sorry I don’t like the current concept of unions that use coercion either through the state law or demonstrations. I’d rather they used private agreements instead of state law.
Findeton··on Ask HN: Netflix doing mass layoffs today?
@toomuchtodo I would say that salaries don’t depend on shareholders at all but on the demand/offer balance of workers for a given job.
Findeton··on Ask HN: Netflix doing mass layoffs today?
You think you are harmed but if you recognized the alternative you wouldn’t be saying that. Countries with higher protections for employees have WAY lower salaries for everyone.
Findeton··on Ask HN: Netflix doing mass layoffs today?
More like 12 months. In 6 months perhaps we’ll be trying to get out of a recession.
Findeton··on Ask HN: Netflix doing mass layoffs today?
Submission is living day to day without proper planning and hoping and praying that things will always be as good as yesterday.
Findeton··on Ask HN: Netflix doing mass layoffs today?
I fully agree with that, it should be a very high priority to have 6 months of savings before you go on holiday or to a restaurant or anything non essential.
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