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EliRivers

6,113 karma · joined January 21, 2010

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EliRivers··on Lonely sunfish in Japan gets cardboard human friends
Perhaps they feel that tobacco farming and harvesting causes significantly less distress to the tobacco plants than animal farming and slaughter does to the animals.
EliRivers··on Genetics, not shared envs, drives parent-child similarities in intelligence
I suspect (but cannot prove) that if two children were swapped at birth and placed in a completely different culture on the other side of the world, their behaviour would be very different and would match that culture far more than that of their genetic parents' culture.
EliRivers··on What it's like working for American companies as an Australian
Nah. Just don’t want to work with negative Nancy. You bring everyone down.

Are you aware that your attitude also affects everyone in a negative way (and you just don't care?), or are you oblivious to the damage you do to people?

Or maybe for you it's all about the output and how good your numbers look, and damaging people is just a price to pay?

EliRivers··on Chatham House Rule is suddenly everywhere in the Bay Area
It pairs really well with free speech

How does it pair well with free speech? If I think that you might be recording me without telling me, I'll stop talking.

EliRivers··on Chatham House Rule is suddenly everywhere in the Bay Area
It can be so very valuable. I was at a conference in the last quarter discussing the effects of the Houthis on shipping in the Red Sea. There has long been rumour that it's possible to pay a few hundred thousand dollars, funneled to the Houthis, for which your ship will be granted safe passage through the Red Sea without being shot at with anti-ship missiles, or attacked by drones. There was rumour that some of the insurers in the Lloyds shipping insurance markets were open to these negotiations. Not long ago the UN pushed out a report discussing this sort of payment.

A bod there whose situation in life made him one of the most likely people in the world to know if anyone in the Lloyds markets was engaging (except anyone actually doing it), and has a long reputation of saying truthful things under the Chatham House rules in such conferences, said he'd not seen any of that and not heard of anyone doing it. It's not the same as fact, but with his long-term reputation and his position in life, it signficantly changed my working calculus on the subject. He didn't want to be professionally quoted on it, hence the CH rule.

Nothing at all to do with having the freedom to be a dickhead or anything like that. Nothing to do with wanting to lie to people without consequence.

EliRivers··on Chatham House Rule is suddenly everywhere in the Bay Area
If you really believe something, say it loudly and proudly and sign your name to it.

And then wait for the lynch mob to come round because they disagree that {people shouldn't be property / women should be allowed to own property / etc }.

EliRivers··on Ask HN: How to approach first days on a new job as a senior engineer?
Like any new job in which you are unaware of the context or politics; with your mouth shut.
EliRivers··on Why was there a wall near runway at S Korea plane crash airport?
I recall back in 2020, when Pakistan International flight 8303 belly landed at Karachi, slid down the runway, and then took off again and had a go at going around, the investigation showed that between them, the pilots just screwed up on having the landing gear down and had a go at landing without it for no other reason than they fumbled it.
EliRivers··on India's food shortage filled American libraries
I sometimes wonder if feeling good about "ancient culture" and "proud history" creates an attitude that there's no need (or no point) to add to any of that in the present. For how long can a people use the achievements of those who died a thousand years previously as a crutch to not to live up to those achievements.
EliRivers··on Insurers rely on doctors whose judgments have been criticized by courts
They get round this by what's called "intercompany eliminations".

UHC and chums simply buy the medical providers, and can then use them to launder people's premiums. UHC et al can only keep a maximum of 20% (? - I forget the exact figure) of the premiums; but if UHC simply own the hospitals, then money laundered through those hospitals via very high profit procedures etc become permitted profits for UHC.

EliRivers··on Insurers Rely on Doctors Whose Judgments Have Been Criticized by Courts
You can negotiate all you want but ultimately the productivity improvements have to come from providers (hospitals, pharmaceutical companies) if you want to lower costs.

Why would they turn productivity improvements into lower costs, when they could instead turn them into higher profits? Big health insurers such as UHC practice "intercompany eliminations", as it's known; they own those providers you mention and use increasing charges there to get around the limits on how much of the insurance premiums they can keep for themselves. It's in their interests for the charges to go up, especially on anything that's actually cheap. Productivity improvements is just more profit to launder through the providers they own for the purpose of laundering those premiums.

EliRivers··on Where Is James Bond? Trapped in an Ugly Stalemate with Amazon
What if they changed the character, not for the sake of changing it, but to bring out something new and interesting and creative that produced an overall better viewing experience?
EliRivers··on Where is James Bond? Trapped in an ugly stalemate with Amazon
I thought Roger Moore played the sociopathic side of Bond quite well; the same level of bon mot whether he's playing cards or just sliced someone's head off.
EliRivers··on What is your bet in 2025?
SP500 keeps going.
EliRivers··on Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?
Crypto is the future of money and finance; however, it will always be the future of money and finance.
EliRivers··on The California job-killer that wasn't
From what I read, the activist investors were complaining about poor sales and an inadequate China strategy. Not 2% payrises for employees.
EliRivers··on The California job-killer that wasn't
That's a quick way for CEOs get fired.

Do you have any evidence of CEOs being fired by shareholders because workers got a payrise? Starbucks has been handing out payrises of a couple of percent this year but I don't see shareholders firing the CEO. Likewise many other public companies.

EliRivers··on The California job-killer that wasn't
If your claim disagrees with reality, should I believe reality or you?
EliRivers··on Exploiting McDonald's APIs to hijack deliveries and order food for a penny
"September 29, 2024: I check the reported issues today and confirm they are all fixed."

This is the most amazing thing about this story. Not only did the company not threaten him, they actually fixed the issues.

EliRivers··on Elon Musk wanted an OpenAI for-profit
Nobody is going to sit and wait for a robo uber in the suburbs for ten minutes to go to the grocery store ten miles down the road.

I absolutely would do that. Sometimes I already do wait that kind of time for a taxi or bus. Having the robo taxi turn up in ten minutes from when I decided I wanted to go to the shop would be fantastic.

EliRivers··on Health Insurance Companies Take Down Leadership Pages Following Murder of UH CEO
Sure, that's the insurance company itself. One way around that is for the insurance company to own the medical providers they send people to, allowing them to keep more of the premiums by cycling them around other companies. United Health has been doing these "intercompany eliminations" for years, trailblazing this method of keeping ever more of the premiums.
EliRivers··on PR process killing morale and productivity
Oh, so you've met software engineers? :)
EliRivers··on PR process killing morale and productivity
have the reviewer just adjust it themselves

Passive-aggressive minefield. Someone will see a change done to THEIR code, without the changer even asking, and it will feel like the person who did it is a passive aggressive dickhead. Resentment will brew, tempers will be lost. It will only get worse from there. Software engineers already aren't exactly known for their humbleness and ability to swallow their ego.

EliRivers··on Only 5.3% of US welders are women. After years as a professor, I became one
Very few of the people saying "cisgender" say it in a way that suggests sixty years earlier they'd have dragged me behind a car for having the temerity to be that way.
EliRivers··on How I ship projects at big tech companies
a project is shipped when the important people at your company believe it is shipped

Definitely. This can work very much to your favour.

There have been times when I have happily shipped a product containing issues and bugs that would be catastrophic for any customer using it, because I know that no customer actually ever will. The product is shipped and released, everyone is happy.

The catastrophic issues won't ever come up because that shipped product will never be used by anyone.

Big people are happy because the product is shipped.

Team are happy because big people have stopped causing so much friction in their desire to ship.

When the measurement becomes "have we slapped the label shipped on it", then that's what you get. A label.

EliRivers··on Traceroute Isn't Real
"it shouldn't be used for debugging infrastructure you don't own/control/trust."

Yet people do, and they find it useful and it helps them solve problems and get results.

EliRivers··on Only 5.3% of US welders are women. After years as a professor, I became one
"how are you gonna handle the real dangers of the profession where people need to know you have their backs"

Some dickhead flinging racial slurs at me all day doesn't make me feel that they have my back. Quite the opposite, actually.

EliRivers··on Psychological safety vs. high standards: A misunderstood dynamic
Just today I was practicing how to tell my boss that one of the company's biggest problems is that failure and incompetence have no consequences. Great on recognising good work; atrocious at seeing bad.

I'm not asking for us to fire people; I'd like to see the consequence that people are guided and helped to be better at their jobs, and the company stops making the same errors over and over.

EliRivers··on EU AI Act is much worse than you think
Aye; much of the various restrictions and requirements place on it seem pretty sensible.
EliRivers··on Jaywalking legalized in New York City
We don't need to guess at probabilities.

We can look at the data. Aactual cities where jaywalking isn't a crime; they do not set the speed limit at 10, and it all seems to work fine.

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