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Earl_Arthur

26 karma · joined January 3, 2026

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Earl_Arthur··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
Well, what I know about Venezuela, and the fact that the operation so far has targeted oil production capacity. In recent history, every cornered dictator with proven staying power has not gone quietly or quickly.
Earl_Arthur··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
I don't presume to say, other than there can be a lot of possible missions other than decapitation. Their army has ~120K and they've been expecting stuff to go down for months. This "deal with a general" you're suggesting is very hand-wavey.
Earl_Arthur··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
If it was strictly a decapitation attack there probably wouldn't be multiple sites involved. They're claiming four states were targeted.
Earl_Arthur··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
Either, really. Just a prediction, not clairvoyance.
Earl_Arthur··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
Prediction: the regime will not fall. This will destabilize the country further, not so much the regime itself.

There will be a decrease in oil production, marginally boosting world prices. What's probably being taken out right now is the regime's ability to react in any meaningful way to the oil embargo.

It will also allow Maduro to throw his hands in the air and blame the US for all of VZLA's ills going forward. More poverty, more suffering, more migration.