I've no idea what the actual stats are on faith in academia overall today, but I don't think it is looking good.
829 karma · joined November 22, 2021
I've no idea what the actual stats are on faith in academia overall today, but I don't think it is looking good.
I know what journals are better / not. But reputation only is helpful in letting you ignore trash journals, once you are out of trash land, rep is just not a very meaningful factor, and you have to focus on methodology and substance.
Also I didn't say incompetent, I said "not very". More competent researchers make journal rep only a very small factor, and it is not via the "high rep = more trustworthy" direction (which is the bad heuristic), it is "pay-to-publish journals = not trustworthy" (better heuristic).
Once you have ruled out a publication being in a trash journal, reputation is only a very minor factor in consideration, and methodological and substantive issues are what matter.
You'd need to provide evidence or an argument for this. The media reports on things in part based on journal prestige, and likely when questioned, people will say they can trust such things because good scientists have looked at the work and say it is good. This would be an implicit belief that peer review is generally working well, even if they don't use the term "peer review".
> You seem stuck somewhere in the middle, caring deeply about a system you don’t seem to fully understand.
Extremely presumptuous, as I work in this system, and have provided plenty of evidence for my claims. You've provided only sneers.
I just wanted to make a strong rhetorical case by highlighting some things that might be surprising to people making more naive defenses of journals via peer-review-based arguments.
I mean, right, yes, of course. Much of the downvotes are cognitive dissonance, obviously. I suppose I meant the question rhetorically.
No, it doesn't. The argument is that peer review is incompetent gatekeeping in general, and so slows things down and makes thing expensive. Also, I am countering the argument "we need journals because journals do peer review" by arguing "peer review by journals isn't clearly actually good", I am not saying "peer review in general is unneeded", as I support review by the entire scientific community, rather than journal gatekeepers.
> you fail to show how doing any peer review is strictly worse than doing no peer review
I wasn't trying to show that. I have provided plenty of arguments to show why killing journal-based peer review could definitely speed things up and so potentially make things better. I want actual organic review by the community, not by tiny groups of gatekeepers.
IMO, academics that do this are not very competent, because we have plenty of research suggesting that higher-profile journals are in fact less trustworthy in many ways, or that there is no correlation at all between reputation and quality (see my other post here in this thread).
Yes, some trash journals publish all trash, but, beyond that, competent researchers scan the abstract, look at sample sizes and basic stats, and if those check out, you skip to the methods and look for red flags there. Also, most early publications will be on an arXiv-like place anyway so you can't look to reputation yet.
Likewise, serious analytic reviews like meta-analyses don't factor in e.g. impact factor or paper citations, since that would be nonsense. They focus on methodology and stats.
I really think we ought to shame academics that are filtering papers based on journal alone, it is almost always the wrong way to make a quick judgement.
I already addressed this. People know peer review can be bad, but some think "good journals" still do good peer review. This is not so clear.
> In what world does the arxiv system moderate this discrepancy?
Open systems allow the scientific community to figure out ways to properly assess research quality and value more cheaply, and without passing through (often arbitrary and random) small numbers of gatekeepers that don't even do a reliable or good job gatekeeping in the first place.
Would scientists feel the same if the public was more educated about how bad journals and peer review are? Not so easy to disentangle IMO.
EDIT: I still want review from a community of scientific peers. I just don't want this review to be in the hands of a tiny number of gatekeepers entangled with journals that largely just slow things down.
Because someone is surely going to try to defend journals via peer review in this thread, I want to provide a counter to the arguments that journal peer review does much good. Also, since everyone knows that if you just go to a poor enough journal, you can be published, I am going to focus on the (IMO mostly false) claim that higher-profile journals are still doing a good thing here.
There are numerous studies showing that higher-profile journals in general have more retractions and research misconduct [1-2], lower research quality [3], in fact weaker statistical power and reliability [4], and that statistical reliability even in high prestige journals is still extremely poor overall [5]. Also, making it through peer review is highly random and dependent on who you get as a reviewer [6], or is just basically a coin toss even when looking at reviewer groups:
In 2014, 49.5% of the papers accepted by the first committee were rejected by the second (with a fairly wide confidence interval as the experiment included only 116 papers). This year, this number was 50.6%. We can also look at the probability that a randomly chosen rejected paper would have been accepted if it were re-reviewed. This number was 14.9% this year, compared to 17.5% in 2014. [7]
We should just move to arXiv-like approaches and allow the scientific community to broadly judge relevance and quality. Journals just slow things down and burn funding for very little gain or benefit to anyone other than the journal owners.[1] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3187237/
[2] https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1212247109
[3] https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9382220/
[4] https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371%2Fj...
[5] https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/human-neuroscience/arti...
[6] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371%2Fjourn...
[7] https://blog.neurips.cc/2021/12/08/the-neurips-2021-consiste...
This distinction seems perfectly fine and clear to me, so I suspect we probably actually don't disagree that much on specifics, and that this was maybe a semantic / violent agreement thing.
I still don't think this distinction helps defend your statement "Language constrains your perception of reality to only the set of concepts conceivable within that language.", because, obviously, you can have abstract cognitive models ('concepts') that are non-linguistic, and thus, your perception of reality is not constrained only by language. I.e. remove the "only" and I have no real substantive disagreement.
So it seems we can probably mostly agree on something like "Your abstractions constrain your perception of reality to only the set of concepts [ideas, representations] conceivable from those abstractions".
It is tricky because "concept" can strongly imply a linguistic model, and "model" is really the term we want here, e.g. a "visuospatial concept" is unusual, I admit. But, still, linguistic models are definitely not the only game in town re: perception.
This is obviously deeply incorrect, and the kind of thing that people call "wordcel" thinking. Mathematical intelligence is highly visuospatial, and often requires constructing images and/or imagining motion (arguably invoking also either proprioceptive and/or kinaesthetic qualia).
Is it possible you are aphantasic? This seems to me to be the only way one could think that one cannot have non-verbal internally generated representations.
Partly, yes, but personality is also an internal property, or it is coherent and correct enough to generally say that it has internal aspects. I.e. a person's personality is the set of (relatively) stable and difficult-to-change patterns that manifest in their behaviour in broad contexts, and these patterns are almost certainly encoded internally in the brain in some form. It is not much different than saying a person's intelligence / IQ is partly internal.
Otherwise, I do agree with your more careful framing, and I wish people thought and spoke more carefully about these things, and doubly so for LLMs.
I would argue this is deeply false, my classic go-to examples being that neural networks have almost no real relations to any aspects of actual brains [1] and that modeling even a single cortical neuron requires an entire, fairly deep neural network [2]. Neural nets really have nothing to do with brains, although brains may have loosely inspired the earliest MLPs. Really NNs are just very powerful and sophisticated curve (manifold) fitters.
> Could be very TARS like, lol.
I just rewatched Interstellar recently and this is such a lovely thought in response to the paper!
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biological_neuron_model
[2] https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S089662732...
See any of my links, but especially the third. Animal cognition and human neuroscience studies strongly disprove the importance of language to cognition. Conflating language and thought is so obviously false in 2026 it is extraordinary that people still think like this.
I was ignoring the comment about fascists because it is simplistic and low-quality, and will similarly not be responding to whatever you (incorrectly) think I was claiming about universal human rights. I only wanted to correct the extremely false (or at least hugely overstated) assumptions about language and perception of reality.
People will try to bring back these obviously false models of cognition, but, so far, the dismal performance of LLMs on e.g. SpatialBench [1], and, almost certainly ARC-AGI-3, or e.g. the kind of data and effort required to get something like V-JEPA-2 [2], will be strong counter-examples to this. And, yeah, obviously animal cognition, esp. smart animals like birds, or the crazy stuff we see in chimp and gorilla ethology (border patrols, genocides, humor, theory of mind, bla bla bla).
Only if you imagine e.g. some stereotypical pirate with an eyepatch slapping the hull and saying something like "Aye, but she weathered the storm, as she always does" might this feel normal. Or, maybe if you are a Redditor and trying to make it your AI boyfriend / girlfriend, you can use he/him or some other neo-pronoun, but this is currently abnormal and not the general context.
And the fact that you can make the model act as any gender again shows why choosing "him" as some default here is strange. Absent any specific context, the choice of "him" here is poorly justified.
Those that do find correlations between self-reported personality and actual behaviours tend to find those to be in a range of something like 0.0 to 0.3 or so, maybe 0.4 if you are really lucky. Which means "personality" measured this way is explaining something like 16% of the variance in behaviour, at max.
EDIT: For a neuroscience reference that also argues why the general perspective is obviously false: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4874898/. But really, these things ought to be obvious from introspection.
This is also sort of a wordcel take, in that it neglects that there are plenty of mental structures that are not solely linguistic. I.e. visuo-spatial models, auditory models, kinaesthetic, proprioceptive, emotional, gustatory, or even maybe intuitive models, and symbolic models (which have both linguistic and visuo-spatial aspects). Yes, your models constrain your perception of reality, but it is not clear how important language really is to many of those models (and there is strong evidence it may not matter at all to a lot of cognition [3]).
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Linguistic_relativity
[2] https://plato.stanford.edu/archives/sum2015/entries/relativi...
Psychological instruments and concepts (like MBTI) are constructed from the semantics of everyday language. Personality models (being based on self-report, and not actual behaviour) are not models of actual personality, but the correlation patterns in the language used to discuss things semantically related to "personality". It would be thus extremely surprising if LLM-output patterns (trained on people's discussions and thinking about personality) would not also result in learning similar correlational patterns (and thus similar patterns of responses when prompted with questions from personality inventories).
The real and more interesting part of the paper is the use of statistical techniques to isolate sub-networks which can then be used to emit outputs more consistent with some desired personality configuration. There is no obvious reason to me that this couldn't be extended to other types of concepts, and it kind reads to me like a way of doing a very cheap, training-free sort of "fine-tuning".
In many cases, seeing the prompts would help to dramatically speed up rejecting lazy slop PRs (or accepting more careful AI-assisted PRs).
When dealing with a particularly subtle / nuanced issue, knowing the intentions is still invaluable, but this is usually rare. How often AI code runs you into these issues is currently unclear, and constantly changing (and how often such issue are actually crucial depends heavily on the domain).