HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

CapricornNoble

1,420 karma · joined May 28, 2018

Defense industry consultant.

Information management, knowledge management, C4ISR systems, electronic attack, command & control, operations research, modeling & simulation, amphibious warfare, joint operations.

submissionscomments
CapricornNoble··on OSS Alternative to Open WebUI – ChatGPT-Like UI, API and CLI
https://github.com/agent0ai/agent-zero

I'm leaning towards this one myself but I'm still early in researching alternatives.

CapricornNoble··on Grokipedia by xAI
>Then I checked Russo-Georgian War articles, this time at least the century and war was correct in Elonopedia. But again, right from the start it is incredibly biased towards Russia. Elonopedia completely omits the initial attack make bu Russian forces at 01 Aug 2008, skip a week and presents war as if it was initiated by Georgians, following Kremlin propaganda line.

The EU isn't exactly known for being Kremlin propagandists. Here is the link to the 700-page international fact-finding report they published in 2009: https://www.echr.coe.int/documents/d/echr/hudoc_38263_08_Ann...

This Radio Free Europe article is a decent summary of the report: https://www.rferl.org/a/EU_Report_On_2008_War_Tilts_Against_...

Why do you think the international team of Europeans would leave out something like an August 1st attack by Russian forces? Why would the US-funded media outlet for Europe (RFE/RFL) parrot the report's position that the conflict was overwhelmingly Georgia's fault?

"The Mission is not in a position to consider as sufficiently substantiated the Georgian claim concerning a large-scale Russian military incursion into South Ossetia before 8 August 2008."

Can you share the evidence you have that supports your position that Russia attacked on 01 August? The EU concluded that was unsubstantiated.

CapricornNoble··on Show HN: I made an esoteric programming language that's read like a spellbook
If you really wanna scramble the language grammar, incorporate Enochian tables somehow:

https://archive.org/details/JohnDeesFiveBooksOfMysterJosephH...

CapricornNoble··on Delete FROM users WHERE location = 'Iran';
>That's the theory, but has it ever worked?

It kinda worked in Syria. The combination of sanctions, plus squatting on sovereign Syrian territory and preventing the government from generating income eventually left Assad's military so hollowed out that that the Turkish-backed rebel faction led by former Al Qaeda members was able to essentially drive to Damascus with minimal resistance.

CapricornNoble··on UK, Canada and Australia formally recognise Palestinian state
Perhaps my point wasn't clear enough:

"If Israel isn't a European colonial project, then why are all of the Israeli heads of state European?"

> They and other non-Muslims were treated as second class citizens and forced to pay jizyah tax every year.

If they were paying the jizya then they weren't paying the zakat. Jizya also typically exempted People of the Book from military service.

CapricornNoble··on UK, Canada and Australia formally recognise Palestinian state
Have you considered that the rest of world is increasingly looking at the Likud Party the same way you view Nazi Germany? Israel is desperately in need of a forceful re-education program. Unfortunately, being a nuclear-armed state makes regime change extremely difficult to achieve on any reasonable timeframe.
CapricornNoble··on UK, Canada and Australia formally recognise Palestinian state
Why are all of Israel's prime ministers either first or second generation immigrants of European persuasion? If so much of the population is either local to Palestine or at least the Middle East in general, shouldn't that be reflected in the highest echelons of power?

Yair Lapid might be considered third generation as both him and his mother were born in Tel Aviv, while his father is Yugoslavian.

CapricornNoble··on Orange Pi RV2 $40 RISC-V SBC: Friendly Gateway to IoT and AI Projects
Heh, interesting you call this "Contact Us Jail". I met sales and engineering staff from EdgeCortix at DSEI Japan 2025, and was very enthusiastic to pick up some of their products as alternatives to the Hailo-8L RPi cards.

So far....nothing. Not even an ETA on when they will be shipping hardware.

CapricornNoble··on Not paying with cash
You would give someone your PHONE to go buy a snack for you across the street? And tell them your screen unlock combo?

Dumping some coins out of my coinpurse is far superior analog, low-tech Access Control to my money.

CapricornNoble··on Google to obey South Korean order to blur satellite images on maps
> I assume if you really want this data for military purposes

Typically we are using NGA 1m DTED for the terrain elevation data but I don't recall off the top of my head who usually supplies the imagery layers. We'll pull multiple map types from a WMS Server, including raster maps like FAA VFR mapsheets for our Area of Operations.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DTED

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_Map_Service

https://www.beautifulpublicdata.com/faa-aviation-maps/

CapricornNoble··on Navy SEALs reportedly killed North Korean fishermen to hide a failed mission
I don't have a link handy, but I recall seeing on YT a clip of Luttrell basically outright stating that the Navy "handed him the book pre-written" in an interview.
CapricornNoble··on Not paying with cash
>Carrying 20,000 yen in cash is easy when it's 2x 10,000 notes, but when it's a mix including coins, it's a pain.

Carry a coinpurse. I use an old faux-suede Samsung camera pouch.[1] Plus it's fun when someone is running an errand for you, like getting you a snack from the konbini across the street, and you plop your coinpurse on the desk with a thud, then pour out a handful of 500-yen coins and say "this should cover it", like a feudal lord.

[1] kinda like this: https://www.amazon.ie/DFVmobile-Samsung-Galaxy-Camera-Closur...

CapricornNoble··on China is eating the world
The US economy has a degree of energy and raw materials independence that Europe lacks. No amount of replacement IT development will compensate for the weak European position regarding essential low-level feeder inputs to their overall economy.
CapricornNoble··on F-35 pilot held 50-minute airborne conference call with engineers before crash
Classic DoD with its overloaded acronyms. I first read the sentence thinking "what does this have to do with Special Operations Forces"?
CapricornNoble··on California unemployment rises to 5.5%, worst in the U.S. as tech falters
> Americans make america great. We got the moon without indians.

Yeah but we got to the moon with imported Nazi German rocket scientists. Still "immigrants" of a sort.

CapricornNoble··on Occult books digitized and put online by Amsterdam’s Ritman Library
" 'Do What Thou Wilt' Shall Be the Whole of the Prompt!"

-AI-LLMester Crowley

CapricornNoble··on Meta Leaks Part 1: Israel and Meta
>They could’ve made an example of a prosperous territory and enabling trust.

How do they create a prosperous territory? Israel destroyed Gaza's airport. Israel destroyed the foundations of Gaza's seaport. Israel maintains a maritime blockade of Gaza, so it's not like they can freely engage in trade with other sovereign territories. Israel maintains control over exploitation of Gaza's natural gas deposits.[1][2]

> But people keep forgetting that we still have living hostages in tunnels under Gaza, and we can’t accept a militarized Gaza anymore.

Even before Oct7, there were something like 350-500 Palestinians held in Israeli jails, charged with no crimes but indefinitely detained. They are functionally the same as hostages. Why should Gaza accept Israel holding hostages? Why should Palestine accept a militarized Israel? [3][4]

> Hamas should return the hostages and surrender its arms.

Israel should return its hostages and surrender its arms. And then the leadership should stand trial for genocide and crimes against humanity. We put some Hamas leaders on trial at the same time if you like, I'm fine with that, but the total disarmament of Israel and the prosecution of its leadership will likely be an overwhelming net good for the rest of humanity.

[1] https://www.aljazeera.com/opinions/2021/6/21/palestines-forg...

[2] https://mondoweiss.net/2019/10/the-gas-fields-off-gaza-a-gif...

[3] https://www.ohchr.org/en/press-releases/2020/10/un-expert-ca...

[4] https://al-shabaka.org/briefs/the-prison-intifada-supporting...

CapricornNoble··on Global hack on Microsoft Sharepoint hits U.S., state agencies, researchers say
There's Liferay:

https://www.liferay.com/resources/l/content-management-syste...

https://hub.docker.com/r/liferay/portal

I haven't played with it in about 5 years but it was substantially less polished than a well-run Sharepoint 2013 instance.

CapricornNoble··on Beware of 'Swiper,' a Fox at Grand Teton Park with a Penchant for Footwear
I know that Knuckles (from the Sonic the Hedgehog series of games) is an echidna, and not a fox, but.....maybe this fox saw images of Sonic & Knuckles somewhere and figured he needed some Air Jordans of his own?
CapricornNoble··on Ukrainian hackers destroyed the IT infrastructure of Russian drone manufacturer
> They removed troops, planes, closed bases. Almost immediately Syria fell.

This has more to do with the Syrian military being completely starved of resources, particularly money, due to the US occupying the most lucrative portions of sovereign Syrian territory for years. Not having Russian airpower on call absolutely contributed to the collapse but not being able to reliably pay/staff formerly-capable formations like the Tiger Forces or 4th Armored Division (in addition to not being able to afford reconstruction) is what really did the regime in. Watch this from 2019:

https://www.youtube.com/live/MFsFOS5Odno?si=xry8-a2_cKLIRKW-...

>This is doubly unfortunate for Russia, as Iran was, I repeat was sending massive amounts of shells, drones, and more to Russia. For some odd reason, they've stopped (sarcasm).

The Russians have been domestically mass producing their versions of the Shahed-series drones for a while now. Interruptions in arms transfers due to Iran's own security problems are unlikely to significantly degrade Russia's drone salvos at this point.

https://www.kyivpost.com/post/55948 The organization calculated that Russia produced an average of 60.5 Geran drones per day, or roughly 1,850 drones per month, between February and April 2025.

https://www.calibredefence.co.uk/shahed-and-geran-the-evolut... Over time, a separate version emerged which is known as the Geran-2, which is the name given to Shaheds made in Russia. Russia now makes hundreds of these drones every week, enabling it to increase its usage to 200 per week in September 2024, and then to 1,000 per week by March 2025.

> They need troops in country, or there will be a revolt within.

Who do you think will stage a revolt, with both Navalny and Prigozhin dead? There's not really any charismatic opposition leadership left that I can think of.

> They have lost their capacity to project power

Ok, I will compromise and largely agree with this statement in broad strokes. Yes, Russia's power projection capacity has diminished. That's a very different position IMO compared to "Russia can only do defense" as you stated earlier....while Russia has ~600,000 men busy invading the largest country in Europe after Russia itself. Their global power projection capacity is degraded because so much of their attention is sucked into fighting the largest land war in Europe in 80 years, but that's not the same as only being able to defend.

> Hiring mercenaries (in the article aka contract soldiers) from anywhere including China, isn't the same as getting seasoned, loyal troops.

Without going too far off on a tangent, this also applies to Ukraine (regarding loyalty...Colombians are definitely considered "seasoned" as far as international mercenaries go).

https://www.nzz.ch/english/discharged-by-their-own-countrys-...

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/2025/06/04/iowa...

CapricornNoble··on Ukrainian hackers destroyed the IT infrastructure of Russian drone manufacturer
> Or my average is not a daily or monthly, do it again for the last 1 year. 2 years.

That would make even less sense. The thread I linked has the appropriate data going back to April 2024. We can toss that into a spreadsheet or LLM to get the total Russian gains in the past year, as you requested.

ChatGPT calculates total Russian territorial control change at ~6000km^2. So are you now saying the Russians actually have 6 million casualties? Again, please support assertion. The only number that doesn't make sense here is your "Russians are taking 1000 casualties per square kilometer".

> Can you also calculare for us how many years until Ruzzia reaches Kyiv and how many casualties ?

It's been on my list of "Things to Do" for a while. I want to whip up a Rust library to run TNDM/QJM calculations on the Russo-Ukrainian War. For now, I will only state that rates of advance in warfare are non-linear. Past a certain point of weakness, collapse is rapid. I think Operation Bagration is a good case to examine in detail, as many of the frontline German divisions had REALLY thin manning. The Ukrainian frontline is manned at something like ~40% strength, and with a large number of old and infirm conscripts. They are relying heavily on drones to keep the Russians from locally massing combat power. I'm not sure where the breakpoint is in Ukrainian manpower past which their brigades will shatter.

But just pulling an estimate out of my butt: 2 years and an additional 500,000 Russian non-recoverable losses. shrug

CapricornNoble··on Ukrainian hackers destroyed the IT infrastructure of Russian drone manufacturer
> their strategy has been reduced to "run towards the enemy and hopefully some of you won't be killed and thus we can capture another field"?

Is this seriously the depth of your understanding of Russian tactics (what you described isn't a strategy to begin with...). I recommend watching every tactical analysis video on Mark Tacacs YT channel (he's a NATO military officer, not some pro-RU source):

https://www.youtube.com/@MarkTakacs-u1w

CapricornNoble··on Ukrainian hackers destroyed the IT infrastructure of Russian drone manufacturer
>Yes, on using human wave attacks, trenches, and cheap Iranian drones.

This war is the most recorded in human history. Can you share some videos of these Russian human wave attacks? Can you describe the objective delineating criteria between a normal attack by an infantry battalion or regiment, and a "human wave" attack? Regarding trenches and "cheap" Iranian drones.....should the Russians NOT practice basic principles of force protection/use of fortifications? Should they NOT leverage novel cost-effective munitions to wage war and instead use massively-expensive gold-plated equipment? How is that working out for the US and allies, who can't produce more than ~600 Patriot missiles per year at a cost of ~$4M per missile.....meanwhile Russia is throwing 500 drones and missiles at Ukraine every few days....

BTW, I recommend these vids about "human waves":

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FBdASPCBHIw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2F4akL1AS5w

CapricornNoble··on Ukrainian hackers destroyed the IT infrastructure of Russian drone manufacturer
> Ruzzia advances in Ukraine slower then a snail, check the numbers. and there are more than 1000 Ruz casualties for square km

Net Russian gains in June 2025 were 572 km^2.* In order for your statement to hold true, Russia would have suffered over half a million casualties in June alone. Where is your evidence to support such an assertion?

* https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1lpspn...

CapricornNoble··on Ukrainian hackers destroyed the IT infrastructure of Russian drone manufacturer
> With more than 1.2M dead or out of service injured, Russia is spent

> All they can effectivley do, until they grow new soldiers, is defense.

I'm genuinely curious what your information diet/sources looks like that would lead you to make such statements.

According to Ukrainian sources, Russian end strength in Ukraine continues to increase and they are maintaining a strategic reserve of personnel as well:

https://kyivindependent.com/russia-plans-to-increase-groupin... The Russian military plans to increase its grouping in Ukraine by 150,000 soldiers in 2025, equivalent to around 15 motorized infantry divisions, Presidential Office Deputy Head Pavlo Palisa said on April 3, Ukrainian media outlet Suspilne reported.

"Their formation is ongoing. The Russians have no problems with recruiting personnel now..."

https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/syrskyi-warns-russia-stockpi... "Moreover, Russia maintains an additional 121,000 troops in its strategic reserve—comprising 13 divisions, as well as various regiments and brigades—that could be deployed to the battlefield if necessary."

"This means their army grows by an average of 8,000 to 9,000 soldiers every month," the Commander-in-Chief noted.

As for Russia only being able to defend, how do you square that with this Finnish analysis group's tracking of Russian territorial control rates increasing every month this year?

https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1l30kb...

That data roughly matches one of Reddit's most prolific meta-analysts, who mostly uses Suriyak data (the most reputable Russian mapper):

https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/1lpspn...

CapricornNoble··on I fought in Ukraine and here's why FPV drones kind of suck
I think you are overstating the ease of employing an EMP.

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/world-wont-end-danger...

CapricornNoble··on I fought in Ukraine and here's why FPV drones kind of suck
There's a really good interview with a Russian drone manufacturer where he talks about how you need to use both.

The fiber-optic drones have small warheads/payloads. They are used to hunt the enemy's EW transmitters. Once the jammers have been suppressed, then the radio-controlled drones with bigger payloads go to work and do the bulk of the damage.

CapricornNoble··on I fought in Ukraine and here's why FPV drones kind of suck
> A Javelin is pretty much one hit one kill, and the hit rate is supposedly at about 89%. So you need like one or two to kill a tank.

Take those extremely high kill rates with a massive grain of salt.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidhambling/2024/11/08/re-ass...

Javelin consumption rates early in the war (500/day) do not match Russian loss rates if the system was ~90% effective. https://edition.cnn.com/2022/03/24/politics/ukraine-us-reque...

CapricornNoble··on I fought in Ukraine and here's why FPV drones kind of suck
Laser-guided artillery rounds have been around a while. The Soviets were using laser-guided 240mm heavy mortar rounds in Afghanistan.

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/1351804050035499...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Krasnopol_(weapon_system)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M712_Copperhead

CapricornNoble··on The largest map of the universe reveals over 800k galaxies
The unimaginable vastness of the universe is so humbling. I love the effort of science teams to make their work accessible to the public too.

EDIT: one of the galaxies in the article highlight photos (the top right one) sure has a structure that just feels "artificial" to me.

← PreviousPage 3 of 34Next →