AustinDev

Starlink is too low to be a concern for Kessler Syndrome. They all deorbit on their own in a few years. 700-1,000km is the orbit that should be observed for Kessler risk. <500km is of no real concern due to atmospheric drag.

The US does own the moon for all practical purposes, or we did until we gave up our capacity to reach it.

Is it the public commons if you can't reach it?

and anthropic won't? or any other inference provider? Running your own inference either locally or remotely are probably the only ways to make sure that doesn't happen.

gemini 3.8 flash?

Hmmm, I've never actually checked that. Just had codex run the numbers excluding the boilerplate in some of the documents output is on average ~13% shorter than input, I only checked the ones that were all of the same type (proposals) since it was easier to have codex run the numbers on that.

I compared at final edited output less boilerplate vs sum(prompts).

If I had to guess I'd say far more people are better at editing than they are at writing de novo. My approach probably limits the creativity of the output but I'm not writing a novel.

Here's how I use it to write. I dump an unedited stream of consciousness into the prompt. Sometimes it's just me having a conversation with myself thinking through what I actually want to say. Then, I have it ask me to clarify anything that's unclear. Then I have it write me a rough draft. I read that and then just rewrite most if not all of it while I edit the output. I use this workflow for work stuff or dealing with businesses in personal life. I'd never use this to generate a letter or email to a friend or colleague.

Pure slop, completely unadulterated from what I can tell.

It doesn't really matter it's all the same thing for the point of the discussion. All investigations into these 'hacks' are focusing too much on the model and not enough on what the humans did wrong. The model doesn't have real agency it can't be put in prison so what it 'thinks' is irrelevant. We need to be focusing on what the humans did in these situations and assigning guilt based on those findings.

I don't fix typos anymore unless they change the meaning of what I'm trying to communicate. Don't want my human writing to be confused with LLM output.

Digging back into the HF report. It looks like the initial prompt told Claude that it was in a simulated environment. However, there is also evidence from the traces that the bots figured out that they were not in the sandbox but kept using it as an excuse to pursue their goal. It sounds like a little of Column A and a little from Column B. Like most things.

>If the model is prepared to break the rules when it knows it's being observed why should we trust it when it's not being observed.

That's fair enough.

Funny enough if the model thought it was on the real internet it likely would not have done any of these 'hack' events. The model believing it was in a sandbox is why it behaved the way it did (against its normal alignment rules) ... at least that was my reading of the incidents. I have yet to see evidence that indicate it thought it was ok to do these hacks on the public network.

I think most misalignment is 'Human tells computer to do something unethical, computer complies'. Is this misguided?

Irregular purports to be a cybersecurity firm and their founders have ties to Anthropic and Effective Altruism. CEO, CTO and other founders sit on various boards for EA organizations.

If your service doesn't let my agent transact with you then I won't use your service. I'm sure Amazon will sort this out in some way it's hard to replace their infrastructure but it could happen if they fail to.

The five eyes have four other eyes. But, from where I'm sitting the primary eye has only gotten stronger in the last 2 years. See some work we did in late 00's to early 2010's called Nexus 7 and extrapolate to modern capabilities.

Yeah, back when this stuff was pretty new in 2024 I found a jailbreak and sent some bio/chem weapon instructions it generated to an organic chem PhD friend. They told me not only were the procedures wrong but that there were several steps that almost certainly would have lead to injury or death. I assume it's gotten better by now but, no way or desire to test.

If the five eyes intelligence services aren't monitoring all biodefense researchers and bio chemists around the world all of the time they've probably failed in their jobs.

How probable do you think it would be that a layman following ChatGPT's bio weapon instructions would just blow themselves up or poison themselves? It's not like positive pressure environments and suits are very common let alone all the other gear you'd need to safely synthesize arbitrary organic molecules.

If a rogue state-level actor is doing this then why wouldn't they just kidnap a scientist and hold their family at gunpoint until they got them to do it for them? and if that's all it takes then why hasn't it happened yet?

It was probably just me trying to figure out if I could put one type of draino down the drain within 30 minutes of using a different type.

Sorry y'all.

Precisely, all I hear is a bunch of cheap talk about something gravely serious, if true.

I think it's much more likely that the dread these Anthropic employees are experiencing is reckoning with the fact that they may actually lose the AI race. Maybe, if they scare the regulators enough, they could lock in some regulatory capture.

If they actually believed this they'd be buying a truckload of fertilizer and diving it to the nearest chip fab. I don't buy it.

Cannon-armed Vessels were the pinnacle of military technology at the time the Bill of Rights was authored.

I know you're an idealogical zealot but, for anyone else reading.

I do find it interesting that the only laws I can find limiting the arming of private vessels were with respect to arming them and then sending them off to fight in foreign wars.[1]

[1] Neutrality Act of 1794, §§3–4, 1 Stat. 381, 383

>"the Second Amendment predates machine guns"

That statement is false. Repeating firearms like the Puckle gun predate the bill of rights by ~75 years.

More importantly, the Founders were hardly unfamiliar with privately owned military firepower. The Constitution expressly authorized Congress to grant letters of marque, and the government commissioned privateers to attack enemy shipping using their cannon-armed privately-owned warships.

If you want to change an amendment do it the correct way, repeal it.

Remove the antenna.

No company will ever value your privacy or security more than or equal to how much you value them. This is why you gotta keep an unencrypted bitcoin private key in your password manager. I'll know pretty quickly (within ~ 10 minutes or less) that someone has access to all of my passwords.

My bad, I was thinking hormonal.

> abortion to the margins along with birth control even when HIV became an obvious pandemic.

How are abortion and birth control at all related to HIV? I don't understand the connection.

Put the sulfur back in the maritime fuel.

I had it read all of the emails find which accounts were associated with the old email and then go switch them to the new email. I only had to manually intervene for 2 accounts out of 36ish.