64 karma · joined May 21, 2020
Someone over 70 is 270x as likely to die of COVID as someone under 50. For anyone under 50 without co-morbidity, then this is just a yearly flu — and destroying your economic future over the flu doesn’t make sense.
Having a blanket policy that ignores those differences is unrealistic.
IFR numbers are from the CDC’s best estimate:
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...
We have a sampling of data from 99.997% of the timeline — but the sample itself is extremely sparse.
I suspect some kind of DRM or video codec is freezing the whole machine when it crashes.
Windows 7 was great.
I had Windows reset itself in the middle of a long-running calculation overnight, because obviously 100% CPU usage and programs that refuse to quit is a signal it’s safe to power cycle the computer.
I routinely have to fight my devices to do what I say, because they re-interpreted valid words into other ones.
I think modern tech reliability is as overstated as historic rosiness — this turd is polished, but it’s not more functional.
So much so that LIGO is basically the same thing, used to measure flexible aether theories (eg, relativity).
We can’t detect our drift, but we can detect far away objects causing aether ripples.
One example is US ITAR restrictions, which prevent certain technologies being exported.
Another is looking to protect local food supplies against foreign competition — eg, dairy co-ops from foreign mega farms.
There’s lots of empirical evidence that a mixed system is more stable with little to no loss to innovation.
Most recently, COVID demonstrated the problem with foreign supply chains.
Imagine that you get one pixel for each hole in a chain link fence — the average color of light coming through that hole.
If you take a second fence, that’s out of alignment with the first — you get better resolution because each hole in the original fence overlaps with several in the second fence, and you can examine their overlaps. The “size” of pixel of the two fences together is smaller than the size of the fence grating.
A bunch of different overlaps, and some fancy statistics, lets you actually do that with space pictures.
In essence, you reduce from the normal pixel size to the area of overlap between pixels. But if you only have the snapshot averages, you have to guess at what the original was — so statistical result.
This normalizes decorum over inconvenient truths.
@dang shadowbanned me for accurately discussing the propaganda warfare happening in US vs China relations, and the way current neo-Marxist riots tie into a long history of subversive movements.
That’s fine — but it makes you a publisher, not a platform.
A “container” is an archive (eg, tarballs) of the contents, a hash chain of the construction, and some config data about cgroups and namespaces to run it with. Turn off the parts you don’t want — I usually turn off virtualized networking, for instance.
It’s a more lightweight package that doesn’t have versioning problems and doesn’t require crazy installation scripts — what benefit is traditional Debian packaging supposed to have?
For example, if two housewives join the workforce by cleaning each other’s now unattended houses, GDP shows a large increase even though the situation is (arugably) a net loss for everyone involved.
So I’d argue that ML systems already “sleep”, it just looks more like dolphin sleep due to their similar need for continuous operation.
It’s interesting to think that YouTube content is only a “two in a million” reflection of human life. Averaged out, that’s about 1 minute per person per year.
Case in point: I’m “banned” on HN because @dang thinks my genuine view, calmly stated is inherently a flame war and I shouldn’t be allowed to join the conversation.
The reality is everyone cares, they just disagree sharply on how to solve issues or which issues are priorities — to which the solution of several independent approaches seems reasonable.
When people in state A see that state B is doing much better because of policy X, they can choose to enact similar. I’m not sure I understand why they need to be compelled to adopt your preferred policies.
It’s interesting that you discuss “red states” being in need — but ignore the prolific violence in “blue cities” and poor trapped there.
As they say: Cure yourself, doctor.
BLM staged riots nation wide two weeks ago.
Nationwide, chapters of the John Brown Gun Club have been seen at or involved with the BLM riots.
What of that do you not find factual?
The reason people are speaking about it more now is such Marxist groups seized part of one city (Seattle) and staged riots nationally. Generally speaking, when an ideological group uses their network to stage violent riots, people talk about it.
People such as Jordan Peterson or Michael Knowles have been speaking about Marxism in universities and other institutions for a while.
Type theory is an alternative foundation.
Eg, https://investor.vanguard.com/mutual-funds/profile/overview/...
The first one is what we should want to happen — a misplaced knee was moved by a colleague. There’s no context to decide if police inappropriately started an altercation. There’s no extended period of a knee on someone’s neck.
The second is police responding to someone on the ground fighting them and physically resisting arrest.
The third is pepper spraying a crowd that was refusing to move and let the police form a line, after someone lunged at the police.
The fourth is completely context free, and while unfortunate that a child was there, it doesn’t give us context to judge.
Your source also is using selective clips, that remove context to focus on emotionally triggering scenes.
Per arrest for violent crime (where most of the deaths occur), blacks are safer than whites.
I’ve been reviewing the footage from Seattle — and protestors started every instance of violence by first getting forceful with the cops.
Show me any evidence that there’s an endemic problem of violence — because nothing I can find in either statistics about harm or footage from protests suggests there is.
That’s an empiric conclusion: studying the statistics about how often police harm people and comparing them to other sources of risk — which show they’re relatively minor.
The only violence I’ve seen from police that doesn’t seem like an anomaly is violence that protestors incited by starting a conflict with the police.
So, empirically, it seems like the violence is occasional except when you go asking for it and the protestors just have a problem with authority and society at large.
It’s why their complaints are big on individual sob stories but lacking statistics to back them up.
The problem is that they’re using biased metrics to pretend they’re not violating civil rights laws.
If times the police use force are correlated to violent crime, then it’s unclear that blacks are over represented in deaths by police — they may actually be safer than whites, once controlling for the distribution of crimes they’re arrested for.
One problem I’ve had in this analysis is that the ~60/1000 deaths per year that aren’t justified (fortunately) aren’t enough to do an analysis on that subset.
Of course, 60 deaths is tragic — but 60 wrongful deaths among 8+ million arrests may not be the problem the media portrays it as.
You’re an order of magnitude less like to wrongfully die from police while being arrested than you are to die from a car crash this year. Overall, police are safer than many things in society.
60/8M // 30k/320M = 8%
The Senate is a counter-balancing force to the population distributed House of Representatives. The Senate is meant to represent each state as an equal and autonomous member of the union.
Your snark aside, horse-trading in the senate seems to be what accomplished small state agendas.
The US government was never meant to be a democracy, and certainly not one with fully equal representation across states.
The majority of the country already has a majority of the representation — only 1 in 10 states has the minimal representation, thus extra voting. The majority of votes in the House, by a wide margin, are distributed based on population with less than 3% going to minimums in excess of population.
But if you truly believe this is a better way, implement it on a regional or state level first to model for the rest of the country how well it works. That’s the beauty of autonomous states — we can try before we fully commit.
If you think it’s such a benefit, then move there. That’s your right as a citizen.
But almost no one does because that small political benefit doesn’t outweigh the many benefits that population centers enjoy.
It protects the smaller states from bullying by large population centers — which was the original intent and still functioning.
Even knowing what they have across brands is nontrivial.
This iteration is targeting the 800 largest employers in Seattle, many of whom aren’t currently profitable.
“Tax Amazon” is classic dishonesty — neither bill has been focused on Amazon, both would be a disaster for Seattle, and proponents try to focus on Amazon to keep people from noticing how damaging their out of control spending is.
In 2010, the Seattle budget was 3.8B; in 2020, it’s 6.5B. An increase of 2.7B and growth of 71% in a decade. (Per capita, the Seattle budget is 37% more now than in 2010.)
https://www.geekwire.com/2018/seattle-socialists-constructio...
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/politics/seattle-c...