711 karma · joined June 25, 2018
Feels like historically that’s where every other optimization that reduced a MD’s “busy work” led. Particularly adding more paraprofessionals of various kinds into the patient’s interaction.
In that case, I’m paying them to engage with and observe me. Not to identify the correct treatment plan based on a variety of different data points (tests, my history, family history, research, etc)
And even in psychotherapy I have no problem with a LLM being used to compile notes after the session. Just don’t want it present in the session and used for analyzing it.
(My therapist asks me almost once a month if I’d mind. I thought it was because my notetaker is entering the Zoom meeting, but last week I called him out cause I was almost certain I disabled it. Curious if he’ll ask again.)
Clearly everything is retro
Maybe you have perspective on this — how much of way tech reshaped life during the 2010s only occurred because of the over-builds of the dot-com era?
Again, makes me wonder what the parallels are to today. Imagine timelines will compressed and/or the level of shock will be even greater, but regardless the real impact of AI on society will only be seen after a broad-world-wide socio-economic correction the likes of which we saw in the early to mid 2000s)
Was that unrelated to the potential ROI imploding as existing supply grew more efficient? That even if prices stayed high it still wouldn’t have been worth what it cost to overcome obstacles?
If so, sounds like a reminder that if things had gone “according to plan” the oversupply would have been exponentially greater. Something i never considered.
We’re not doing anything that couldn’t be done before, we’re just doing it faster, easier and cheaper.
Sounds like a recipe for a lot of junk being built. Also sounds like something that’s been true since the beginning of humanity.
In the more near term, sounds like a reminder the datacenters and processing boom will look at lot like the fiber one.
People on the outside with imposter syndrome also need to remember this.
Any mature codebase is a bit messy.
Here in NYC it doesn’t feel like it, but we’re a world unto ourselves
More than prosecution we need politicians elected who are willing to reform. Even if those reforms reduce their power as well
Gonna try and use that throughout my life. Thanks!
suddenly everyone cares about data hygiene. But it’s not like this shouldn’t have always been a priority
“Planning mode” in my estimation should just turn off writing to files.
Nah, YC has another website for that already...
/s
Am I the average person problay not? But for my population I'd say its helped me learn a ton.
Now? Should I have just taken a few classes decades ago? Probaly.
Not saying nonprofit hospitals are a panacea, but they sure are better than for-profit ones.
In NY State at least that's turned into a cashgrab too. One they are having trouble reforming.
How did that last administration's dwelling on persecuting the one before it turn out?
While I don't like the current one and certainly agree that some of its actions are totally unethical, once it's over can we just move on and look forward, not back?
Yeah, something odd is occurring where I need to click into the comment to reply
> sovereign AI is the name of the game - no country wants to be dependent on Anthropic or OpenAI for government critical applications.
This is an interesting concept. The idea that in the end you’ll see the emergence of something akin to the WWW for AI. That we’re in the AOL/Prodigy phase of it.
> I've noticed most HNers are significantly older (in their 40s-50s) and are much more resistant to new tech as a result
Im just below that age bracket, take it you are significantly.
I’d question if they are adverse or simply measured and able to see through hype because it’s not their first rodeo
But it begs a question I had from your first comment where you trashed HN - why are you here then?
This is the most interesting point I think you made. But really isn’t in contrast to what I said.
Doesn’t resolve the question of if there will be a correction. Just that if current investors exit fast enfough those investors won’t be left holding the bag when one occurs and will be able to reinvest.
To some extent that’s inconsequential. If anything is certain it’s that there is always someone else available to invest money in the broader market at some point in the future.
Question becomes if there is or isn’t a correction first. With its associated period of stalled growth (akin to the 2000s post bubble bursting).
The emergence of something akin to DeepSeek 14 months ago that proves you don’t need all this power to get the desired results
Or multiplexing during the fiber boom.
> There is a B2C boom brewing now, but all that action is in China and India, not the US or Europe
That’s an interesting observation
But also questioning if the bleak outlook some have is overstated to some degree. Bleak outlook for the financial market, job market in general, and job market in tech specifically.
As I think through it and weigh different factors I think I’m concluding “mid-term concerns are justified, but long-term there’s more reason to be optimistic and even excited than some might think. We’re not headed to a distopioan future.”
What you aren’t answering is why to believe the current trajectories will sustain long term.
Enterprise companies are being rate limited and incentivized to look for other options and/or finding efficiencies id actually example of why commodification and overbuilding is likely.
Take Clay.com, what justifies the $5 billion valuation?
And all the frontier labs. Because their core offering will be commodified.
Finally, Nvidia and the companies whose main offering is computing power. Efficiency and commodification will lead to something akin to the fiber overbuild of the dot com era (like I referenced before)
As I type this out, I think there is an inevitable correction. Hard to say if it’s akin to dot com era or not. And those who succeed 15 or 20 years ago will be ready to take advantage of it. Be through capital, through skills and knowledge, or through stealth companies. Question becomes when to pull the trigger on taking any of those of their respective sideline.