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7777777phil

1,643 karma · joined August 28, 2025

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7777777phil··on Understanding Frontier Artificial Intelligence
Just thought of this piece [1] by Ramez Naam: Where’s the “intelligence explosion”?

[1] https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/wheres-the-intelligence-explos...

7777777phil··on Eleven v4
Just watched the launch Video. I think people still have no idea what this means for the world.

literally going to change everything

7777777phil··on Ember-1
I was surprised by that. I run my benchmark [1] every couple of days and was sure this model will be ath the pareto frontier, if not THE pareto frontier. But no:

Ember isn't picked yet. In planning, Opus 5.5 wins under the planning weights. In code, GPT-6 Sol dominates it: also 10/10, but with a higher quality score and a lower estimated cost. Ember has no intelligence index, so its starting score is only 0.73, which holds its 10/10 down to 0.954 against Sol's 0.975.

[1] https://philippdubach.com/posts/jev-model-router-for-pi/

7777777phil··on Best LLM for every budget, updated daily
I tried to build a very similar “frontier” [1] for myself and also include writing (which is highly debatable)

[1] https://philippdubach.com/posts/jev-model-router-for-pi/

7777777phil··on GPT-6 Sol and Luna
I guess I have to update my pareto front then: https://philippdubach.com/posts/jev-model-router-for-pi/
7777777phil··on Premier league bans gambling sponsors
> and three clubs (Sunderland, Nottingham Forest, and Chelsea) currently without a front-of-shirt sponsor as a direct or indirect consequence.

Chelsea not having a front of shirt sponsor is completely unrelated. Their last sponsor was Three (the phone company) ant that was 2023 or so

7777777phil··on US House of Representatives takes step to make daylight saving time permanent
Wasn’t this already tried at least once and then reverted some 2 years later?
7777777phil··on Degoogling cost me my YouTube feed, so I had to make my own
Yes, nothing fancy.
7777777phil··on Degoogling cost me my YouTube feed, so I had to make my own
I’m on iOS 26.5 and for some reason background playback continues smoothly even when locking the screen.
7777777phil··on Stop the Apple Music app from launching
Thank You!
7777777phil··on The desperation of NYTimes
You probably already know this but sou can get a lot of Levine’s writing without a paid Bloomie subscription by subscribing to his Money Stuff Newsletter.
7777777phil··on The Quiet Numbers Station: Decoding Nineteen Years of GPS Cryptography
Slightly related the latest Veritasium Video: Something is jamming GPS over Europe.

https://youtu.be/tz23G_UXCGA

7777777phil··on Ask HN: What Hacker News comments have you bookmarked?
check out the list (1) with particularly good comments from over the years

(1) https://news.ycombinator.com/highlights

7777777phil··on 65% of Hacker News Posts Have Negative Sentiment and They Outperform
See earlier discussion here:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46512881

7777777phil··on Uber’s COO says it’s getting harder to justify money spent on tokenmaxxing
As soon as tokens stop stop being subsidized, heavy agentic use will become as least as expensive than paying an (entry level) employee. When this happens many companies will trade off havy tolen usage for (maybe a bit slower, bit less accurate) employees again.
7777777phil··on Show HN: CPU-only transcription for YouTube, TikTok, X, Instagram videos
CPX22
7777777phil··on Show HN: CPU-only transcription for YouTube, TikTok, X, Instagram videos
Tis is very simple and very cool! Just installed it on my Hetzner box where I run a remote controlled local agent so now I can basically chat/email a video link to get a summary and/or ask questions. The only issue was YouTube's PO Token requirement (web/mweb clients refuse to serve formats from datacenter IPs without a valid Proof-of-Origin token.) So I had to find a client that still work without PO Token first. Thanks for sharing!
7777777phil··on FiveThirtyEight articles on the Internet Archive
Related: Disney erased FiveThirtyEight

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48197703

7777777phil··on AI eats the world (Spring 26) [pdf]
I appreciate Evans’ work and wrote an “antithesis” to the Nov 2024 iteration of this. Given the pivot to “models look likely to become infrastructure” I might want to update my take.
7777777phil··on Ask an Astronaut: 333 hours of Q&A footage with astronauts
Very neat project - been clicking through it for a while, a bit slow but manageable - hope it holds the weight of the HN front page.
7777777phil··on Show HN: Auto-identity-remove – Automated data broker opt-out runner for macOS
cool idea, happy to try it out

> Searches each data broker site for your name + state

Is this US only or would it also work for international profiles (and if so what would be the "state" equivalent)?

7777777phil··on The Mysterious Crypto Judges Who Settle Polymarket Disputes
Commenting here since this is somewhat related to the research (1) I have been doing lately:

UMA is one transparency layer.

The bigger one is the public WebSocket feed itself, which broadcasts post-match book state but hides taker identity. So trade direction inferred from the feed only hits 59% sign agreement vs on-chain ground truth.. that breaks six standard microstructure measures (effective spread, Kyle's lambda, Amihud, etc.) on most top-100 markets.

I believe any Polymarket research that depends on direction should to source it from on-chain OrderFilled events, not the feed.

7777777phil··on The Four Horsemen of the LLM Apocalypse
Don't necessarily agree with all of the writing in this article. But I just spent the past weeks reading into the whole AI valuation topic again (did dis in March already (1)). So I'll try to add some perspective:

Form my research (1) Four widely cited 2025 enterprise AI revenue figures span 40x ($37B Menlo, $1.478T Gartner). The audit-grade floor you could defend on a 10-Q against $690B of 2026 hyperscaler capex is just $63.2B, or 9.2% coverage. Telecom 1999 peaked at 28%. Even after netting only AI-incremental capex you only get to 12-15%, which is still below the closest analogue we have.

(1) https://philippdubach.com/posts/ai-capex-arms-race-who-blink...

(2) https://philippdubach.com/posts/reconciling-enterprise-ai-re...

7777777phil··on Show HN: TikTok but for scientific papers
I like the idea. As others suggested it might be a good idea to drop the branding. Had the same considerations when I built a “Tinder” (1) for RSS Feeds. In the end it worked fine, if not better.

(1) https://philippdubach.com/posts/rss-swipr-find-blogs-like-yo...

7777777phil··on Zed Editor Theme-Builder
This is super cool - Started using Zed a couple weeks ago. Is there also something like a Theme gallery? Where one can look at Themes other people created? I would imagine not everyone has the inspiration to build their own "form scratch" but would still love to customize.
7777777phil··on Karpathy's Software 3.0 Playbook
corrected, thanks for flagging!
7777777phil··on Why AI companies want you to be afraid of them
If your model converges to the same outputs as everyone else's because everyone trained on the same data, the only thing left to differentiate on is brand, and fear is great at building brand.

"We are too dangerous to commoditize" pitches better than "we are mostly typical of the internet's median answer", those are kind of the same statement.

7777777phil··on Mild dehydration affects mood in healthy young women
In young women, just 1.36% dehydration makes tasks feel 58% harder, concentration 45% harder, fatigue 17% worse, and headaches ~2x more likely.
7777777phil··on Is my blue your blue?
Despite all the (valid) criticisms here I just wanted to say that this is a really cool Idea and well executed imo. Thanks for sharing!
7777777phil··on An open-source spec for Codex orchestration: Symphony
OpenAI is doing the Joel Spolsky move, commoditize the layer above yours. Google did it with Kubernetes back when GCP was losing on infra. If they don't put a spec out, every orchestrator gets built around MCP or A2A by default and OpenAI is the third wheel. The spec is free, the runtime is where the money is..
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