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3JPLW

3,234 karma · joined February 3, 2012

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3JPLW··on Possible detection of a black hole with a mass thought to be impossible
This was a key feature of the bet. It's within the first 100 gravitational wave detections. They're betting against an unknown distribution.

Neither side was saying that they wouldn't be found.

3JPLW··on Pluto.jl – a reactive, lightweight, simple notebook
> Why are results displayed above the code cell instead of below it (as in Jupyter/IPython)? Was a bit confusing at first.

I also strongly agreed with this at first, but after working with it some more I've found it compelling. The key mental model is to think of the code as something akin to a "figure caption."

3JPLW··on Pluto.jl – a reactive, lightweight, simple notebook
You just update the `a=1` cell, changing it to `a=2`. That's the whole point.

Every other cell that depends upon `a` will then automatically update.

3JPLW··on Pluto.jl – a reactive, lightweight, simple notebook
It completely fixes a huge number of the gripes in the JupyterCon talk I don't like notebooks by Joel Grus.

The primary complaint there is that notebooks have a disconnect between the state of the program and the display of the cells. By using a completely reactive mode the state is no longer hidden. It's more akin to a spreadsheet than a notebook. A number of other complaints are completely circumvented by using a file format that's simply a pure Julia file with clever comments.

Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7jiPeIFXb6U

Slides: https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1n2RlMdmv1p25Xy5thJUh...

Previous discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17856700

3JPLW··on Increasing wind turbine rotor blade visibility reduces avian fatalities
To be quite frank, repeated hypothesis tests on ad-hoc groupings is _terrible_ science.
3JPLW··on Increasing wind turbine rotor blade visibility reduces avian fatalities
This seems like a noisy low-probability event.

> While the number of recorded carcasses increased at the control turbines (7 vs. 18), they decreased at the treated turbines (11 vs. 6 [expected: 28]) (Table 1).

I didn't read the article very closely, but it also reads like they're doing lots of hypothesis tests on different groupings to find significant (p < 0.05) results:

> However, the annual fatality rates fluctuated considerably between years (Figure 3 lower panel), stressing the necessity of a long‐term study. Seasonally, fatality rates (across years) were strongly reduced at the painted turbines after treatment during spring and autumn, but increased during summer (Figure 4). When grouping data by season instead of years, painting reduced seasonal fatality rates by 70.9% (95% CI: 61.7%–77.7%; z = −2.003, p = .042, n = 64).

I'm not convinced.

3JPLW··on JuliaCon2020: Julia Is Production Ready
Not an Invenian, but my understanding is that they gradually transitioned away from a mix of MATLAB, Python, and C.

https://juliacomputing.com/case-studies/invenia.html

3JPLW··on JuliaCon2020: Julia Is Production Ready
Exceptional — and its lead author is the author of this blog post.

http://juliadata.github.io/DataFrames.jl/stable/

3JPLW··on Mac keyboard shortcuts
M-b and M-f work for me in slack with my custom defaultkeybinding.dict. It only requires the app to use OS-native text inputs.
3JPLW··on Mac keyboard shortcuts
I've gone further to support meta-keybindings for whole-word movement. Control-b goes back one character, option-b goes back a whole word. It's really easy to add and customize:

http://www.hcs.harvard.edu/~jrus/Site/Cocoa%20Text%20System....

3JPLW··on Mac keyboard shortcuts
The clean separation between command-keys (for app-behavior) and control-keys (for emacs-like text navigation) is far and away my favorite aspect of using MacOS. I know it sounds crazy, but I navigate through text far more frequently than anything else. The ability to further customize[1] these to support meta-keys (using option) and rebinding caps-lock to control makes for a very powerful experience.

1. http://www.hcs.harvard.edu/~jrus/Site/Cocoa%20Text%20System....

3JPLW··on The Floppy Disk of Floating Point
Hunh? January 1, 1970 + 9.007199254740992e15 nanoseconds gets you all the way to... tax day[1].

Microseconds gets you to the year 2255; milliseconds to heat death.

1. https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=January+1%2C+1970+%2B+...

3JPLW··on Pkg.jl telemetry should be opt-in
This is quite the caricature of what's happening in that thread.

> The truth comes out.

The truth was never hidden. It's all laid out quite plainly here: https://julialang.org/legal/data/.

> If providing usage statistics is something that the Julia developers already know the vast majority of users do not want to do

There are three reasons someone might not opt-in: they don't want to, they don't know about it, or they simply don't care. To ignore the latter two is simply disingenuous.

> The rest of this discussion devolves into "Everyone else is doing it". The lone dissenter finally gives in to peer pressure.

That's certainly not my read of the 200+ post thread.

3JPLW··on Pkg.jl telemetry should be opt-in
I encourage you to read https://julialang.org/legal/data

This is very minimal data that gets sent along with requests that you’re already making to a (user-selectable) package server.

3JPLW··on Apple, ARM, and Intel
It's not just about blowing up factories with missiles. There's a much greater persistent security threat.
3JPLW··on From Oct 1, 2021, you will need a REAL ID-compliant license to fly in the USA
That's likely a part of the extension, I'm sure.
3JPLW··on Don’t Be Afraid of RAID
> Especially for home users and small businesses, RAID arrays are still a reliable and efficient way of storing a lot of data in a single place.

Is this really true? These are the sorts of situations where you don’t have a dedicated IT (or dedicated know-how) to avoid the sorts of “user” problems TFA assumes are at the root of many online problems.

I know I’ve always been terrified of rebuilding arrays after failures —- and it’s not just because of the remaining drives’ reliability. It’s because the tools I’ve used were really hard to use.

3JPLW··on Ask HN: Keybase Alternatives?
What have you done with your lumens?
3JPLW··on Elon Musk tweet wipes $14bn off Tesla's value
The tweet in question: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1256239815256797184

> Tesla stock price is too high imo

3JPLW··on Tell HN: C Experts Panel – Ask us anything about C
Does it concern you how aggressively compiler teams are exploiting UB?
3JPLW··on OBS Studio: Open-source software for video recording and live streaming
I just use Quicktime. Open up a a new video recording, but don't start recording. The video recording window has an option to "float on top" — use that to put your video on your screen where you want it. Then you can either open up a new screen recording (for offline recordings) or just share your entire screen on your favorite conferencing platform.

I also use desktop backgrounds smartly in conjunction with multiple spaces.

3JPLW··on Bill Gates calls for nationwide shutdown
Another common misconception is that stringent measures aren't needed in lower density areas. Take one look at Dougherty County, GA — whose outbreak was also spurred from an out-of-town traveler to a funeral:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/30/us/coronavirus-funeral-al...

> With a population of only 90,000, Dougherty County [Georgia] has registered 24 deaths, far more than any other county in the state, with six more possible coronavirus deaths under investigation... The region’s hospitals are overloaded with sick and dying patients, having registered nearly 600 positive cases. Last week, Gov. Brian Kemp dispatched the National Guard to help stage additional intensive care beds and relieve exhausted doctors and nurses.

3JPLW··on Bill Gates calls for nationwide shutdown
The contrast between Norway and Sweden is particularly stark.
3JPLW··on Apple acquires Dark Sky
How is this anecdote at all analogous? I'm not seeing it.
3JPLW··on The story behind a photo of a snow monkey using an iPhone (2019)
I don't think the "lens inspection" picture was taken on an iPhone, not least of which the stolen/drowned one — partly due to its quality, partly due to its name, and partly due to the positioning of the monkey's hands.
3JPLW··on New hard drive rituals (2018)
I'm curious about the efficacy here; how many "bad" drives will this find?
3JPLW··on Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
I see a morgue at capacity and I think about the thousands of family members who aren't able to properly grieve for, manage, and bury their deceaseds.

I wouldn't jump to accusations of callousness on the part of the GP quite so fast.

3JPLW··on Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
> This coronavirus hasn't even approached those levels globally in five months.

Three months, and yes, that's how exponential growth works. It's pretty small at the beginning. You'd think a community of (largely) computer scientists would appreciate the power of exponential growth.

Edit: ah, looks like you're editing your post.

3JPLW··on Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
We absolutely could have... two months ago. There were a number of missteps that cost us very important time:

* WHO developed its protocol based on a German solution and open-sourced it mid-Jan

* The CDC decided to develop its own protocol and finalized it by end of Jan. They told local and private labs that they'd handle all of the testing and thus the FDA did not grant authorization for local and private labs to begin standing up their own testing protocol.

* By early Feb, it was becoming obvious that the CDC tests had manufacturing troubles.

* In mid-Feb the FDA re-iterated its guidance to labs to not stand up their own tests

* On Feb 29, the FDA finally allowed local labs to develop their own tests

* Two weeks later, those other tests finally started rolling in

https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2020/03/23/us/politics/ap-u...

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/10/us/coronavirus-testing-de...

3JPLW··on Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals
There's a difference in timeframe and scope here. You can get away with testing and individual quarantines if you start early.

Now, 1 in 3 (!!) tests are coming back positive in NY. Too many people have it at this point for it to be effective.

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