But putting all that aside for the moment, banning crypto without backdoors would, at a minimum, create real difficulties for U.S. companies and require many open source/free software projects to move overseas. It would also make felons of many HN readers. That's no exaggeration; an ex-Mozilla fellow now building the crypton.io framework wrote to me this evening saying: "That bill would have made my work criminal." https://twitter.com/deezthugs/status/556678844120576000
To be clear, I don't believe the FBI|NSA|DOJ|DEA|DHS|CIA|etc. cadre of TLAs are pushing for a ban on domestic crypto now. But they tend to take the long view. Look very carefully at what is eventually proposed. Is it a ban on whole-disk encryption without backdoors? Would it extend to PCs? What about open source projects and AOSP? Would mere possession of non-backdoored crypto be a crime, or distribution, or commercial sale? Etc.
I view a lot of this as the Feds trying to pressure Apple and Google into adopting an escrowed solution for encrypted devices -- without actually enacting a law. Laws are public, subject to legal challenge (a federal appeals court in the Junger case held there are 1A issues involved in a crypto ban), and tend not to make it through Congress very quickly. But extralegal pressure can be applied in secret, is not subject to legal challenge, and can happen much sooner.
HN threads in the past have discussed some of these extralegal pressures that can be brought to bear. Multi-billion dollar .gov contracts are a big one too.