I'm no one to assess Jason's gifts of prophecy, so he may be right on target as to what now "looms" as potential disruptor:

> Applications will be much less visible.

> Service applications will grow like wildfire.

> Applications will be seen more as components, or capabilities, than distinct and unique units of software.

> True object-oriented applications will become a reality.

> The conversation container will become the new AppStore.

I hope some HN vets will share their nominees, since I tend to bet on real disruptions coming from what's off the radar completely, rather than what's "looming."